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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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2004-017: Monetary policy, taxes and the business cycle Downloads
William Gavin, Finn Kydland and Michael Pakko
2004-016: Learning and structural change in macroeconomic data Downloads
James Bullard and John Duffy
2004-015: When did the FOMC begin targeting the federal funds rate? what the verbatim transcripts tell us Downloads
Daniel Thornton
2004-014: A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Jeremy Piger
2004-013: A dynamic factor analysis of the response of U. S. interest rates to news Downloads
Marco Lippi and Daniel Thornton
2004-012: Racial profiling or racist policing? bounds tests in aggregate data Downloads
Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and John Knowles
2004-011: Targeting vs. instrument rules for monetary policy Downloads
Bennett McCallum and Edward Nelson
2004-010: Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates Downloads
Daniel Thornton
2004-009: The diffusion of electronic business in the U.S Downloads
Emin Dinlersoz and Ruben Hernandez-Murillo
2004-008: Monetary policy neglect and the Great Inflation in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand Downloads
Edward Nelson
2004-007: Inflation-targeting, price-path targeting and indeterminacy Downloads
Robert Dittmar and William Gavin
2004-006: A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes Downloads
James Morley and Jeremy Piger
2004-005: The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions Downloads
Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Michael Owyang
2004-004: When for-profits and not-for-profits compete: theory and empirical evidence from retail banking Downloads
William Emmons and Frank A. Schmid
2004-003: Tobin's imperfect asset substitution in optimizing general equilibrium Downloads
Javier Andrés, David Lopez-Salido and Edward Nelson
2004-002: What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? Downloads
Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Athena T. Theodorou
2004-001: The Great Inflation of the seventies: what really happened? Downloads
Edward Nelson
2003-045: A common model approach to macroeconomics: using panel data to reduce sampling error Downloads
William Gavin and Athena T. Theodorou
2003-044: A spatial analysis of state banking regulation Downloads
Thomas Garrett, Gary A. Wagner and David Wheelock
2003-043: On the cross section of conditionally expected stock returns Downloads
Hui Guo and Robert Savickas
2003-042: Spatial probit and the geographic patterns of state lotteries Downloads
Cletus Coughlin, Thomas Garrett and Ruben Hernandez-Murillo
2003-041: Can feedback from the jumbo-CD market improve bank surveillance? Downloads
R. Gilbert, Andrew P. Meyer and Mark D. Vaughan
2003-040: Year-end seasonality in one-month LIBOR derivatives Downloads
Christopher Neely and Drew B. Winters
2003-039: Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality Downloads
Abbigail J. Chiodo, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Michael Owyang
2003-038: Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage Downloads
Leora Friedberg, Michael Owyang and Tara Sinclair
2003-037: Robust nonparametric estimation of efficiency and technical change in U.S. commercial banking Downloads
David Wheelock and Paul Wilson
2003-036: Input inefficiency in commercial banks: a normalized quadratic input distance approach Downloads
Thomas Marsh, Allen Featherstone and Thomas Garrett
2003-035: State government finances: World War II to the current crisis Downloads
Thomas Garrett and Gary A. Wagner
2003-034: The Federal Reserve responds to crises: September 11th was not the first Downloads
Christopher Neely
2003-033: Testing the expectations hypothesis: some new evidence for Japan Downloads
Daniel Thornton
2003-032: The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs Downloads
Lucio Sarno and Daniel Thornton
2003-031: Conjectural guarantees loom large: evidence from the stock returns of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Downloads
Frank A. Schmid
2003-030: U. S. regional business cycles and the natural rate of unemployment Downloads
Howard Wall and Gylfi Zoega
2003-029: Size matters: asymmetric exchange rate pass-through at the industry level Downloads
Patricia Pollard and Cletus Coughlin
2003-028: Idiosyncratic volatility, stock market volatility, and expected stock returns Downloads
Hui Guo and Robert Savickas
2003-027: Inflation targeting: why it works and how to make it work better Downloads
William Gavin
2003-026: Retail deposit sweep programs: issues for measurement, modeling and analysis Downloads
Richard Anderson
2003-025: Does idiosyncratic risk matter: another look Downloads
Hui Guo and Robert Savickas
2003-024: Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting Downloads
Michael Dueker, Martin Sola and Fabio Spagnolo
2003-023: A spectral analysis of the cross-country consumption correlation puzzle Downloads
Michael Pakko
2003-022: Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the Campbell-Shiller paradox Downloads
Daniel Thornton
2003-021: The empirical failure of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of bond yields Downloads
Lucio Sarno, Daniel Thornton and Giorgio Valente
2003-020: International evidence on the stability of the optimizing IS equation Downloads
Amit Kara and Edward Nelson
2003-019: Money and the transmission mechanism in the optimizing IS-LM specification Downloads
Edward Nelson
2003-018: Implied volatility from options on gold futures: do statistical forecasts add value or simply paint the lilly? Downloads
Christopher Neely
2003-017: A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data Downloads
James Bullard and James Feigenbaum
2003-016: On the information content of asymmetric FOMC policy statements: evidence from a Taylor-rule perspective Downloads
Michael Pakko
2003-015: Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim, Jeremy Piger and Richard Startz
2003-014: Gold, fiat money and price stability Downloads
Michael Bordo, Robert Dittmar and William Gavin
2003-013: Did the Great Inflation occur despite policymaker commitment to a Taylor rule? Downloads
James Bullard and Stefano Eusepi
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