Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions

David Arnold, Will S. Dobbie and Peter Hull

No 26999, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We develop new quasi-experimental tools to measure disparate impact, regardless of its source, in the context of bail decisions. We show that omitted variables bias in pretrial release rate comparisons can be purged by using the quasi-random assignment of judges to estimate average pretrial misconduct risk by race. We find that two-thirds of the release rate disparity between white and Black defendants in New York City is due to the disparate impact of release decisions. We then develop a hierarchical marginal treatment effect model to study the drivers of disparate impact, finding evidence of both racial bias and statistical discrimination.

JEL-codes: C26 J15 K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law and nep-ure
Note: LS
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

Published as David Arnold & Will Dobbie & Peter Hull, 2022. "Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions," American Economic Review, vol 112(9), pages 2992-3038.

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Related works:
Journal Article: Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions (2022)
Working Paper: Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions (2022)
Working Paper: Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions (2020)
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