House Price Gains and U.S. Household Spending from 2002 to 2006

Mian, Atif; Sufi, Amir

House Price Gains and U.S. Household Spending from 2002 to 2006

No 20152, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We examine the effect of rising U.S. house prices on borrowing and spending from 2002 to 2006. There is strong heterogeneity in the marginal propensity to borrow and spend. Households in low income zip codes aggressively liquefy home equity when house prices rise, and they increase spending substantially. In contrast, for the same rise in house prices, households living in high income zip codes are unresponsive, both in their borrowing and spending behavior. The entire effect of housing wealth on spending is through borrowing, and, under certain assumptions, this spending represents 0.8% of GDP in 2004 and 1.3% of GDP in 2005 and 2006. Households that borrow and spend out of housing gains between 2002 and 2006 experience significantly lower income and spending growth after 2006.

JEL-codes: E2 E21 E3 E32 E44 E5 G02 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-ure
Note: CF EFG ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (30)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w20152.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: House Price Gains and U.S. Household Spending from 2002 to 2006 (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20152

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.nber.org/papers/w20152

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().