Details about Geoff Kenny
Access statistics for papers by Geoff Kenny.
Last updated 2025-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pke223
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Working Papers
2025
- Consumer attitudes towards a central bank digital currency
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank
- HOW COSTLY ARE BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY AND INFLATION? A VOX POPULI APPROACH
Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute View citations (1)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2025) View citations (1) NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2025) View citations (1)
2024
- Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)
- Labor Supply Response to Windfall Gains
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 
Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2023)
- Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2023) View citations (8) IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2023) View citations (7) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2025) View citations (2) (2025)
- The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2024) View citations (3)
- Wealth Shocks and Portfolio Choice
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 
Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2022) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Wealth shocks and portfolio choice, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2025) (2025)
2023
- Credibility Gains from Communicating with the Public: Evidence from the ECB’s new Monetary Policy Strategy
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
- Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (13)
- Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo 
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2023)  Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2023) 
See also Journal Article Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2024) (2024)
2022
- Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates
European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission 
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022) 
See also Journal Article Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
- Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (31)
See also Journal Article Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (27) (2022)
2021
- Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (7)
- ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: an overview and first evaluation
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (5)
- The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (21)
- The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (39)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (39) Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2021) View citations (39) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021) View citations (40)
See also Journal Article The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2024) View citations (26) (2024)
2020
- The Covid-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries
CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy View citations (36)
Also in Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2020) View citations (36) Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2020) View citations (39) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (37)
2019
- Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Euro Area Survey
European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission View citations (2)
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2018) View citations (22)
2017
- EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (46)
Also in European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2016) View citations (4)
- The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (19)
2014
- Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Empirical Economics, Springer (2015) View citations (17) (2015)
2013
- Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2015) View citations (6) (2015)
2012
- How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (16)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (8)
See also Journal Article How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2014) View citations (30) (2014)
2011
- Some lessons from the financial crisis for the economic analysis
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (27)
2010
- Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (21)
2007
- The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (97)
2004
- Quality adjustment of European price statistics and the role for hedonics
Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (81)
2002
- The rationality of consumers' inflation expectations: survey-based evidence for the euro area
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (60)
1999
- Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2003) View citations (10) (2003)
- Inflation Analysis: An Overview
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (2)
Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (3)
1998
- Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (26)
Also in Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland (1998) View citations (28)
- Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (48)
Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) View citations (49)
- The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (19)
1997
- A Monetary Approach to the Analysis of Inflation in Ireland
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (2)
- Low Inflation or Price Stability? A Look at the Issues
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (1)
1996
- Capacity Utilisation in Irish Manufacturing
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (6)
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Irish Import Prices
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (7)
- Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation In Ireland (Part 2)
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (6)
- Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation in Ireland: Further Evidence*
Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (4)
Journal Articles
2025
- Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings
Econometrica, 2025, 93, (1), 229-264 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings, Working Paper Series (2024) View citations (2) (2024)
- Wealth shocks and portfolio choice
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2025, 149, (C) 
See also Working Paper Wealth Shocks and Portfolio Choice, CEPR Discussion Papers (2024) (2024)
2024
- Consumer risk-taking and stock market investment: Insights using the CES’s consumer finance module
Research Bulletin, 2024, 119
- Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2024, 39, (6), 1104-1122 
See also Working Paper Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach, CESifo Working Paper Series (2023) (2023)
- The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
American Economic Review, 2024, 114, (3), 645-77 View citations (26)
See also Working Paper The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, IZA Discussion Papers (2021) View citations (39) (2021)
2023
- Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates
European Economic Review, 2023, 157, (C) View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates, European Economy - Discussion Papers (2022) (2022)
- Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look
Research Bulletin, 2023, 104 View citations (1)
2022
- Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, 129, (S), S1-S14 View citations (27)
See also Working Paper Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey, Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (31) (2022)
- Household spending and fiscal support during the pandemic – the role of public perceptions
Research Bulletin, 2022, 94 View citations (8)
2021
- Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?
Research Bulletin, 2021, 79
- How has the COVID-19 crisis affected different households’ consumption in the euro area?
Research Bulletin, 2021, 84 View citations (2)
- Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: Micro evidence from a large multi-country survey
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021, 118, (C), 120-134 View citations (43)
2020
- Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area
International Journal of Central Banking, 2020, 16, (5), 309-347 View citations (23)
2015
- Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF
International Journal of Central Banking, 2015, 11, (4), 1-46 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF, Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
- Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
Empirical Economics, 2015, 48, (3), 1203-1231 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Working Paper Series (2014) View citations (2) (2014)
2014
- Comment
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2014, 32, (4), 500-504 View citations (5)
- How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?
Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 33, (3), 163-185 View citations (30)
See also Working Paper How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?, Working Paper Series (2012) View citations (16) (2012)
2013
- Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (1), 108-121 View citations (169)
2010
- An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (2), 1-28 View citations (37)
- Macroeconomic forecasting: can forecast combination help?
Research Bulletin, 2010, 11, 9-12 View citations (3)
2004
- Survey Expectations, Rationality and the Dynamics of Euro Area Inflation
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2004, 2004, (1), 13-41 View citations (45)
2003
- Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply
Economic Modelling, 2003, 20, (6), 1097-1111 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply, Research Technical Papers (1999) View citations (9) (1999)
1999
- Modelling Traded, Non‐traded and Aggregate Inflation in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland
Manchester School, 1999, 67, (1), 60-88 View citations (11)
- Modelling the demand and supply sides of the housing market: evidence from Ireland1
Economic Modelling, 1999, 16, (3), 389-409 View citations (49)
1998
- Exchange rates and import prices for a small open economy: the case of Ireland
Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (9), 1147-1155 View citations (17)
Edited books
2016
- Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
2010
- Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)
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