Details about Aart Kraay

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Homepage:	http://econ.worldbank.org/staff/akraay
Workplace:	Economics Research, World Bank Group, (more information at EDIRC) World Bank Group, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Aart Kraay.

Last updated 2019-01-04. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pkr80

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Working Papers

2018

1. Methodology for a World Bank Human Capital Index
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (26)

2017

2. Approximating income distribution dynamics using aggregate data
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank
3. Predicting conflict
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (12)

2015

4. Doing the survey two-step: the effects of reticence on estimates of corruption in two-stage survey questions
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (2)
5. The Dot-Com Bubble, the Busch Deficits and the US Current Account
   Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics View citations (6)
   Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2005) View citations (13)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) View citations (26)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2005) View citations (21)
   Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (2005) View citations (10)
   See also Chapter The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the US Current Account, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) View citations (33) (2007)
6. Weak instruments in growth regressions: implications for recent cross-country evidence on inequality and growth
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (30)

2014

7. "Crowding in"and the returns to government investment in low-income countries
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (30)
8. Do poverty traps exist ?
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (147)
9. Growth, inequality, and social welfare: cross-country evidence
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article Growth, inequality and social welfare: cross-country evidence, Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po (2015) View citations (20) (2015)
10. Predicting World Bank project outcome ratings
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (3)

2013

11. Aid, disbursement delays, and the real exchange rate
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Aid, Disbursement Delays, and the Real Exchange Rate, IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan (2016) View citations (4) (2016)
12. Growth still is good for the poor
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (79)
    See also Journal Article Growth still is good for the poor, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2016) View citations (91) (2016)
13. Misunderestimating corruption
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank
    See also Journal Article Misunderestimating Corruption, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2016) View citations (17) (2016)

2012

14. Government spending multipliers in developing countries: evidence from lending by official creditors
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries: Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2014) View citations (74) (2014)
15. Sovereign defaults and expropriations: empirical regularities
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (10)

2011

16. Good countries or good projects ? macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article Good countries or good projects? Macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2013) View citations (95) (2013)

2010

17. Can disaggregated indicators identify governance reform priorities ?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (4)
18. Does respondent reticence affect the results of corruption surveys ? evidence from the world bank enterprise survey for Nigeria
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (20)
    See also Chapter Does Respondent Reticence Affect the Results of Corruption Surveys? Evidence from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for Nigeria, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2011) View citations (1) (2011)
19. How large is the government spending multiplier ? evidence from World Bank lending
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article How large is the Government Spending Multiplier? Evidence from World Bank Lending, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2012) View citations (120) (2012)
20. The worldwide governance indicators: methodology and analytical issues
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (1595)

2009

21. Corruption and confidence in public institutions: evidence from a global survey
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Corruption and Confidence in Public Institutions: Evidence from a Global Survey, The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank (2011) View citations (66) (2011)
22. Governance matters VIII: aggregate and individual governance indicators 1996-2008
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (502)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2008) View citations (288)

2008

23. Governance Indicators: Where Are We, Where Should We Be Going?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (98)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2007) View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article Governance Indicators: Where Are We, Where Should We Be Going?, The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank (2008) View citations (94) (2008)
24. Instrumental variables regressions with honestly uncertain exclusion restrictions
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (10)

2007

25. Does IDA engage in defensive lending ?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Does IDA Engage in Defensive Lending?, Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia (2012) View citations (3) (2012)
26. Governance Matters VI: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators, 1996-2006
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (165)
27. Measuring Corruption: Myths and Realities
    World Bank Publications - Reports, The World Bank Group View citations (16)
28. On Measuring Governance: Framing Issues for Debate
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)
29. The welfare effects of a large depreciation: the case of Egypt, 2000-05
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (5)
30. The worldwide governance indicators project: answering the critics
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (88)

2006

31. Governance matters V: aggregate and individual governance indicators for 1996 - 2005
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (232)
32. Who gets debt relief ?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Who Gets Debt Relief?, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2007) View citations (26) (2007)

2005

33. Governance matters IV: governance indicators for 1996-2004
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (244)
34. Measuring Governance Using Cross-Country Perceptions Data
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (10)
    See also Chapter Measuring Governance Using Cross-Country Perceptions Data, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2006) View citations (14) (2006)
35. Neither a borrower nor a lender: does China's zero net foreign asset position make economic sense?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Neither a borrower nor a lender: Does China's zero net foreign asset position make economic sense?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2006) View citations (11) (2006)
36. Poverty traps, aid, and growth
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article Poverty traps, aid, and growth, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (100) (2007)
37. What Has 100 Billion Dollars Worth of Debt Relief Done for Low- Income Countries?
    International Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (85)

2004

38. Country Portfolios
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2001)
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (2000) View citations (37)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations (46)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2001) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Country Portfolios, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2005) View citations (127) (2005)
39. Governance Indicators, Aid Allocation, and the Millennium Challenge Account
    Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)
40. When is external debt sustainable?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article When Is External Debt Sustainable?, The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank (2006) View citations (102) (2006)
41. When is growth pro-poor? Cross-country evidence
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (105)

