Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs
Barry Eichengreen,
Poonam Gupta and
Ashoka Mody
No 12235, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Abstract:
Could a high-access, quick-disbursing "insurance facility" in the IMF help to reduce the incidence of sharp interruptions in capital flows ("sudden stops")? We contribute to the debate on this question by analyzing the impact of conventional IMF-supported programs on the incidence of sudden stops. Correcting for the non-random assignment of programs, we find that sudden stops are fewer and generally less severe when an IMF arrangement exists and that this form of "insurance" works best for countries with strong fundamentals. In contrast there is no evidence that a Fund-supported program attenuates the output effects of capital account reversals if these nonetheless occur.
JEL-codes: F02 F32 F34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc, nep-cba and nep-fmk
Note: IFM
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Published as Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs , Barry Eichengreen, Poonam Gupta, Ashoka Mody. in Financial Markets Volatility and Performance in Emerging Markets , Edwards and Garcia. 2008
Published as Barry J. Eichengreen & Poonam Gupta & Ashoka Mody, 2006. "Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs," IMF Working Papers, vol 06(101).
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