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Details about Evan F. Koenig

Workplace:Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Evan F. Koenig.

Last updated 2019-01-01. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pko435


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Working Papers

2019

  1. Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2016

  1. The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2011

  1. A real-time historical database for the OECD
    Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Monetary policy, financial stability, and the distribution of risk
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (2)

2010

  1. Yield spreads as predictors of economic activity: a real-time VAR analysis
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. How robust are popular models of nominal frictions?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2018)

2008

  1. Keynesian economics without the LM and IS curves: a dynamic generalization of the Taylor-Romer model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2005

  1. VAR estimation and forecasting when data are subject to revision
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (39)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2009)

2004

  1. Optimal monetary policy in economies with "sticky-information" wages
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (4)

2002

  1. The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2000) Downloads View citations (3)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2000) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2003)

2001

  1. What goes down must come up: understanding time-variation in the NAIRU
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

1998

  1. Taxing Government in a National Retail Sales Tax: Technical Paper 1999-5
    Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office Downloads View citations (1)

1997

  1. Real-time GDP Growth Forecasts
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (8)

1996

  1. Aggregate price adjustment: the Fischerian alternative
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (9)

1995

  1. Targeting nominal income: a closer look
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (1996)

1994

  1. Capacity utilization and the evolution of manufacturing output: a closer look at the "bounce-back effect."
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. The P* model of inflation revisited
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

1993

  1. Searching for a stable M2-demand equation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Why the composite index of leading indicators doesn't lead
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Contemporary Economic Policy (1994)

1992

  1. Forecasting turning points: is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (1992)
  2. Nominal feedback rules for monetary policy: some comments
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1990

  1. Is increased price flexibility stabilizing? The role of the permanent income hypothesis
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1989

  1. Are the permanent-income model of consumption and the accelerator model of investment compatible?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. Real money balances and the timing of consumption: an empirical investigation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1990)

1988

  1. Investment and the nominal interest rate: the variable velocity case
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Inquiry (1989)

Journal Articles

2018

  1. How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2018, 50, (6), 1299-1342 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2017

  1. Corporate Tax Reform: Potential Gains at a Price to Some
    Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (6), 1-4 Downloads
  2. Getting a Jump on Inflation
    Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (9), 1-4 Downloads
  3. Navigating by the Stars: The Natural Rate as Economic Forecasting Tool
    Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (2), 1-4 Downloads View citations (3)

2015

  1. Assessing monetary accommodation: a simple empirical model of monetary policy and its implications for unemployment and inflation
    Staff Papers, 2015, (Dec) Downloads

2014

  1. Are we there yet? assessing progress toward full employment and price stability
    Economic Letter, 2014, 9, (13), 1-4 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Credit Indicators as Predictors of Economic Activity: A Real‐Time VAR Analysis
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2014, 46, (2-3), 545-564 Downloads View citations (7)

2013

  1. Like a Good Neighbor: Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Distribution of Risk
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2013, 9, (2), 57-82 Downloads View citations (5)

2012

  1. All in the family: the close connection between nominal-GDP targeting and the Taylor Rule
    Staff Papers, 2012, (Mar) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. High unemployment points to below-target (but still stable) inflation
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (12), 1-4 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Inflation, slack, and Fed credibility
    Staff Papers, 2012, (Jan) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Real-time historical dataset enhances accuracy of economic analyses
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (july) Downloads

2011

  1. An IS-LM analysis of the zero-bound problem
    Staff Papers, 2011, (Apr) Downloads

2010

  1. Can alternative Taylor-rule specifications describe Federal Reserve policy decisions?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2010, 32, (6), 733-757 Downloads View citations (8)

2009

  1. VAR Estimation and Forecasting When Data Are Subject to Revision
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 30, (2), 181-190 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2008

  1. A regional perspective on the "Great Moderation"
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (May), 3-6 Downloads
  2. The relative performance of alternative Taylor rule specifications
    Staff Papers, 2008, (Jun) Downloads View citations (3)

2007

  1. The 'Great Moderation' in output and employment volatility: an update
    Economic Letter, 2007, 2, (sep) Downloads

2006

  1. Through a glass, darkly: how data revisions complicate monetary policy
    Economic Letter, 2006, 1, (dec) Downloads View citations (1)

2005

  1. The national economic outlook: continued growth likely
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 1, 9-13 Downloads View citations (1)

2004

  1. Monetary policy prospects
    Southwest Economy, 2004, (May), 1, 11-16 Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2004, 1-16 (2004) Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. Is the markup a useful real-time predictor of inflation?
    Economics Letters, 2003, 80, (2), 261-267 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Monetary policy in a zero-interest-rate economy
    Southwest Economy, 2003, (Jul), 1-5, 16 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 85, (3), 618-628 Downloads View citations (125)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2002