2003

42. Governance Matters III: Governance Indicators for 1996-2002
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (257)
    Also in Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany (2003) View citations (157)
43. Government matters III: governance indicators for 1996-2002
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (101)
44. Institutions, trade, and growth: revisiting the evidence
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (375)

2002

45. Current Accounts in the Long and Short Run
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (54)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) View citations (61)
    See also Chapter Current Accounts in the Long and the Short Run, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (38) (2003)
46. Governance matters II - updated indicators for 2000-01
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (121)
47. Growth without governance
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (233)
    See also Journal Article Growth without Governance, Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA (2002) View citations (232) (2002)
48. Product quality, productive efficiency, and international technology diffusion: evidence from plant-level panel data
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (26)
49. Trade Integration and Risk Sharing
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article Trade integration and risk sharing, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2002) View citations (19) (2002)

2001

50. Comparative Advantage and the Cross-Section of Business Cycles
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (38)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001) View citations (38)
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (1998) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Comparative Advantage and the Cross-section of Business Cycles, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2007) View citations (46) (2007)
51. Growth is good for the poor
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (177)
    See also Journal Article Growth Is Good for the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, Springer (2002) View citations (1176) (2002)
52. Product Prices and the OECD Cycle
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (2)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Product Prices and the OECD Cycle, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2002) View citations (2) (2002)
53. Trade, growth, and poverty
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (177)
    See also Journal Article Trade, Growth, and Poverty, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2004) View citations (493) (2004)

2000

54. Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks ?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks?, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2003) View citations (74) (2003)
55. Measuring Growth in Total Factor Productivity
    World Bank Publications - Reports, The World Bank Group View citations (14)

1999

56. Aggregating governance indicators
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (400)
57. Governance matters
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (262)
58. Growth forecasts using time series and growth models
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (5)
59. Small states, small problems?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (37)

1997

60. Current Acounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics View citations (4)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (1997) View citations (45)
    See also Journal Article Current Accounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2000) View citations (195) (2000)
61. Growth and Structural Change in China: A Simple CGE Projection Framework
    Post-Print, HAL

1995

62. Spatial correlations in panel data
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (11)
63. Trade and fluctuations
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (5)

Journal Articles

2017

1. Good countries or good projects? Comparing macro and micro correlates of World Bank and Asian Development Bank project performance
   The Review of International Organizations, 2017, 12, (3), 335-363 View citations (17)

2016

2. Aid, Disbursement Delays, and the Real Exchange Rate
   IMF Economic Review, 2016, 64, (2), 217-238 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper Aid, disbursement delays, and the real exchange rate, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
3. Growth still is good for the poor
   European Economic Review, 2016, 81, (C), 68-85 View citations (91)
   See also Working Paper Growth still is good for the poor, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (79) (2013)
4. Misunderestimating Corruption
   The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2016, 98, (3), 455-466 View citations (17)
   See also Working Paper Misunderestimating corruption, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2013) (2013)

2015

5. Growth, inequality and social welfare: cross-country evidence
   Economic Policy, 2015, 30, (82), 335-377 View citations (20)
   See also Working Paper Growth, inequality, and social welfare: cross-country evidence, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2014) View citations (9) (2014)

2014

6. Do Poverty Traps Exist? Assessing the Evidence
   Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2014, 28, (3), 127-48 View citations (142)
7. Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries: Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
   American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2014, 6, (4), 170-208 View citations (74)
   See also Working Paper Government spending multipliers in developing countries: evidence from lending by official creditors, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2012) View citations (2) (2012)

2013

8. Can specific policy indicators identify reform priorities?
   Journal of Economic Growth, 2013, 18, (3), 253-283 View citations (8)
9. Good countries or good projects? Macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance
   Journal of Development Economics, 2013, 105, (C), 288-302 View citations (95)
   See also Working Paper Good countries or good projects ? macro and micro correlates of World Bank project performance, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2011) View citations (34) (2011)

2012

10. Does IDA Engage in Defensive Lending?
    Review of Economics and Institutions, 2012, 3, (2) View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Does IDA engage in defensive lending ?, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2007) View citations (4) (2007)
11. How large is the Government Spending Multiplier? Evidence from World Bank Lending
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2012, 127, (2), 829-887 View citations (120)
    See also Working Paper How large is the government spending multiplier ? evidence from World Bank lending, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2010) View citations (9) (2010)
12. Instrumental variables regressions with uncertain exclusion restrictions: a Bayesian approach
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2012, 27, (1), 108-128 View citations (30)

2011

13. Corruption and Confidence in Public Institutions: Evidence from a Global Survey
    The World Bank Economic Review, 2011, 25, (2), 212-249 View citations (66)
    See also Working Paper Corruption and confidence in public institutions: evidence from a global survey, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2009) View citations (9) (2009)

