Adaptation and the Mortality Effects of Temperature Across U.S. Climate Regions

Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller and David Molitor

No 23271, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We estimate how the mortality effects of temperature vary across U.S. climate regions to assess local and national damages from projected climate change. Using 22 years of Medicare data, we find that both cold and hot days increase mortality. However, hot days are less deadly in warm places while cold days are less deadly in cool places. Incorporating this heterogeneity into end-of-century climate change assessments reverses the conventional wisdom on climate damage incidence: cold places bear more, not less, of the mortality burden. Allowing places to adapt to their future climate substantially reduces the estimated mortality effects of climate change.

JEL-codes: I18 J14 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-agr, nep-env and nep-hea
Note: EEE EH
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

Published as Garth Heutel & Nolan H. Miller & David Molitor, 2021. "Adaptation and the Mortality Effects of Temperature across U.S. Climate Regions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(4), pages 740-753, October.

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Journal Article: Adaptation and the Mortality Effects of Temperature across U.S. Climate Regions (2021)
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