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Macroeconomic Announcement Premium

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal and Hongye Guo

No 31923, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The paper reviews the evidence on the macroeconomic announcement premium and its implications on equilibrium asset pricing models. Empirically, a large fraction of the equity market risk premium is realized on a small number of trading days with significant macroeconomic announcements. We review the literature that demonstrates that the existence of the macroeconomic announcement premium implies that investors’ preferences must satisfy generalized risk sensitivity. We show how this conclusion generalizes to environments with heterogeneous investors and demonstrate how incorporating generalized risk sensitivity affects economic analysis in dynamic setups with uncertainty.

JEL-codes: A0 E0 E37 E40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg and nep-upt
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