Details about Todd Henry Kuethe

Access statistics for papers by Todd Henry Kuethe.

Last updated 2022-10-26. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pku181

Working Papers

2022

1. The Supply and Demand of Agricultural Loans
   Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
2. Trends in Farmland Values
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2022, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2021

3. Improving ERS's Net Cash Income Forecasts using USDA Baseline Projections
   2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
4. Perceived Competition in Agricultural Lending: Stylized Facts and an Agenda for Future Research
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

2020

5. Are Expert Opinions Accurate? Panel Data Evidence from the Iowa Land Value Survey
   Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Are Expert Opinions Accurate? Panel Data Evidence from the Iowa Land Value Survey, Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
6. The impact of preferential farmland taxation on local public finances
   2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2019

7. Agricultural Bankers’ Expectations of Farmland Price Changes and Asset Price Bubbles
   165th Seminar, April 4-5, 2019, Berlin, Germany, European Association of Agricultural Economists
8. Crop Insurance’s Impact on Agricultural Lenders
   2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2018

9. Bargaining Power in Farmland Rental Markets
   2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (15)
10. Can Machine Learning Techniques Predict Non-performance of Farm Non-Real Estate Loans in the Ag Finance Databook
    SCC-76 Meeting, 2018, April 5-7, Kansas City, Missouri, SCC-76: Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources

2017

11. Are USDA Livestock Price Forecasts Actually Biased? Empirical Tests under Asymmetric Loss
    2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
12. Final Program
    SCC-76 Meeting, 2017, March 30-April 1, Pensacola, Florida, SCC-76: Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources

2016

13. Business and Credit Cycles in Agriculture
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2016, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum View citations (1)
14. Latent Risk Estimation in Commercial Bank Delinquency Rates
    SCC-76 Meeting, 2016, March 17-19, Pensacola, Florida, SCC-76: Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources

2015

15. Crop Insurance’s Role in Farm Solvency
    2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
16. Does Federal Crop Insurance lead to higher farm debt use? Evidence from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey
    Working Papers, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management View citations (30)

2014

17. A Comparison of Data Collected through Farm Management Associations and the Agricultural Resource Management Survey
    Staff Papers, University of Kentucky, Department of Agricultural Economics View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article A comparison of data collected through farm management associations and the Agricultural Resource Management Survey, Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2014) View citations (4) (2014)
18. Crop Insurance Use and Land Rental Agreements
    2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (2)

2013

19. Linking the Price of Agricultural Land to Use Values and Amenities
    2014 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 3-5, 2014, Philadelphia, PA, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Linking the Price of Agricultural Land to Use Values and Amenities, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2014) View citations (56) (2014)

2012

20. Potential Farm-Level Effects of Eliminating Direct Payments
    Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (7)
21. Should Farmers Use Futures and Options? A Pseudo-Experimental Analysis
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
22. The Impact of Risk and Farm Program Design on Cash Rents
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
23. The Impacts of Pasture Insurance on Farmland Values
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article The Impact of Pasture Insurance on Farmland Values, Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press (2014) View citations (12) (2014)
24. Trends in U.S. Farmland Values and Ownership
    Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (15)

2010

25. The Inconvenience Cost: A Portfolio Approach to Non-Convergence Between Cash and Futures Prices
    2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2009

26. Evaluating the Dynamic Nature of Market Risk
    2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management View citations (3)
27. REGIONAL HOUSING PRICE CYCLES: A SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS USING US STATE LEVEL
    Working Papers, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics View citations (16)
28. REGIONAL HOUSING PRICE CYCLES: A SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS USING US STATE LEVEL DATA
    Working papers, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Regional Housing Price Cycles: A Spatio-temporal Analysis Using US State-level Data, Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2011) View citations (58) (2011)

2008

29. A Spatial Hedonic Model with Time-Varying Parameters: A New Method Using Flexible Least Squares
    2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (3)

2005

30. Public Preferences for Multifunctionality of Agriculture: National Survey of Registered Voters
    2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Loss Aversion in Farmland Price Expectations
   Land Economics, 2022, 98, (1), 98-114 View citations (1)

