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Details about Fred Joutz

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.home.gwu.edu/~bmark
Workplace:H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, Center for Economic Research, Department of Economics, George Washington University, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Economics, George Washington University, (more information at EDIRC)
King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC), (more information at EDIRC)
Center for Economic Research, Department of Economics, George Washington University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Fred Joutz.

Last updated 2021-01-18. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pjo231


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Working Papers

2020

  1. KGEMM: A Macroecnometric Model for Saudi Arabia
    Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Downloads
  2. Modeling Sectoral Employment in Saudi Arabia
    Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Downloads

2019

  1. Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are the Price and Income Elasticities Constant?
    Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Macroeconomic Challenges for Eastern Africa
    Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Downloads
  2. Natural Resource Revenue Management Strategies in Developing Countries: A Calibrated Macroeconomic Model for Uganda
    Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Downloads
  3. The Challenges of Macroeconomic Management of Natural Resource Revenues in Developing Countries: The Case of Uganda
    Research Series, Economic Policy Research Centre (EPRC) Downloads View citations (1)

2013

  1. A macroeconometric model for making effective policy decisions in the Republic of Azerbaijan
    International Conference on Energy, Regional Integration and Socio-economic Development, EcoMod Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect future volatility? Evidence from the ECB Surveys
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting Downloads View citations (3)

2012

  1. Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting Downloads View citations (2)

2011

  1. Measuring Energy Security; Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (76)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Policy (2011)

2010

  1. Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting Downloads View citations (44)
    Also in Working Papers, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy (2009) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2010)

2008

  1. Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The Impact of Public Capital, Human Capital, and Knowledge on Aggregate Output
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (9)

2007

  1. What Explains Germany’s Rebounding Export Market Share?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (26)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2007) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in CESifo Economic Studies (2008)

2005

  1. Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity; An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (2006)
  2. The Yield Curve Slope and Monetary Policy Innovations
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads

2000

  1. RETAIL FOOD PRICE FORECASTING AT ERS: THE PROCESS, METHODOLOGY, AND PERFORMANCE FROM 1984 TO 1997
    Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service Downloads View citations (2)

1996

  1. Forecasting Seven Components of the Food CPI: An Initial Assessment
    Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service Downloads View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2016

  1. Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect volatility? Evidence from the ECB surveys
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 32, (4), 1178-1192 Downloads View citations (10)

2015

  1. Impacts of climate change on power sector NOx emissions: A long-run analysis of the US mid-atlantic region
    Energy Policy, 2015, 84, (C), 11-21 Downloads View citations (4)

2014

  1. Interpreting and evaluating CESIfo's World Economic Survey directional forecasts
    Economic Modelling, 2014, 38, (C), 6-11 Downloads View citations (15)

2011

  1. Inflation illusion or no illusion: what did pre- and post-war data say?
    Applied Financial Economics, 2011, 21, (21), 1599-1603 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Measuring energy security: Trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies
    Energy Policy, 2011, 39, (9), 4860-4869 Downloads View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

  1. Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?
    Economics Letters, 2010, 108, (1), 28-32 Downloads View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Interview with Herman O. Stekler
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (1), 195-203 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Methods for identifying emerging General Purpose Technologies: a case study of nanotechnologies
    Scientometrics, 2010, 85, (1), 155-170 Downloads View citations (9)
  4. Sectoral demand for petroleum in Thailand
    Energy Economics, 2010, 32, (Supplement 1), S15-S25 Downloads View citations (4)

2009

  1. Exploring the link between oil prices and tanker rates
    Maritime Policy & Management, 2009, 36, (3), 215-233 Downloads View citations (15)

2008

  1. What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share?
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2008, 54, (4), 681-714 Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2007

  1. An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2007, 22, (1), 121-136 Downloads View citations (55)

2006

  1. An unobserved component model of asset pricing across financial markets
    International Review of Financial Analysis, 2006, 15, (1), 86-107 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity: An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
    IMF Staff Papers, 2006, 53, (2), 3 Downloads View citations (45)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2004

  1. Residential electricity demand in Taiwan
    Energy Economics, 2004, 26, (2), 201-224 Downloads View citations (155)

2003

  1. 20/20 Foresight Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World,: by Hugh Courtney, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, Massachusetts, 2001. ISBN 1-57851-266-2
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2003, 19, (3), 539-541 Downloads

2000

  1. An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2000, 16, (1), 17-38 Downloads View citations (79)
  2. Factors affecting the yields on noninvestment grade bond indices: a cointegration analysis
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2000, 7, (1), 57-86 Downloads View citations (16)

1999

  1. An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 1999, 21, (1), 179-187 Downloads View citations (1)

1998

  1. Data revisions and forecasting
    Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (8), 1011-1016 Downloads View citations (13)

1997

  1. Forecasting CPI Food Prices: An Assessment
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1997, 79, (5), 1681-1685 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Modeling and forecasting U.S. Patent application filings
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1997, 19, (5), 491-535 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Real Wages over the Business Cycle
    Eastern Economic Journal, 1997, 23, (3), 277-291 Downloads View citations (12)
  4. Short and long-run elasticities in US residential electricity demand: a co-integration approach
    Energy Economics, 1997, 19, (4), 493-513 Downloads View citations (112)

1996

  1. Testing of macroeconometric models: Ray C. Fair, 1994, (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA), 421 pp., ISBN 0-674-87503-6
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1996, 12, (4), 559-561 Downloads

1993

  1. An application of estimating structural vector autoregression models with long-run restrictions
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 1993, 15, (4), 723-745 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances: Comment
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (5), 1387-93 Downloads View citations (85)

1992

  1. Using stochastic simulation to test the effect of seasonal adjustment on forecast standard errors of motor gasoline demand
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (2), 219-231 Downloads View citations (1)

1988

  1. Informational efficiency tests of quarterly macroeconometric GNP forecasts from 1976 to 1985
    Managerial and Decision Economics, 1988, 9, (4), 311-330 View citations (4)
 
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