Contagion Effects of the Silicon Valley Bank Run

Dong Beom Choi, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Tanju Yorulmazer

No 31772, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper analyzes the contagion effects associated with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and identifies bank-specific vulnerabilities contributing to the subsequent declines in banks’ stock returns. We find that uninsured deposits, unrealized losses in held-to-maturity securities, bank size, and cash holdings had a significant impact, while better-quality assets or holdings of liquid securities did not help mitigate the negative spillovers. Interestingly, banks whose stocks performed worse post-SVB also experienced lower returns in the previous year, following Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Stock investors appeared to anticipate risks associated with uninsured deposit reliance, but did not foresee the realization of implied losses. While mid-sized banks experienced particular stress immediately after the SVB failure, over time negative spillovers became widespread except for the largest banks.

JEL-codes: G01 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-cba
Note: CF
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Contagion Effects of the Silicon Valley Bank Run (2024)
Working Paper: Contagion Effects of the Silicon Valley Bank Run (2023)
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