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The Credit Rating Crisis

Efraim Benmelech and Jennifer Dlugosz

No 15045, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Since June 2007, the creditworthiness of structured finance products has deteriorated rapidly. The number of downgrades in November 2007 alone exceeded 2,000 and many downgrades were severe, with 500 tranches downgraded more than 10 notches. Massive downgrades continued in 2008. More than 11,000 of the downgrades affected securities that were rated AAA. This paper studies the credit rating crisis of 2007-2008 and in particular describes the collapse of the credit ratings of ABS CDOs. Using data on ABS CDOs we provide suggestive evidence that ratings shopping may have played a role in the current crisis. We find that tranches rated solely by one agency, and by S&P in particular, were more likely to be downgraded by January 2008. Further, tranches rated solely by one agency are more likely to suffer more severe downgrades.

JEL-codes: E44 G01 G21 G24 G38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-ure
Note: AP CF LE ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (93)

Published as The Credit Rating Crisis , Efraim Benmelech, Jennifer Dlugosz. in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24 , Acemoglu, Rogoff, and Woodford. 2010

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