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Details about Roberto Golinelli

E-mail:
Homepage:https://sites.google.com/site/robigolinelli/
Postal address:Department of Economics Strada Maggiore, 45 40125 - Bologna Italy
Workplace:Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche (Department of Economics), Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna (University of Bologna), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Roberto Golinelli.

Last updated 2021-03-30. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgo234


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Working Papers

2019

  1. Uncertainty, Perception and the Internet
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (6)

2018

  1. Parameter heterogeneity, persistence and cross-sectional dependence: new insights on fiscal policy reaction functions for the Euro area
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (2)

2016

  1. A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (15)
  2. Generalized State-Dependent Models: A Multivariate Approach
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads

2015

  1. Dynamic corporate capital structure behavior: empirical assessment in the light of heterogeneity and non stationarity
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University (2015) Downloads

2014

  1. ICT and Non-ICT investments: short and long run macro dynamics
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads
    Also in Working Papers LuissLab, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli (2014) Downloads
  2. Inflation Expectations and the Two Forms of Inattentiveness
    Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section Downloads
  3. The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2017)

2013

  1. Potential Output, Output Gap, and Inflation in Italy in the Long Term (1861-2010): An Econometric Analysis
    Quaderni di storia economica (Economic History Working Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Tracking world trade and GDP in real time
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2014)

2012

  1. Do Households Anchor their Inflation Expectations? Theory and Evidence from a Household Survey
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (9)
  2. Forecasting world output: the rising importance of emerging economies
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Household Inflation Expectations: Information Gathering, Inattentive or ‘Stubborn’?
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads

2011

  1. Did Growth and Reforms Increase Citizens' Support for the Transition?
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna (2011) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in European Journal of Political Economy (2013)

2009

  1. Family firms and investments
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (14)
  2. Households Forming Inflation Expectations: Who Are the 'Active' and 'Passive' Learners?
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads

2008

  1. The cyclical response of fiscal policies in the euro area. Why do results of empirical research differ so strongly?
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (28)

2007

  1. Why demand uncertainty curbs investment: Evidence froma a panel of Italian manufacturing firms
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2010)

2006

  1. Real-time determinants of fiscal policies in the euro area: Fiscal rules, cyclical conditions and elections
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (9)

2005

  1. Short-Run Italian GDP Forecasting and Real-Time Data
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (13)

2004

  1. Corporate taxation and its reform:the effects on corporate financing decisions in Italy
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. What is this thing called confidence? A comparative analysis of consumer confidence indices in eight major countries
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (8)

2002

  1. Modelling Inflation in EU Accession Countries: The Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
    Eastward Enlargement of the Euro-zone Working Papers, Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence Downloads View citations (9)
  2. Monetary Policy Transmission, Interest Rate Rules and Inflation Targeting in Three Transition Countries
    Eastward Enlargement of the Euro-zone Working Papers, Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna (2001) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Banking & Finance (2005)
  3. Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (13)

2001

  1. Hungary and Poland
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (45)
  2. Is financial leverage mean-reverting? Unit root tests and corporate financing models
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (5)

2000

  1. Forecasting Industrial Production in the Euro Area
    Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (36)
    Also in Working Papers, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi (2000) View citations (31)

    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2000)

1998

  1. Fatti stilizzati e metodi econometrici "Moderni": una rivalutazione della Curva di Phillips per l'Italia (1951-1996)
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads
  2. Testing for Structural Change in Cointegrated Relationships. Analysis of price-wages models for Poland and Hungary
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Change and Restructuring (2000)

1996

  1. Exchange rate Inflation and Unemployment in East European Economies: the Case of Poland and Hungary
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (11)
    Also in Ace Project Memoranda, Department of Economics, University of Leicester

    See also Journal Article in Economic Change and Restructuring (1998)
  2. Modellazione Econometrica per la previsione congiunturale: un esercizio su produzione, prezzi e moneta
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (1)

1994

  1. Price-Wage Dynamics is A Transition Economy: The Case of Poland
    Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Change and Restructuring (1994)

1989

  1. Medium Term Prospects for the European Economies
    Discussion Papers, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy Downloads

Journal Articles

2020

  1. A multilevel index of heterogeneous short-term and long-term debt dynamics
    Journal of Corporate Finance, 2020, 64, (C) Downloads

2018

  1. Short- and long-run heterogeneous investment dynamics
    Empirical Economics, 2018, 54, (2), 343-378 Downloads View citations (3)

2017

  1. The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time
    Empirical Economics, 2017, 53, (1), 79-99 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2015

