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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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2003-004: Pass-through estimates and the choice of an exchange rate index Downloads
Patricia Pollard and Cletus Coughlin
2003-003: Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? Downloads
Thomas Garrett, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Michael Owyang
2003-002: FOMC forecasts: is all the information in the central tendency? Downloads
William Gavin
2003-001: Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle Downloads
Neville Francis and Michael Owyang
2002-032: Entrepreneurship and the deregulation of banking: how strong is the evidence? Downloads
Howard Wall
2002-031: Patent licensing revisited: heterogeneous firms and product differentiation Downloads
Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Gerard Llobet
2002-030: Substitution elasticities and investment dynamics in two country business cycle models Downloads
Michael Pakko
2002-029: What's unique about the federal funds rate? evidence from a spectral perspective Downloads
Lucio Sarno, Daniel Thornton and Yi Wen
2002-028: Monetary policy transparency: transparent about what? Downloads
Daniel Thornton
2002-027: Mergers and acquisitions in Germany Downloads
Frank A. Schmid and Mark Wahrenburg
2002-026: Cracks in the facade: American economic and financial structures after the boom Downloads
William Emmons and Frank A. Schmid
2002-025: Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index Downloads
Michael Dueker and Charles Nelson
2002-024: Aggregated vs. disaggregated data in regression analysis: implications for inference Downloads
Thomas Garrett
2002-023: Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? Downloads
Andrew Levin and Jeremy Piger
2002-022: Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure Downloads
Leora Friedberg and Michael Owyang
2002-021: Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence Downloads
Michael Owyang and Abbigail J. Chiodo
2002-020: New evidence on the Fed's productivity in providing payments services Downloads
R. Gilbert, David Wheelock and Paul Wilson
2002-019: Entrepreneurship and the policy environment Downloads
Yannis Georgellis and Howard Wall
2002-018: Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR Downloads
Michael Owyang
2002-017: Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? and does it matter? Downloads
Christopher Neely
2002-016: Directly measuring early exercise premiums using American and European S&P 500 index options Downloads
Michael Dueker and Thomas W. Miller
2002-015: Tax competition and tax harmonization with evasion Downloads
Nestor Gandelman and Ruben Hernandez-Murillo
2002-014: Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Jeremy Piger
2002-013: Time-varying risk premia and the cross section of stock returns Downloads
Hui Guo
2002-012: The political economy of FEMA disaster payments Downloads
Thomas Garrett and Russell Sobel
2002-011: State lottery revenue: the importance of game characteristics Downloads
Thomas Garrett and Russell Sobel
2002-010: Inefficient education spending in public school districts: a case for consolidation Downloads
Thomas Garrett and Marvin E. Dodson
2002-009: Aviation security and terrorism: a review of the economic issues Downloads
Cletus Coughlin, Jeffrey Cohen and Sarosh Khan
2002-008: On the out-of-sample predictability of stock market returns Downloads
Hui Guo
2002-007: How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates? Downloads
Christopher Neely and Lucio Sarno
2002-006: Intermediaries and payments instruments Downloads
James Bullard and Bruce Smith
2002-005: Federal funds rate prediction Downloads
Lucio Sarno, Daniel Thornton and Giorgio Valente
2002-004: Stock prices, firm size, and changes in the federal funds rate target Downloads
Hui Guo
2002-003: Stochastic capital depreciation and the comovement of hours and productivity Downloads
Michael Dueker, Andreas Fischer and Robert Dittmar
2002-002: Escapist policy rules Downloads
James Bullard and In-Koo Cho
2002-001: Understanding the risk-return tradeoff in the stock market Downloads
Hui Guo
2001-025: Fixing Swiss potholes: the importance of improvements Downloads
Michael Dueker and Andreas Fischer
2001-024: The importance of scale economies and geographic diversification in community bank mergers Downloads
William Emmons, R. Gilbert and Timothy J. Yeager
2001-023: Corporate governance, entrenched labor, and economic growth Downloads
William Emmons and Frank A. Schmid
2001-022: Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model Downloads
Ming Lo and Jeremy Piger
2001-021: Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns? Downloads
Michael Dueker and Christopher Neely
2001-020: What happens when the technology growth trend changes?: transition dynamics, capital growth and the "new economy" Downloads
Michael Pakko
2001-019: Forecasting macro variables with a Qual VAR business cycle turning point index Downloads
Michael Dueker and Katrin Wesche
2001-018: Aggregate price shocks and financial stability: the United Kingdom 1796-1999 Downloads
Michael Bordo, Michael Dueker and David Wheelock
2001-017: The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim, Jeremy Piger and Richard Startz
2001-016: The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim, Charles Nelson and Jeremy Piger
2001-015: The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting Downloads
Evan Koenig, Sheila Dolmas and Jeremy Piger
2001-014: Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations Downloads
Chang-Jin Kim and Jeremy Piger
2001-013: Markov regime switching and unit root tests Downloads
Charles Nelson, Eric Zivot and Jeremy Piger
2001-012: Dynamic forecasts of qualitative variables: a Qual VAR model of U.S. recessions Downloads
Michael Dueker
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