Details about Tyler Atkinson

Access statistics for papers by Tyler Atkinson.

Last updated 2025-04-28. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pat122

Working Papers

2026

1. Skewness warrants caution as Trimmed Mean PCE inflation eases
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
2. Young workers’ employment drops in occupations with high AI exposure
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2025

3. Is inflation still slowing? Early 2025 data pivotal to outlook
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
4. What is keeping core inflation above 2 percent?
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2024

5. Inflation forecasts based on money growth proved accurate in 2021, though generally unreliable
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
6. Rising unemployment does not mean recession is inevitable
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
7. Rising unemployment doesn’t counter signs of strong GDP growth
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
8. Running the economy hotter for longer could steepen Phillips curve
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2023

9. How long is the soft-landing runway for the labor market?
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
10. Rent inflation remains on track to slow over the coming year
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
11. Wage growth still exceeds 3 percent despite slowing in business survey measures
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2022

12. Inflation in Services Likely to Rise Further Despite Slowing Goods Prices
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
13. Initial Unemployment Claims Appear Stable over Past Several Months
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
14. Nominal GDP Outlook Suggests It's Time to End Monetary Accommodation
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
15. U.S. Likely Didn’t Slip into Recession in Early 2022 Despite Negative GDP Growth
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2021

16. Average Inflation over the Pandemic Avoids 'Base-Effect' Distortions
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
17. The Labor Market May Be Tighter than the Level of Employment Suggests
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
18. What Might Inflation Look Like Next Year?
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
19. What the Trimmed Mean Says About Future Inflation: Broadening Price Pressures Ahead
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2020

20. Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
21. Dallas Fed Mobility and Engagement Index Gives Insight into COVID-19’s Economic Impact
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
22. Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (9)
23. Pandemic Disproportionately Affects Women, Minority Labor Force Participation
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
24. The Production Process Drives Fluctuations in Output and Uncertainty
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
25. U.S. Economic Rebound Uneven amid Resurgent Local COVID-19 Outbreaks
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2019

26. Changes in Labor Force Participation Help Explain Recent Job Gains
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
27. Consumer Surveys Suggest Economic Conditions Remain Healthy but Growth Is Slowing
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
28. Consumers’ and Economists’ Differing Inflation Views Can Complicate Policymaking
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2018

29. The Zero Lower Bound and Estimation Accuracy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (24)

2017

30. Equity Regulation and U.S. Venture Capital Investment
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
   Review of Economic Dynamics, 2022, 44, 225-243 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Working Papers (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2017

2. America’s Missing Workers Are Primarily Middle Educated
   Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (4), 1-4

2016

3. Is rising unemployment an early warning of state-level recession?
   Economic Letter, 2016, 11, (8), 1-4

2013

4. Assessing the costs and consequences of the 2007–09 financial crisis and its aftermath
   Economic Letter, 2013, 8, (7) View citations (15)
5. How bad was it? The costs and consequences of the 2007–09 financial crisis
   Staff Papers, 2013, (Jul) View citations (34)

2012

6. High unemployment points to below-target (but still stable) inflation
   Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (12) View citations (1)
7. Inflation, slack, and Fed credibility
   Staff Papers, 2012, (Jan) View citations (4)

2010

8. Gauging the odds of a double-dip recession amid signals and slowdowns
   Economic Letter, 2010, 5, (12), 1-4 View citations (1)