  1. The changing relationship between inflation and the economic cycle in Italy: 1861–2012
    Explorations in Economic History, 2015, 56, (C), 53-70 Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Tracking world trade and GDP in real time
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 30, (4), 847-862 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

  1. Building the core of the Istat system of models for forecasting the Italian economy: MeMo-It
    Rivista di statistica ufficiale, 2013, 15, (1), 17-45 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. Did growth and reforms increase citizens' support for the transition?
    European Journal of Political Economy, 2013, 30, (C), 112-137 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. Family firms’ investments, uncertainty and opacity
    Small Business Economics, 2013, 40, (4), 1035-1058 Downloads View citations (36)
  4. THE MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS FOR ITALY (MEMO-IT): POLICY EVALUATION AND FUTURE CHALLANGES
    RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, 2013, 67, (2), 172-179 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. What determines households inflation expectations? Theory and evidence from a household survey
    European Economic Review, 2013, 61, (C), 1-13 Downloads View citations (30)

2012

  1. The effect of neglecting the slope parameters’ heterogeneity on dynamic models of corporate capital structure
    Quantitative Finance, 2012, 12, (11), 1733-1751 Downloads View citations (4)

2010

  1. Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models
    Empirical Economics, 2010, 39, (2), 303-336 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. Households Forming Inflation Expectations: Active and Passive Absorption Rates
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2010, 10, (1), 1-32 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Why demand uncertainty curbs investment: Evidence from a panel of Italian manufacturing firms
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2010, 32, (1), 218-238 Downloads View citations (59)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2009

  1. The Cyclical Reaction of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: The Role of Modelling Choices and Data Vintages
    Fiscal Studies, 2009, 30, (1), 39-72 Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Fiscal Studies, 2009, 30, (1), 39-72 (2009) Downloads View citations (52)

2008

  1. Real-time squared: A real-time data set for real-time GDP forecasting
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 24, (3), 368-385 Downloads View citations (20)

2007

  1. The use of monthly indicators to forecast quarterly GDP in the short run: an application to the G7 countries
    Journal of Forecasting, 2007, 26, (2), 77-94 Downloads View citations (49)

2006

  1. Real-time determinants of fiscal policies in the euro area
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2006, 28, (9), 943-964 Downloads View citations (55)

2005

  1. Corporate Tax Reforms and Financial Choices: An Empirical Analysis
    Giornale degli Economisti, 2005, 64, (2-3), 271-294 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Le famiglie italiane e l'introduzione dell'euro: storia di uno shock annunciato
    Politica economica, 2005, (2), 201-226 Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Monetary policy transmission, interest rate rules and inflation targeting in three transition countries
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2005, 29, (1), 183-201 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2004

  1. Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20, (3), 447-460 Downloads View citations (173)
  2. Consumer Sentiment and Economic Activity: A Cross Country Comparison
    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2004, 2004, (2), 147-170 Downloads View citations (41)

2002

  1. Core inflation in the Euro area
    Applied Economics Letters, 2002, 9, (6), 353-357 Downloads View citations (26)
  2. Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area
    The European Journal of Finance, 2002, 8, (4), 371-401 Downloads View citations (71)
  3. Painless disinflation? Monetary policy rules in Hungary, 1991‐99
    The Economics of Transition, 2002, 10, (1), 55-91 Downloads View citations (8)

2001

  1. Forecasting industrial production in the Euro area
    Empirical Economics, 2000, 25, (4), 541-561 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2000

  1. Testing for Structural Change in Cointegrated Relationships: Analysis of Price-Wages Models for Poland and Hungary
    Economic Change and Restructuring, 2000, 33, (1-2), 19-51 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1998

  1. Exchange Rate, Inflation and Unemployment in East European Economies: The Case of Poland and Hungary
    Economic Change and Restructuring, 1998, 31, (1), 29-55 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  2. Fatti stilizzati e metodi econometrici "moderni": una rivisitazione della curva di Phillips per l'Italia (1951-1996)
    Politica economica, 1998, (3), 411-446 Downloads View citations (3)

1994

  1. Price-Wage Dynamics in a Transition Economy: The Case of Poland
    Economic Change and Restructuring, 1994, 27, (3), 293-313 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (1994)

Chapters

2010

  1. Forecasting industrial production: the role of information and methods
    A chapter in The IFC's contribution to the 57th ISI Session, Durban, August 2009, 2010, vol. 33, pp 227-235 Downloads
 
Page updated 2021-04-14