How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities

Edward Glaeser, Caitlin Gorback and Stephen Redding

No 27519, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: How effective are restrictions on mobility in limiting COVID-19 spread? Using zip code data across five U.S. cities, we estimate that total cases per capita decrease by 20% for every ten percentage point fall in mobility. Addressing endogeneity concerns, we instrument for travel by residential teleworkable and essential shares and find a 27% decline in cases per capita. Using panel data for NYC with week and zip code fixed effects, we estimate a decline of 17%. We find substantial spatial and temporal heterogeneity; east coast cities have stronger effects, with the largest for NYC in the pandemic’s early stages.

JEL-codes: H12 I12 J17 R41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea, nep-lab and nep-ure
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Published as Edward L. Glaeser & Caitlin Gorback & Stephen J. Redding, 2020. "JUE insight: How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities," Journal of Urban Economics, .

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Working Paper: How Much Does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other US Cities (2020)
Working Paper: How Much Does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities (2020)
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