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Some Simple Bitcoin Economics

Linda Schilling and Harald Uhlig ()

No 24483, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: In a novel model of an endowment economy, we analyze coexistence and competition between traditional fiat money (Dollar) and another intrinsically worthless medium of exchange, not controlled by a central bank, such as Bitcoin. Agents can trade consumption goods in either currency or hold on to currency for speculative purposes. A central bank ensures a Dollar inflation target, while Bitcoin mining is decentralized via proof-of-work. We analyze Bitcoin price evolution and interaction between the Bitcoin price and monetary policy which targets the Dollar. We obtain a fundamental pricing equation, which in its simplest form implies that Bitcoin prices form a martingale. We derive conditions, under which Bitcoin speculation cannot happen, and the fundamental pricing equation must hold. We show that the block rewards are not a tax on Bitcoin holders: they are financed by Dollar taxes imposed by the Dollar central bank. We discuss monetary policy implications and characterize the range of equilibria.

JEL-codes: D50 E40 E42 E50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-pay
Note: AP EFG IFM ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

Published as Linda Schilling & Harald Uhlig, 2019. "Some simple Bitcoin Economics," Journal of Monetary Economics, .

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