Details about Fred Joutz

This author is deceased.

Access statistics for papers by Fred Joutz.

Last updated 2023-12-26. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pjo231

Working Papers

2021

1. Saudi Non-oil Exports Before and After COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
   See also Journal Article Saudi Non-Oil Exports before and after COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis, Sustainability, MDPI (2022) View citations (2) (2022)

2020

2. KGEMM: A Macroecnometric Model for Saudi Arabia
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center View citations (3)
3. Modeling Sectoral Employment in Saudi Arabia
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center

2019

4. Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are the Price and Income Elasticities Constant?
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center View citations (3)

2015

5. Macroeconomic Challenges for Eastern Africa
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
6. Natural Resource Revenue Management Strategies in Developing Countries: A Calibrated Macroeconomic Model for Uganda
   Discussion Papers, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
7. The Challenges of Macroeconomic Management of Natural Resource Revenues in Developing Countries: The Case of Uganda
   Research Series, Economic Policy Research Centre (EPRC) View citations (2)

2013

8. A macroeconometric model for making effective policy decisions in the Republic of Azerbaijan
   International Conference on Energy, Regional Integration and Socio-economic Development, EcoMod View citations (3)
9. Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect future volatility? Evidence from the ECB Surveys
   Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting View citations (3)

2012

10. Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting View citations (2)

2011

11. Measuring Energy Security: Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (112)
    See also Journal Article Measuring energy security: Trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies, Energy Policy, Elsevier (2011) View citations (112) (2011)

2010

12. Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting View citations (55)
    Also in Working Papers, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy (2009)
    See also Journal Article Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2010) View citations (60) (2010)

2008

13. Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting View citations (2)
14. The Impact of Public Capital, Human Capital, and Knowledge on Aggregate Output
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)

2007

15. What Explains Germany’s Rebounding Export Market Share?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (29)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2007) View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share?, CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group (2008) View citations (38) (2008)

2005

16. Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity: An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity: An Endogenous Growth Puzzle, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (2006) View citations (54) (2006)
17. The Yield Curve Slope and Monetary Policy Innovations
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies View citations (1)

2000

18. RETAIL FOOD PRICE FORECASTING AT ERS: THE PROCESS, METHODOLOGY, AND PERFORMANCE FROM 1984 TO 1997
    Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (3)

1996

19. Forecasting Seven Components of the Food CPI: An Initial Assessment
    Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Saudi Non-Oil Exports before and after COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis
   Sustainability, 2022, 14, (4), 1-38 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper Saudi Non-oil Exports Before and After COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis, Discussion Papers (2021) (2021)

2021

2. Sectoral employment analysis for Saudi Arabia
   Applied Economics, 2021, 53, (45), 5267-5280 View citations (1)

2016

3. Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect volatility? Evidence from the ECB surveys
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 32, (4), 1178-1192 View citations (19)

2015

4. Impacts of climate change on power sector NOx emissions: A long-run analysis of the US mid-atlantic region
   Energy Policy, 2015, 84, (C), 11-21 View citations (5)

2014

5. Interpreting and evaluating CESIfo's World Economic Survey directional forecasts
   Economic Modelling, 2014, 38, (C), 6-11 View citations (18)

2011

6. Inflation illusion or no illusion: what did pre- and post-war data say?
   Applied Financial Economics, 2011, 21, (21), 1599-1603 View citations (5)
7. Measuring energy security: Trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies
   Energy Policy, 2011, 39, (9), 4860-4869 View citations (112)
   See also Working Paper Measuring Energy Security: Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies, IMF Working Papers (2011) View citations (112) (2011)

2010

8. Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?
   Economics Letters, 2010, 108, (1), 28-32 View citations (60)
   See also Working Paper Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?, Working Papers (2010) View citations (55) (2010)
9. Interview with Herman O. Stekler
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (1), 195-203 View citations (1)
10. Methods for identifying emerging General Purpose Technologies: a case study of nanotechnologies
    Scientometrics, 2010, 85, (1), 155-170 View citations (12)
11. Sectoral demand for petroleum in Thailand
    Energy Economics, 2010, 32, (Supplement 1), S15-S25 View citations (6)

2009

12. Exploring the link between oil prices and tanker rates
    Maritime Policy & Management, 2009, 36, (3), 215-233 View citations (22)

2008

13. What Explains Germany's Rebounding Export Market Share?
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2008, 54, (4), 681-714 View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper What Explains Germany’s Rebounding Export Market Share?, IMF Working Papers (2007) View citations (29) (2007)

2007

14. An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2007, 22, (1), 121-136 View citations (68)

2006

15. An unobserved component model of asset pricing across financial markets
    International Review of Financial Analysis, 2006, 15, (1), 86-107 View citations (8)
16. Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity: An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
    IMF Staff Papers, 2006, 53, (2), 3 View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper Relating the Knowledge Production Function to Total Factor Productivity: An Endogenous Growth Puzzle, IMF Working Papers (2005) View citations (22) (2005)

2004

17. Residential electricity demand in Taiwan
    Energy Economics, 2004, 26, (2), 201-224 View citations (182)

2003

18. 20/20 Foresight Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World,: by Hugh Courtney, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, Massachusetts, 2001. ISBN 1-57851-266-2
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2003, 19, (3), 539-541

2000

19. An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2000, 16, (1), 17-38 View citations (94)
20. Factors affecting the yields on noninvestment grade bond indices: a cointegration analysis
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2000, 7, (1), 57-86 View citations (19)

1999

21. An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 1999, 21, (1), 179-187 View citations (1)

1998

22. Data revisions and forecasting
    Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (8), 1011-1016 View citations (13)

1997

23. Forecasting CPI Food Prices: An Assessment
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1997, 79, (5), 1681-1685 View citations (7)
24. Modeling and forecasting U.S. Patent application filings
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1997, 19, (5), 491-535 View citations (2)
25. Real Wages over the Business Cycle
    Eastern Economic Journal, 1997, 23, (3), 277-291 View citations (13)
26. Short and long-run elasticities in US residential electricity demand: a co-integration approach
    Energy Economics, 1997, 19, (4), 493-513 View citations (129)

1996

27. Testing of macroeconometric models: Ray C. Fair, 1994, (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA), 421 pp., ISBN 0-674-87503-6
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1996, 12, (4), 559-561

1993

28. An application of estimating structural vector autoregression models with long-run restrictions
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 1993, 15, (4), 723-745 View citations (10)
29. The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances: Comment
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (5), 1387-93 View citations (90)

1992

30. Using stochastic simulation to test the effect of seasonal adjustment on forecast standard errors of motor gasoline demand
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (2), 219-231 View citations (1)

1988

31. Informational efficiency tests of quarterly macroeconometric GNP forecasts from 1976 to 1985
    Managerial and Decision Economics, 1988, 9, (4), 311-330 View citations (8)

Books

2023

1. A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia
   SpringerBriefs in Economics, Springer

Chapters

2023

1. A Brief History and Structure of KGEMM
   Springer
2. Database
   Springer
3. Executive Summary
   Springer
4. KGEMM Behavioral Equations and Identities
   Springer
5. KGEMM Methodology
   Springer
6. KGEMM Simulations
   Springer
7. Literature Review
   Springer
8. Theoretical Framework and Stylized Facts
   Springer