2021

2. Agricultural bankers’ farmland price expectations
   European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2021, 48, (1), 42-59 View citations (7)
3. Are Expert Opinions Accurate? Panel Data Evidence from the Iowa Land Value Survey
   Land Economics, 2021, 97, (4), 875-892 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Are Expert Opinions Accurate? Panel Data Evidence from the Iowa Land Value Survey, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
4. Joint Evaluation of the System of USDA's Farm Income Forecasts
   Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2021, 43, (3), 1140-1160 View citations (4)
5. The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2021, 103, (3), 1006-1033 View citations (5)

2020

6. A Tale of Two Borders: Use‐Value Assessment, Land Development, and Irrigation Investment
   American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2020, 102, (5), 1404-1424 View citations (6)
7. Credit booms and financial instability in US agriculture
   Agricultural Finance Review, 2020, 81, (1), 1-20
8. Following the Market? Hedonic Farmland Valuation Using Sales Prices versus Self-reported Values
   Land Economics, 2020, 96, (3) View citations (23)

2019

9. Anticipating USDA’s 2019 Net Farm Income Forecast
   farmdoc daily, 2019, 09, (032)
10. Changes in Farms and Farmland in Illinois
    farmdoc daily, 2019, 09, (076)

2018

11. Adjusting USDA�s Net Farm Income Forecast Based on Historic Performance
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08
12. Evaluating the USDA’s Net Farm Income Forecast
    Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2018, 43, (3)
13. Farmers’ Use of Implement Dealer Financing
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08
14. Implement Dealer Financing and Farm Financial Stress
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08
15. Mapping the Fate of the Farm, 2018 House Edition
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08
16. The Changing Roles of Urban Influence and Agricultural Productivity in Farmland Price Determination
    Land Economics, 2018, 94, (2), 199-205 View citations (5)
17. The Rise in Implement Dealer Financing
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08
18. Will Farm Income Really Drop to a 12-Year Low in 2018?
    farmdoc daily, 2018, 08

2017

19. A disequilibrium evaluation of public intervention in agricultural credit markets
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2017, 77, (1), 37-49 View citations (7)
20. BANKERS’ FORECASTS OF FARMLAND VALUES: A QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION
    Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2017, 49, (4), 617-633 View citations (4)
21. Interest Rates and the Cost of Short-Term Borrowing
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07
22. Interpreting USDA's Net Farm Income Forecast
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07
23. Interpreting USDA's November Farm Income Forecast
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07
24. Interpreting USDA's Recent Farm Income Forecast
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07 View citations (1)
25. Mapping the Farm Bill: House Ag Committee and the 2018 Debate
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07
26. The Ongoing Debate over Farmland Taxation
    farmdoc daily, 2017, 07

2016

27. How Well Can Banker's Predict Future Farm Loan Volumes? Evidence from the Chicago Fed
    farmdoc daily, 2016, 06
28. Mapping the Farm Bill: Expanding the Traditional Farm Coalition
    farmdoc daily, 2016, 06
29. Mapping the Farm Bill: Farm and Farm Operators
    farmdoc daily, 2016, 06
30. Mapping the Farm Bill: the Traditional Farm Coalition and Current Production
    farmdoc daily, 2016, 06
31. The risk and return of farm real estate and the “bad data problem”
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2016, 76, (1), 140-150

2015

32. 2016 Farmland Price Outlook
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05 View citations (2)
33. An Outbreak unlike Any Other: Perspective on the 2014-2015 Avian Influenza
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
34. Changing Landscape of Corn and Soybean Production and Potential Implications in 2015
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05 View citations (3)
35. Could the Bird Flu be a 100 Million Bushel Corn Problem?
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
36. Does federal crop insurance lead to higher farm debt use? Evidence from the Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS)
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2015, 75, (3), 349-367 View citations (26)
37. Economic Implications of the 2014-2015 Bird Flu
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
38. Farmland Ownership in Illinois: New Highlights from USDA Survey
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
39. Federal Crop Insurance Is Associated With Higher Levels of Short-Term Farm Debt
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2015, (09), 1 View citations (1)
40. Is the Corn Belt Farm Economy too Specialized?
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
41. The Footprint of Chinese Demand for U.S. Soybeans
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05 View citations (1)
42. The Influence of Direct Payments on US Cropland Values
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
43. The impact of decoupled payments on U.S. cropland values
    Agricultural Economics, 2015, 46, (5), 643-652 View citations (19)
44. Trends in Farm Size and Potential Demand for Farm Management Association Services
    Journal of the ASFMRA, 2015, 2015, 15
45. Understanding Farmland REITs
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05
46. We May Not Have an Aging Farmer Problem After All
    farmdoc daily, 2015, 05

