Why Are Long-Term Interest Rates So Low?

Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016

Abstract: Despite recent increases, long-term interest rates remain close to their historical lows. A variety of structural factors, notably slower productivity growth and a surplus of global saving, likely have lowered expectations of steady-state interest rates and pushed down long-term yields through the expectations component. In addition, accommodative monetary policy in the United States and abroad appears to have lowered the term premium on long-term bonds.

Date: 2016
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