Details about Geoff Kenny

Access statistics for papers by Geoff Kenny.

Last updated 2024-11-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pke223

Working Papers

2025

1. How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2024

2. Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)
3. Labor Supply Response to Windfall Gains
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2023)
4. Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2023) View citations (7)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (6)
   FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2023) View citations (8)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)
5. The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2024) View citations (3)
6. Wealth Shocks and Portfolio Choice
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2022) View citations (1)

2023

7. Credibility Gains from Communicating with the Public: Evidence from the ECB’s new Monetary Policy Strategy
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
8. Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (13)
9. Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2023)
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2023)

2022

10. Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates
    European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022)
    See also Journal Article Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
11. Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (22) (2022)

2021

12. Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (7)
13. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: an overview and first evaluation
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (4)
14. The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (20)
15. The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (39)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021) View citations (40)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (39)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2021) View citations (39)
    See also Journal Article The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2024) View citations (16) (2024)

2020

16. The Covid-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (37)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2020) View citations (39)
    Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2020) View citations (36)
    CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2020) View citations (36)

2019

17. Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Euro Area Survey
    European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2018) View citations (22)

2017

18. EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (46)
    Also in European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2016) View citations (4)
19. The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (19)

2014

20. Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Empirical Economics, Springer (2015) View citations (17) (2015)

2013

21. Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2015) View citations (6) (2015)

2012

22. How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (16)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2014) View citations (30) (2014)

2011

23. Some lessons from the financial crisis for the economic analysis
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (27)

2010

24. Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (21)

2007

25. The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (97)

2004

26. Quality adjustment of European price statistics and the role for hedonics
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (81)

2002

27. The rationality of consumers' inflation expectations: survey-based evidence for the euro area
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (60)

1999

28. Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2003) View citations (10) (2003)
29. Inflation Analysis: An Overview
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (2)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (3)

1998

30. Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (28)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) View citations (26)
31. Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (48)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) View citations (49)
32. The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (19)

1997

33. A Monetary Approach to the Analysis of Inflation in Ireland
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (2)
34. Low Inflation or Price Stability? A Look at the Issues
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (1)

1996

35. Capacity Utilisation in Irish Manufacturing
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (6)
36. Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Irish Import Prices
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (7)
37. Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation In Ireland (Part 2)
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (6)
38. Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation in Ireland: Further Evidence*
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (4)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Consumer risk-taking and stock market investment: Insights using the CES’s consumer finance module
   Research Bulletin, 2024, 119
2. The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
   American Economic Review, 2024, 114, (3), 645-77 View citations (16)
   See also Working Paper The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, IZA Discussion Papers (2021) View citations (39) (2021)

2023

3. Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates
   European Economic Review, 2023, 157, (C) View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates, European Economy - Discussion Papers (2022) (2022)
4. Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look
   Research Bulletin, 2023, 104 View citations (1)

2022

5. Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, 129, (S), S1-S14 View citations (22)
   See also Working Paper Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey, Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (26) (2022)
6. Household spending and fiscal support during the pandemic – the role of public perceptions
   Research Bulletin, 2022, 94 View citations (7)

2021

7. Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?
   Research Bulletin, 2021, 79
8. How has the COVID-19 crisis affected different households’ consumption in the euro area?
   Research Bulletin, 2021, 84 View citations (2)
9. Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: Micro evidence from a large multi-country survey
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021, 118, (C), 120-134 View citations (43)

2020

10. Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2020, 16, (5), 309-347 View citations (23)

2015

11. Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2015, 11, (4), 1-46 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF, Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
12. Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
    Empirical Economics, 2015, 48, (3), 1203-1231 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Working Paper Series (2014) View citations (2) (2014)

2014

13. Comment
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2014, 32, (4), 500-504 View citations (5)
14. How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 33, (3), 163-185 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?, Working Paper Series (2012) View citations (16) (2012)

2013

15. Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (1), 108-121 View citations (169)

2010

16. An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (2), 1-28 View citations (37)
17. Macroeconomic forecasting: can forecast combination help?
    Research Bulletin, 2010, 11, 9-12 View citations (3)

2004

18. Survey Expectations, Rationality and the Dynamics of Euro Area Inflation
    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2004, 2004, (1), 13-41 View citations (45)

2003

19. Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply
    Economic Modelling, 2003, 20, (6), 1097-1111 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply, Research Technical Papers (1999) View citations (9) (1999)

1999

20. Modelling Traded, Non‐traded and Aggregate Inflation in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland
    Manchester School, 1999, 67, (1), 60-88 View citations (11)
21. Modelling the demand and supply sides of the housing market: evidence from Ireland1
    Economic Modelling, 1999, 16, (3), 389-409 View citations (49)

1998

22. Exchange rates and import prices for a small open economy: the case of Ireland
    Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (9), 1147-1155 View citations (17)

Edited books

2016

1. Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press

2010

2. Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)