Spatial Analysis of Intercity Migration Patterns of China’s Rural Population: Based on the Network Perspective

Yihu Zhou (), Huiguang Chen and Tingting Fang
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Yihu Zhou: College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
Huiguang Chen: College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
Tingting Fang: Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China

Agriculture, 2024, vol. 14, issue 5, 1-24

Abstract: Since entering the 21st century, many developing countries around the world have begun to enter a stage of rapid urbanization; large-scale “rural-urban” population migration has become a typical social phenomenon in these countries. Against this backdrop, this paper aims to elucidate the spatial migration characteristics of rural populations and to discuss future rural–urban development strategies. For this purpose, this paper takes China as a case and employs methods such as spatial autocorrelation analysis, hotspot analysis, and network analysis to construct an intercity migration network of rural migrants and analyze its spatial characteristics and internal structure. The results indicate that the migration pattern of the rural population exhibits notable spatial clustering features. Cities in the eastern and central regions are, respectively, hotspots for the inflow and outflow of rural populations, with internal migration dominating in western cities and relatively inactive rural population movements in northeastern cities. Municipalities directly under the central government, sub-provincial cities, and provincial capitals show a significant tendency to attract rural populations, while prefecture-level and county-level cities mainly radiate rural populations outward. Cities nationwide form seven major clusters in the migration network, and these clusters exhibit distinct structural characteristics. Rural population migration is influenced by various factors. In the future, considerations should focus on the county as the primary unit, attracting rural populations for local employment, and promoting rural revitalization and agriculture development. The findings of this paper are of reference significance not only to China but also to many developing countries with similar national conditions in the world.

Keywords: labor force; core cities; migration network; city cluster; hotspot analysis; network analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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