Competitive Model Selection in Algorithmic Targeting
Ganesh Iyer () and
T. Tony Ke ()
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Ganesh Iyer: University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720
T. Tony Ke: Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Marketing Science, 2024, vol. 43, issue 6, 1226-1241
Abstract:
We study how market competition influences the algorithmic design choices of firms in the context of targeting. Firms face a general bias-variance trade-off when choosing the design of a supervised learning algorithm in terms of model complexity or the number of predictors to accommodate. Each firm has a data analyst who uses the chosen algorithm to estimate demand for multiple consumer segments, based on which it devises a targeting policy to maximize estimated profits. We show that competition induces firms to strategically choose simpler algorithms that involve more bias but lower variance. Therefore, more complex/flexible algorithms may have higher value for firms with greater monopoly power.
Keywords: algorithmic competition; model selection; algorithmic bias; data analytics; targeting; economics of AI (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:43:y:2024:i:6:p:1226-1241
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