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Details about Geoff Kenny

Workplace:European Central Bank, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Geoff Kenny.

Last updated 2025-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pke223


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Working Papers

2025

  1. Consumer attitudes towards a central bank digital currency
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads
  2. HOW COSTLY ARE BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY AND INFLATION? A VOX POPULI APPROACH
    Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2025) Downloads View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2025) Downloads View citations (1)

2024

  1. Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024) Downloads
  2. Labor Supply Response to Windfall Gains
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2023) Downloads
  3. Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2023) Downloads View citations (8)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2023) Downloads View citations (7)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023) Downloads
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2025) Downloads View citations (2) (2025)
  4. The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2024) Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Wealth Shocks and Portfolio Choice
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy (2022) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Wealth shocks and portfolio choice, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2025) Downloads (2025)

2023

  1. Credibility Gains from Communicating with the Public: Evidence from the ECB’s new Monetary Policy Strategy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
  2. Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (13)
  3. Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2023) Downloads
    Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2023) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2024) Downloads (2024)

2022

  1. Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates
    European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2023) Downloads View citations (1) (2023)
  2. Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Journal Article Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (27) (2022)

2021

  1. Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (7)
  2. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: an overview and first evaluation
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (5)
  3. The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (21)
  4. The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) Downloads View citations (39)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) Downloads View citations (39)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2021) Downloads View citations (39)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021) Downloads View citations (40)

    See also Journal Article The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2024) Downloads View citations (26) (2024)

2020

  1. The Covid-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries
    CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy Downloads View citations (36)
    Also in Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2020) Downloads View citations (36)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2020) Downloads View citations (39)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (37)

2019

  1. Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Euro Area Survey
    European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2018) Downloads View citations (22)

2017

  1. EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (46)
    Also in European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2016) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (19)

2014

  1. Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Empirical Economics, Springer (2015) Downloads View citations (17) (2015)

2013

  1. Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2015) Downloads View citations (6) (2015)

2012

  1. How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2014) Downloads View citations (30) (2014)

2011

  1. Some lessons from the financial crisis for the economic analysis
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (27)

2010

  1. Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (21)

2007

  1. The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (97)

2004

  1. Quality adjustment of European price statistics and the role for hedonics
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (81)

2002

  1. The rationality of consumers' inflation expectations: survey-based evidence for the euro area
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (60)

1999

  1. Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2003) Downloads View citations (10) (2003)
  2. Inflation Analysis: An Overview
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) Downloads View citations (3)

1998

  1. Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (26)
    Also in Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland (1998) Downloads View citations (28)
  2. Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (48)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) Downloads View citations (49)
  3. The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (19)

1997

  1. A Monetary Approach to the Analysis of Inflation in Ireland
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Low Inflation or Price Stability? A Look at the Issues
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (1)

1996

  1. Capacity Utilisation in Irish Manufacturing
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Irish Import Prices
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation In Ireland (Part 2)
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (6)
  4. Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation in Ireland: Further Evidence*
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (4)

Journal Articles

2025

  1. Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings
    Econometrica, 2025, 93, (1), 229-264 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings, Working Paper Series (2024) Downloads View citations (2) (2024)
  2. Wealth shocks and portfolio choice
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2025, 149, (C) Downloads
    See also Working Paper Wealth Shocks and Portfolio Choice, CEPR Discussion Papers (2024) Downloads (2024)

2024

  1. Consumer risk-taking and stock market investment: Insights using the CES’s consumer finance module
    Research Bulletin, 2024, 119 Downloads
  2. Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2024, 39, (6), 1104-1122 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach, CESifo Working Paper Series (2023) Downloads (2023)
  3. The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
    American Economic Review, 2024, 114, (3), 645-77 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, IZA Discussion Papers (2021) Downloads View citations (39) (2021)

2023

  1. Consumer savings behaviour at low and negative interest rates
    European Economic Review, 2023, 157, (C) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates, European Economy - Discussion Papers (2022) Downloads (2022)
  2. Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look
    Research Bulletin, 2023, 104 Downloads View citations (1)

2022

  1. Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, 129, (S), S1-S14 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey, Working Paper Series (2022) Downloads View citations (31) (2022)
  2. Household spending and fiscal support during the pandemic – the role of public perceptions
    Research Bulletin, 2022, 94 Downloads View citations (8)

2021

  1. Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?
    Research Bulletin, 2021, 79 Downloads
  2. How has the COVID-19 crisis affected different households’ consumption in the euro area?
    Research Bulletin, 2021, 84 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound: Micro evidence from a large multi-country survey
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021, 118, (C), 120-134 Downloads View citations (43)

2020

  1. Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2020, 16, (5), 309-347 Downloads View citations (23)

2015

  1. Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro-Area SPF
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2015, 11, (4), 1-46 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF, Working Paper Series (2013) Downloads View citations (6) (2013)
  2. Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
    Empirical Economics, 2015, 48, (3), 1203-1231 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis, Working Paper Series (2014) Downloads View citations (2) (2014)

2014

  1. Comment
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2014, 32, (4), 500-504 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 33, (3), 163-185 Downloads View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper How informative are the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists?, Working Paper Series (2012) Downloads View citations (16) (2012)

2013

  1. Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (1), 108-121 Downloads View citations (169)

2010

  1. An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (2), 1-28 Downloads View citations (37)
  2. Macroeconomic forecasting: can forecast combination help?
    Research Bulletin, 2010, 11, 9-12 Downloads View citations (3)

2004

  1. Survey Expectations, Rationality and the Dynamics of Euro Area Inflation
    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2004, 2004, (1), 13-41 Downloads View citations (45)

2003

  1. Asymmetric adjustment costs and the dynamics of housing supply
    Economic Modelling, 2003, 20, (6), 1097-1111 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply, Research Technical Papers (1999) Downloads View citations (9) (1999)

1999

  1. Modelling Traded, Non‐traded and Aggregate Inflation in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland
    Manchester School, 1999, 67, (1), 60-88 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Modelling the demand and supply sides of the housing market: evidence from Ireland1
    Economic Modelling, 1999, 16, (3), 389-409 Downloads View citations (49)

1998

  1. Exchange rates and import prices for a small open economy: the case of Ireland
    Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (9), 1147-1155 Downloads View citations (17)

Edited books

2016

  1. Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press

2010

  1. Macroeconomic Performance in a Globalising Economy
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)
 
Page updated 2025-06-17