  1. New economy, new recession
    Southwest Economy, 2002, (Mar), 11-16 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Using the Purchasing Managers' Index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2002 Downloads View citations (16)

2001

  1. Down but not out: the U.S. economy after Sept. 11
    Southwest Economy, 2001, (Nov), 1, 6-8 Downloads

2000

  1. Is there a persistence problem? Part 2: Maybe not
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2000, (Q IV), 11-19 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Monetary policy: on the right track?
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Nov), 1, 6-9 Downloads
  3. Productivity, the stock market and monetary policy in the new economy
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Jan), 6-9, 12 Downloads

1999

  1. A fresh look at the national economy
    Southwest Economy, 1999, (Mar), 8-12 Downloads
  2. Achieving "Program Neutrality" Under a National Retail Sales Tax
    National Tax Journal, 1999, 52, (4), 683-98 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Is there a persistence problem? Part I: maybe
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1999, (Q IV), 10-15 Downloads

1998

  1. The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 1: the basic model
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1998, (Q 1), 24-37 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 2: extensions
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1998, (Q II), 1 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. What's new about the new economy?: some lessons from the current expansion
    Southwest Economy, 1998, (Jul), 7-11 Downloads View citations (5)

1997

  1. Is the Fed slave to a defunct economist
    Southwest Economy, 1997, (Sep), 5-8 Downloads

1996

  1. Capacity utilization as a real-time predictor of manufacturing output
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q III), 16-23 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Forecasting M2 growth: an exploration in real time
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q II), 16-26 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Interest rates and the recent weakness in M2: An extension to the P* model of inflation
    Journal of Economics and Business, 1996, 48, (5), 487-498 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Long-term interest rates and the recent weakness in M2
    Journal of Economics and Business, 1996, 48, (2), 81-101 Downloads View citations (5)
  5. Should high gold prices be a source of concern?
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jul), 6-9 Downloads
  6. Targeting nominal income: A closer look
    Economics Letters, 1996, 51, (1), 89-93 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1995)
  7. Tax reform: is the time right for a new approach?
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jan), 5-8 Downloads

1995

  1. Optimal monetary policy in an economy with sticky nominal wages
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1995, (Q II), 24-31 Downloads View citations (7)

1994

  1. Is there an output-inflation trade-off?
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Aug), 1-4 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 1994, 12, (1), 52-66 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1993

  1. Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 1
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1993, (Sep), 32-50 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 2
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1993, (Dec), 17-35 Downloads View citations (6)

1992

  1. Do interest rates help predict inflation?
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1992, (Q IV), 1-17
  2. Forecasting turning points: Is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?
    Economics Letters, 1992, 39, (4), 431-435 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  3. Growth in the U.S. economy depends on stronger consumer spending
    Southwest Economy, 1992, (Mar), 1-4 Downloads

1991

  1. Misleading indicators? Using the composite leading indicators to predict cyclical turning points
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1991, (Jul), 1-14 View citations (5)

1990

  1. A new monetary aggregate
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1990, (May), 1-15
  2. Real Money Balances and the Timing of Consumption: An Empirical Investigation
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1990, 105, (2), 399-425 Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1989

  1. Investment and the Nominal Interest Rate: The Variable Velocity Case
    Economic Inquiry, 1989, 27, (2), 325-44 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1988)
  2. Recent trade and exchange rate movements: possible explanations
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Sep), 13-28 View citations (2)

1987

  1. The Short-run 'Tobin Effect' in a Monetary Optimizing Model
    Economic Inquiry, 1987, 25, (1), 43-53 View citations (7)

1985

  1. Indirect Methods for Regulating Externalities Under Uncertainty
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (2), 479-493 Downloads View citations (8)

1984

  1. Controlling stock externalities in a common property fishery subject to uncertainty
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1984, 11, (2), 124-138 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Uncertainty and pollution: The role of indirect taxation
    Journal of Public Economics, 1984, 24, (1), 111-122 Downloads

1981

  1. Electric utility rate structures and distributed thermal energy storage: A cost-benefit analysis
    Energy, 1981, 6, (5), 457-470 Downloads

1975

  1. On Some Models of World Cataclysm
    Land Economics, 1975, 51, (1), 1-20 Downloads

1974

  1. Forrester, J. W., World Dynamics, Meadows, Donnella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Jorgen Randers, William W. Behrens, III, The Limits to Growth and Meadows, Dennis L., and Donella H. Meadows, eds., Toward Global Equilibrium: Collected Papers
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1974, 56, (1), 193-196 Downloads

Edited books

2012

  1. The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy
    Books, Hoover Institution, Stanford University Downloads View citations (8)

Chapters

2012

  1. Introduction
    Chapter 1 in The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy, 2012 Downloads View citations (3)
 
Page updated 2019-08-24