Earnings Growth versus Measures of Income and Education for Predicting Mortality

Harriet Orcutt Duleep and David Jaeger
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Harriet Orcutt Duleep: Research Professor of Public Policy, Thomas Jefferson Program in Public Policy, The College of William & Mary

Working Papers from University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center

Abstract: This paper begins an exploration to determine whether earnings growth, as a measure of the propensity to invest in human capital, is a valuable variable for predicting mortality. To insure its robustness and general applicability to ongoing Social Security models, the usefulness of earnings growth as a predictor of mortality will be explored in multiple time periods. This paper begins that process by reporting preliminary results for an early time period using the 1973 CPS-SSA-IRS Exact Match file. In addition to presenting preliminary results, the paper also describes how data challenges associated with the pre-1978 administrative record data on earnings and mortality are met.

Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2011-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-for and nep-hea
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