An Equilibrium Model of Global Imbalances and Low Interest Rates
Ricardo Caballero (),
Emmanuel Farhi and
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
No 894, 2006 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics
Abstract:
Three of the most important recent facts in global macroeconomics — the sustained rise in the US current account deficit, the stubborn decline in long run real rates, and the rise in the share of US assets in global portfolio — appear as anomalies from the perspective of conventional wisdom and models. Instead, in this paper we provide a model that rationalizes these facts as an equilibrium outcome of two observed forces: a) potential growth differentials among different regions of the world and, b) heterogeneity in these regions’ capacity to generate financial assets from real investments. In extensions of the basic model, we also generate exchange rate and FDI excess returns which are broadly consistent with the recent trends in these variables. Unlike the conventional wisdom, in the absence of a large change in(a) or (b), our model does not augur any catastrophic event. More generally, the framework is flexible enough to shed light on a range of scenarios in a global equilibrium environment
Keywords: Current account deficits; capital flows; interest rates; global portfolios and equilibrium; growth and financial development asymmetries; exchange rates; FDI; intermediation rents. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E0 F3 F4 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-mac
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (79)
Downloads: (external link)
http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/download_pdf.php?id=1234 main text (text/html)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to econ-www.mit.edu:80 (A connection attempt failed because the connected party did not properly respond after a period of time, or established connection failed because connected host has failed to respond.)
Related works:
Journal Article: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates (2008) 
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates (2008) 
Working Paper: An equilibrum model of "global imbalances" and low interest rates (2006) 
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates (2006) 
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates (2006) 
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of 'Global Imbalances' and Low Interest Rates (2006) 
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates (2006) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:red:sed006:894
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in 2006 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christian Zimmermann ().