2010

14. Response to ‘What do the Worldwide Governance Indicators Measure?’
    The European Journal of Development Research, 2010, 22, (1), 55-58 View citations (49)

2008

15. Governance Indicators: Where Are We, Where Should We Be Going?
    The World Bank Research Observer, 2008, 23, (1), 1-30 View citations (94)
    See also Working Paper Governance Indicators: Where Are We, Where Should We Be Going?, MPRA Paper (2008) View citations (98) (2008)

2007

16. Comparative Advantage and the Cross-section of Business Cycles
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007, 5, (6), 1300-1333 View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper Comparative Advantage and the Cross-Section of Business Cycles, CEPR Discussion Papers (2001) View citations (38) (2001)
17. Poverty traps, aid, and growth
    Journal of Development Economics, 2007, 82, (2), 315-347 View citations (100)
    See also Working Paper Poverty traps, aid, and growth, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2005) View citations (20) (2005)
18. Who Gets Debt Relief?
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007, 5, (2-3), 333-342 View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper Who gets debt relief ?, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2006) View citations (6) (2006)

2006

19. Neither a borrower nor a lender: Does China's zero net foreign asset position make economic sense?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, 53, (5), 943-971 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Neither a borrower nor a lender: does China's zero net foreign asset position make economic sense?, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2005) View citations (1) (2005)
20. When Is External Debt Sustainable?
    The World Bank Economic Review, 2006, 20, (3), 341-365 View citations (102)
    See also Working Paper When is external debt sustainable?, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (26) (2004)
21. When is growth pro-poor? Evidence from a panel of countries
    Journal of Development Economics, 2006, 80, (1), 198-227 View citations (252)

2005

22. Country Portfolios
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2005, 3, (4), 914-945 View citations (127)
    See also Working Paper Country Portfolios, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (4) (2004)

2004

23. Governance Matters III: Governance Indicators for 1996, 1998, 2000, and 2002
    The World Bank Economic Review, 2004, 18, (2), 253-287 View citations (163)
24. Trade, Growth, and Poverty
    Economic Journal, 2004, 114, (493), F22-F49 View citations (493)
    See also Working Paper Trade, growth, and poverty, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2001) View citations (177) (2001)

2003

25. Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks?
    Journal of International Economics, 2003, 59, (2), 297-321 View citations (74)
    See also Working Paper Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks ?, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2000) View citations (14) (2000)
26. Institutions, trade, and growth
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (1), 133-162 View citations (597)

2002

27. Growth Is Good for the Poor
    Journal of Economic Growth, 2002, 7, (3), 195-225 View citations (1176)
    See also Working Paper Growth is good for the poor, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2001) View citations (177) (2001)
28. Growth without Governance
    Economía Journal, 2002, Volume 3 Number 1, (Fall 2002), 169-230 View citations (232)
    See also Working Paper Growth without governance, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2002) View citations (233) (2002)
29. Product Prices and the OECD Cycle
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2002, 2, (1), 1-18 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Product Prices and the OECD Cycle, CEPR Discussion Papers (2001) View citations (2) (2001)
30. Trade integration and risk sharing
    European Economic Review, 2002, 46, (6), 1023-1048 View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper Trade Integration and Risk Sharing, NBER Working Papers (2002) View citations (21) (2002)

2000

31. Current Accounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2000, 115, (4), 1137-1166 View citations (195)
    See also Working Paper Current Acounts in Debtor and Creditor Countries, Working papers (1997) View citations (4) (1997)
32. Household Saving in China
    The World Bank Economic Review, 2000, 14, (3), 545-570 View citations (105)
33. Small States, Small Problems? Income, Growth, and Volatility in Small States
    World Development, 2000, 28, (11), 2013-2027 View citations (179)

1998

34. Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1998, 80, (4), 549-560 View citations (2630)

Chapters

2011

1. Does Respondent Reticence Affect the Results of Corruption Surveys? Evidence from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for Nigeria
   Chapter 15 in International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption, Volume Two, 2011 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Does respondent reticence affect the results of corruption surveys ? evidence from the world bank enterprise survey for Nigeria, The World Bank (2010) View citations (20) (2010)

2007

2. The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the US Current Account
   A chapter in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, 2007, pp 457-496 View citations (33)
   See also Working Paper The Dot-Com Bubble, the Busch Deficits and the US Current Account, Barcelona School of Economics (2015) View citations (6) (2015)

2006

3. Measuring Governance Using Cross-Country Perceptions Data
   Chapter 2 in International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption, 2006 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Measuring Governance Using Cross-Country Perceptions Data, University Library of Munich, Germany (2005) View citations (10) (2005)

2003

4. Current Accounts in the Long and the Short Run
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, 2003, pp 65-112 View citations (38)
   See also Working Paper Current Accounts in the Long and Short Run, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2002) View citations (54) (2002)

2002

5. Exports and Economic Performance: Evidence from a Panel of Chinese Enterprises
   Chapter 12 in China and its Regions, 2002 View citations (3)