Aging, Saving, and Public Pensions in Japan

Charles Yuji Horioka, Wataru Suzuki and Tatsuo Hatta

No 13273, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We analyze the impact of population aging on Japan's household saving rate and on its public pension system and the impact of that system on Japan's household saving rate and obtain the following results: first, the age structure of Japan's population can explain the level of, and past and future trends in, its household saving rate; second, the rapid aging of Japan's population is causing Japan's household saving rate to decline and this decline can be expected to continue; third, the pay-as-you-go nature of the public pension system, combined with rapid population aging, created considerable intergenerational inequities and increased the saving rates of cohorts born after 1965, which in turn slowed the decline in Japan's household saving rate; and fourth, the 2004 public pension reform alleviated the intergenerational inequities of Japan's public pension system somewhat but will in the long run exacerbate the downward trend in Japan's household saving rate.

JEL-codes: D12 D91 E21 E24 H55 J11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-mac
Note: AG PE
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

Published as Charles Yuji HORIOKA & Wataru SUZUKI & Tatsuo HATTA, 2007. "Aging, Savings, and Public Pensions in Japan," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 2(2), pages 303-319.

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Journal Article: Aging, Savings, and Public Pensions in Japan* (2007)
Working Paper: Aging, Saving, and Public Pensions in Japan (2007)
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