Fundamentals, Market Timing, and Seasoned Equity Offerings

Harry DeAngelo, Linda DeAngelo and René Stulz

No 13285, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Firms conduct SEOs to resolve a near-term liquidity squeeze, and not primarily to exploit market timing opportunities. Without the SEO proceeds, 62.6% of issuers would have insufficient cash to implement their chosen operating and non-SEO financing decisions the year after the SEO. Although the SEO decision is positively related to a firm's market-to-book (M/B) ratio and prior excess stock return and negatively related to its future excess return, these relations are economically immaterial. For example, a 150% swing in future net of market stock returns (from a 75% gain to a 75% loss over three years) increases by only 1% the probability of an SEO in the immediately prior year. Strikingly, most firms with quintessential "market timer" characteristics fail to issue stock and a non-trivial number of mature firms do issue stock, with current and former dividend payers raising more than half of all issue proceeds.

JEL-codes: G31 G32 G35 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn, nep-fmk and nep-rmg
Note: CF
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Working Paper: Fundamentals, Market Timing, and Seasoned Equity Offerings (2007)
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