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A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

No 21942, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The surge in credit and house prices that preceded the Great Recession was particularly pronounced in ZIP codes with a higher fraction of subprime borrowers (Mian and Sufi, 2009). We present a simple model with prime and subprime borrowers distributed across geographic locations, which can reproduce this stylized fact as a result of an expansion in the supply of credit. Due to their low income, subprime households are constrained in their ability to meet interest payments and hence sustain debt. As a result, when the supply of credit increases and interest rates fall, they take on disproportionately more debt than their prime counterparts, who are not subject to that constraint.

JEL-codes: E21 E44 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-mac
Note: EFG ME
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

Published as Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2016. "A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth," American Economic Review, vol 106(5), pages 543-547.

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Working Paper: A simple model of subprime borrowers and credit growth (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: A simple model of subprime borrowers and credit growth (2016) Downloads
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