Employment expectations and uncertainties ahead of the new German minimum wage

Mario Bossler

No 201603, IAB-Discussion Paper from Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany]

Abstract: "Followed by an extensive policy discussion late 2013 and early 2014, the new German minimum wage was introduced on 1 January 2015. This article analyzes announcement effects of the new statutory minimum wage on employer expectations in 2014. The IAB Establishment Panel allows for a difference-in-differences comparison between affected and unaffected employers and entails variables that address the employers' employment expectations. In 2014, affected employers show an increased employment uncertainty and a drop in their expected employment development. They also more likely report wage costs to become a problem. In size, the employment expectations translate into a loss of about 12 800 jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Keywords: Bundesrepublik Deutschland; Beschäftigungseffekte; Einstellungen; IAB-Betriebspanel; Mindestlohn; Mindestlohnrecht; Arbeitgeber; 2014-2014 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D22 J23 J38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2016-02-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur and nep-lma
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Published in/as: Scottish Journal of Political Economy, (2017), o. Sz., doi:10.1111/sjpe.12127

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201603

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