Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from "Missing" Transactions in Uganda
Miguel Almunia,
Jonas Hjort,
Justine Knebelmann and
Lin Tian
No 29059, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Abstract:
Are firms sophisticated maximizers, or do they consistently make errors? Using transaction-level data from Ugandan value-added tax (VAT) returns, we show that sellers and buyers report different amounts 79% of the time, despite invoices being easily cross-checked. We estimate that 25% of firms are disadvantageous misreporters—they systematically misreport own sales and purchases such that their tax liability increases—while 75% are advantageous misreporters. Many firms—especially disadvantageous misreporters—fail to report imported inputs they themselves reported at Customs, increasing their VAT liability. On net, unilateral VAT misreporting cost Uganda about US$384 million in foregone 2013-2016 tax revenue
JEL-codes: D2 D9 H2 O1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-isf and nep-iue
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Published as Miguel Almunia, Jonas Hjort, Justine Knebelmann, Lin Tian; Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from “Missing” Transactions in Uganda. The Review of Economics and Statistics 2022
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Journal Article: Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from “Missing” Transactions in Uganda (2024) 
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