Long-Term Discount Rates Do Not Vary Across Firms

Matti Keloharju, Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Peter Nyberg

No 25579, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Long-term expected returns appear to vary little, if at all, in the cross section of stocks. We devise a bootstrapping procedure that injects small amounts of variation into expected returns and show that even negligible differences in expected returns, if they existed, would be easy to detect. Markers of such differences, however, are absent from actual stock returns. Our estimates are consistent with production-based asset pricing models such as Berk, Green, and Naik (1999) and Gomes, Kogan, and Zhang (2003) in which firms' risks change over time. We show that long-term reversals in stock returns are the consequence of the rapid convergence in expected returns. Our results imply stock market anomalies have only a limited effect on firm valuations.

JEL-codes: G12 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn
Note: AP
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published as Matti Keloharju & Juhani T. Linnainmaa & Peter Nyberg, 2021. "Long-term discount rates do not vary across firms," Journal of Financial Economics, vol 141(3), pages 946-967.

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