Details about Evan F. Koenig

Workplace:

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Evan F. Koenig.

Last updated 2024-11-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pko435

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Working Papers

2020

1. Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (9)

2019

2. Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (8)
   See also Journal Article Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison, Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2019) View citations (11) (2019)

2016

3. The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2011

4. A real-time historical database for the OECD
   Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (16)
5. Monetary policy, financial stability, and the distribution of risk
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (3)

2010

6. Yield spreads as predictors of economic activity: a real-time VAR analysis
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

2009

7. How robust are popular models of nominal frictions?
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
   See also Journal Article How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2018) View citations (1) (2018)

2008

8. Keynesian economics without the LM and IS curves: a dynamic generalization of the Taylor-Romer model
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2005

9. VAR estimation and forecasting when data are subject to revision
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (39)
   See also Journal Article VAR Estimation and Forecasting When Data Are Subject to Revision, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2009) View citations (3) (2009)

2004

10. Optimal monetary policy in economies with \"sticky-information\" wages
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (4)

2002

11. The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (1)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2000) View citations (3)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2000) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2003) View citations (158) (2003)

2001

12. What goes down must come up: understanding time-variation in the NAIRU
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

1998

13. Taxing Government in a National Retail Sales Tax: Technical Paper 1999-5
    Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office View citations (1)

1997

14. Real-time GDP Growth Forecasts
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (8)

1996

15. Aggregate price adjustment: the Fischerian alternative
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (9)

1995

16. Targeting nominal income: a closer look
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Targeting nominal income: A closer look, Economics Letters, Elsevier (1996) View citations (11) (1996)

1994

17. Capacity utilization and the evolution of manufacturing output: a closer look at the \"bounce-back effect.\"
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
18. The P* model of inflation revisited
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

1993

19. Searching for a stable M2-demand equation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
20. Why the composite index of leading indicators doesn't lead
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD, Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International (1994) View citations (5) (1994)

1992

21. Forecasting turning points: is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Forecasting turning points: Is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?, Economics Letters, Elsevier (1992) View citations (15) (1992)
22. Nominal feedback rules for monetary policy: some comments
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1990

23. Is increased price flexibility stabilizing? The role of the permanent income hypothesis
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1989

24. Are the permanent-income model of consumption and the accelerator model of investment compatible?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
25. Real money balances and the timing of consumption: an empirical investigation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    See also Journal Article Real Money Balances and the Timing of Consumption: An Empirical Investigation, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1990) View citations (43) (1990)

1988

26. Investment and the nominal interest rate: the variable velocity case
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Investment and the Nominal Interest Rate: The Variable Velocity Case, Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International (1989) View citations (2) (1989)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Finding a Role for Slack in Real-Time Inflation Forecasting
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2022, 18, (2), 245-282

2019

2. Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison
   Review, 2019, 101, (4) View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison, Working Papers (2019) View citations (8) (2019)

2018

3. How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2018, 50, (6), 1299-1342 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper How robust are popular models of nominal frictions?, Working Papers (2009) (2009)

2017

4. Corporate Tax Reform: Potential Gains at a Price to Some
   Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (6), 1-4
5. Getting a Jump on Inflation
   Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (9), 1-4
6. Navigating by the Stars: The Natural Rate as Economic Forecasting Tool
   Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (2), 1-4 View citations (3)

2015

7. Assessing monetary accommodation: a simple empirical model of monetary policy and its implications for unemployment and inflation
   Staff Papers, 2015, (Dec) View citations (3)

2014

8. Are we there yet? assessing progress toward full employment and price stability
   Economic Letter, 2014, 9, (13), 1-4 View citations (5)
9. Credit Indicators as Predictors of Economic Activity: A Real‐Time VAR Analysis
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2014, 46, (2-3), 545-564 View citations (11)

2013

10. Like a Good Neighbor: Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Distribution of Risk
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2013, 9, (2), 57-82 View citations (15)

2012

11. All in the family: the close connection between nominal-GDP targeting and the Taylor Rule
    Staff Papers, 2012, (Mar) View citations (10)
12. High unemployment points to below-target (but still stable) inflation
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (12) View citations (1)
13. Inflation, slack, and Fed credibility
    Staff Papers, 2012, (Jan) View citations (4)
14. Real-time historical dataset enhances accuracy of economic analyses
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (6)

2011

15. An IS-LM analysis of the zero-bound problem
    Staff Papers, 2011, (Apr) View citations (1)

2010

16. Can alternative Taylor-rule specifications describe Federal Reserve policy decisions?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2010, 32, (6), 733-757 View citations (8)

2009

17. VAR Estimation and Forecasting When Data Are Subject to Revision
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 30, (2), 181-190 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper VAR estimation and forecasting when data are subject to revision, Working Papers (2005) View citations (39) (2005)

2008

18. A regional perspective on the \\"Great Moderation\\"
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (May), 3-6
19. The relative performance of alternative Taylor rule specifications
    Staff Papers, 2008, (Jun) View citations (4)

2007

20. The 'Great Moderation' in output and employment volatility: an update
    Economic Letter, 2007, 2, (sep)

2006

21. Through a glass, darkly: how data revisions complicate monetary policy
    Economic Letter, 2006, 1, (dec) View citations (1)

2005

22. The national economic outlook: continued growth likely
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 1, 9-13 View citations (1)

2004

23. Monetary policy prospects
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2004, 1-16 View citations (7)
    Also in Southwest Economy, 2004, (May), 1, 11-16 (2004) View citations (2)

