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Let’s twist again: a high-frequency event-study analysis of operation twist and its implications for QE2

Eric Swanson

No 2011-08, Working Paper Series from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Abstract: This paper undertakes a modern event-study analysis of Operation Twist and compares its effects to those that should be expected for the recent quantitative policy announced by the Federal Reserve, dubbed \"QE2\". We first show that Operation Twist and QE2 are similar in magnitude. We identify six significant, discrete announcements in the course of Operation Twist that potentially could have had a major effect on financial markets, and show that four did have statistically significant effects. The cumulative effect of these six announcements on longer-term Treasury yields is highly statistically significant but moderate, amounting to about 15 basis points. This estimate is consistent both with Modigliani and Sutch?s (1966) time series analysis and with the lower end of empirical estimates of Treasury supply effects in the literature.

Keywords: Monetary; policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (83)

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http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/papers/2011/wp11-08bk.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Let's Twist Again: A High-Frequency Event-study Analysis of Operation Twist and Its Implications for QE2 (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Let's Twist Again: A High-Frequency Event-Study Analysis of Operation Twist and Its Implications for QE2 (2011) Downloads
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