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Credit Supply and the Housing Boom

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

No 20874, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The housing boom that preceded the Great Recession was due to an increase in credit supply driven by looser lending constraints in the mortgage market. This view on the fundamental drivers of the boom is consistent with four empirical observations: the unprecedented rise in home prices and household debt, the stability of debt relative to house values, and the fall in mortgage rates. These facts are difficult to reconcile with the popular view that attributes the housing boom to looser borrowing constraints associated with lower collateral requirements. In fact, a slackening of collateral constraints at the peak of the lending cycle triggers a fall in home prices in our framework, providing a novel perspective on the possible origins of the bust.

JEL-codes: E32 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-ure
Note: EFG ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (61)

Published as Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Credit Supply and the Housing Boom," Journal of Political Economy, vol 127(3), pages 1317-1350.

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Working Paper: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Credit supply and the housing boom (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom (2014) Downloads
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