2003

24. Is the markup a useful real-time predictor of inflation?
    Economics Letters, 2003, 80, (2), 261-267 View citations (7)
25. Monetary policy in a zero-interest-rate economy
    Southwest Economy, 2003, (Jul), 1-5, 16 View citations (3)
26. The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 85, (3), 618-628 View citations (158)
    See also Working Paper The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting, Working Papers (2002) View citations (1) (2002)

2002

27. New economy, new recession
    Southwest Economy, 2002, (Mar), 11-16 View citations (2)
28. Using the Purchasing Managers' Index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2002, 1, (6) View citations (21)

2001

29. Down but not out: the U.S. economy after Sept. 11
    Southwest Economy, 2001, (Nov), 1, 6-8

2000

30. Is there a persistence problem? Part 2: Maybe not
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 2000, (Q IV), 11-19 View citations (3)
31. Monetary policy: on the right track?
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Nov), 1, 6-9
32. Productivity, the stock market and monetary policy in the new economy
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Jan), 6-9, 12

1999

33. A fresh look at the national economy
    Southwest Economy, 1999, (Mar), 8-12
34. Achieving "Program Neutrality" Under a National Retail Sales Tax
    National Tax Journal, 1999, 52, (4), 683-98 View citations (1)
35. Is there a persistence problem? Part I: maybe
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1999, (Q IV), 10-15 View citations (1)

1998

36. The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 1: the basic model
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1998, (Q 1), 24-37 View citations (3)
37. The dynamic impact of fundamental tax reform part 2: extensions
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1998, (Q II), 1 View citations (2)
38. What's new about the new economy?: some lessons from the current expansion
    Southwest Economy, 1998, (Jul), 7-11 View citations (5)

1997

39. Is the Fed slave to a defunct economist
    Southwest Economy, 1997, (Sep), 5-8

1996

40. Capacity utilization as a real-time predictor of manufacturing output
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q III), 16-23 View citations (10)
41. Forecasting M2 growth: an exploration in real time
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q II), 16-26 View citations (2)
42. Interest rates and the recent weakness in M2: An extension to the P* model of inflation
    Journal of Economics and Business, 1996, 48, (5), 487-498 View citations (1)
43. Long-term interest rates and the recent weakness in M2
    Journal of Economics and Business, 1996, 48, (2), 81-101 View citations (5)
44. Should high gold prices be a source of concern?
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jul), 6-9
45. Targeting nominal income: A closer look
    Economics Letters, 1996, 51, (1), 89-93 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Targeting nominal income: a closer look, Working Papers (1995) View citations (1) (1995)
46. Tax reform: is the time right for a new approach?
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jan), 5-8

1995

47. Optimal monetary policy in an economy with sticky nominal wages
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1995, (Q II), 24-31 View citations (8)

1994

48. Is there an output-inflation trade-off?
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Aug), 1-4 View citations (5)
49. WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 1994, 12, (1), 52-66 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Why the composite index of leading indicators doesn't lead, Working Papers (1993) View citations (1) (1993)

1993

50. Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 1
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1993, (Sep), 32-50 View citations (3)
51. Rethinking the IS in IS-LM: adapting Keynesian tools to non-Keynesian economies Part 2
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1993, (Dec), 17-35 View citations (7)

1992

52. Do interest rates help predict inflation?
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1992, (Q IV), 1-17
53. Forecasting turning points: Is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?
    Economics Letters, 1992, 39, (4), 431-435 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Forecasting turning points: is a two-state characterization of the business cycle appropriate?, Working Papers (1992) View citations (14) (1992)
54. Growth in the U.S. economy depends on stronger consumer spending
    Southwest Economy, 1992, (Mar), 1-4

1991

55. Misleading indicators? Using the composite leading indicators to predict cyclical turning points
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1991, (Jul), 1-14 View citations (9)

1990

56. A new monetary aggregate
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1990, (May), 1-15
57. Real Money Balances and the Timing of Consumption: An Empirical Investigation
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1990, 105, (2), 399-425 View citations (43)
    See also Working Paper Real money balances and the timing of consumption: an empirical investigation, Working Papers (1989) (1989)

1989

58. Investment and the Nominal Interest Rate: The Variable Velocity Case
    Economic Inquiry, 1989, 27, (2), 325-44 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Investment and the nominal interest rate: the variable velocity case, Working Papers (1988) View citations (1) (1988)
59. Recent trade and exchange rate movements: possible explanations
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Sep), 13-28 View citations (3)

1987

60. The Short-run 'Tobin Effect' in a Monetary Optimizing Model
    Economic Inquiry, 1987, 25, (1), 43-53 View citations (7)

1985

61. Indirect Methods for Regulating Externalities Under Uncertainty
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (2), 479-493 View citations (11)

1984

62. Controlling stock externalities in a common property fishery subject to uncertainty
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1984, 11, (2), 124-138 View citations (7)
63. Uncertainty and pollution: The role of indirect taxation
    Journal of Public Economics, 1984, 24, (1), 111-122

1981

64. Electric utility rate structures and distributed thermal energy storage: A cost-benefit analysis
    Energy, 1981, 6, (5), 457-470

1975

65. On Some Models of World Cataclysm
    Land Economics, 1975, 51, (1), 1-20 View citations (2)

1974

66. Forrester, J. W., World Dynamics, Meadows, Donnella H., Dennis L. Meadows, Jorgen Randers, William W. Behrens, III, The Limits to Growth and Meadows, Dennis L., and Donella H. Meadows, eds., Toward Global Equilibrium: Collected Papers
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1974, 56, (1), 193-196

Edited books

2012

1. The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy
   Books, Hoover Institution, Stanford University View citations (8)

Chapters

2012

1. Introduction
   Chapter 1 in The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy, 2012 View citations (3)