2014

47. 2014 Farm Bill Decisions: Payment Yield Update Option
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (2)
48. 2014 Farm Bill: Updating Payment Yields
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (2)
49. A comparison of data collected through farm management associations and the Agricultural Resource Management Survey
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2014, 74, (4), 492-500 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper A Comparison of Data Collected through Farm Management Associations and the Agricultural Resource Management Survey, Staff Papers (2014) View citations (6) (2014)
50. Farmland Price Outlook in 2014 and Beyond
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 5 View citations (2)
51. Farmland returns and economic conditions: a FAVAR approach
    Empirical Economics, 2014, 47, (1), 129-142 View citations (3)
52. Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: A Closer Look at Farm Size
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 3 View citations (4)
53. Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Distribution of Farm Size
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (2)
54. Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Farmland Acreage
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (1)
55. Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Legal Structure of Illinois Farms
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 4 View citations (1)
56. Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Number of Farms
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (2)
57. Identifying the Extent of the Urban Fringe and Its Impact on Agricultural Land Values
    Land Economics, 2014, 90, (4), 587-600 View citations (27)
58. Impacts of Recent Changes in the Illinois Farmland Assessment Act
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (3)
59. Linking the Price of Agricultural Land to Use Values and Amenities
    American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2014, 96, (5), 1307-1320 View citations (56)
    Also in farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 2 (2014) View citations (57)
    See also Working Paper Linking the Price of Agricultural Land to Use Values and Amenities, 2014 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 3-5, 2014, Philadelphia, PA (2013) View citations (3) (2013)
60. Mapping the Farm Bill: Voting in the House of Representatives
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04
61. Mapping the Fate of the Farm Bill: A Closer Look at SNAP
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04
62. Mapping the Size of Dairy Safety Net Programs: Comparing MILC and the Margin Protection Program
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (2)
63. The Impact of Pasture Insurance on Farmland Values
    Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 2014, 43, (3), 390-405 View citations (12)
    Also in Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 2014, 43, (3), 16 (2014) View citations (12)
    Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 2014, Prepublication Previews, 16 (2014) View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper The Impacts of Pasture Insurance on Farmland Values, 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington (2012) View citations (3) (2012)
64. The Impact of Urban Areas on Farmland Prices in Illinois
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 3
65. The Impacts of Insurance on Agricultural Land Values
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04, 2
66. The Regional Conservation Partnership Program in the Farm Bill
    farmdoc daily, 2014, 04 View citations (1)

2013

67. Debt Use by Farms with Crop Insurance
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03 View citations (12)
68. Farm Debt Use by Farms with Crop Insurance
    Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2013, 28, (3), 5 View citations (13)
69. Farmland Tenure in the USA and in Illinois
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
70. Farmland versus Alternative Investments Before and After the 2008 Financial Crisis
    Journal of the ASFMRA, 2013, 2013, 12 View citations (2)
71. Federal Crop Insurance's Role in Production Loans
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
72. Landlord Characteristics in the USA and in Illinois
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
73. Mapping the Fate of the Farm Bill
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
74. Rental Agreements in the USA and in Illinois
    farmdoc daily, 2013, 03
75. The Impacts of the Tax-Deferred Exchange Provision on Farm Real Estate Values
    Land Economics, 2013, 89, (3) View citations (9)
76. The information content of farmland value surveys
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2013, 73, (1), 45-57 View citations (3)

2012

77. Environmental Externalities and Residential Property Values: Externalized Costs along the House Price Distribution
    Land Economics, 2012, 88, (2) View citations (10)
78. Farmland Values on the Rise: 2000-2010
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2012, (03), 10
79. Spatial Fragmentation and the Value of Residential Housing
    Land Economics, 2012, 88, (1), 16-27 View citations (11)
80. The Agricultural Resource Management Survey
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2012, 72, (2), 191-200 View citations (11)
81. The profit impacts of risk management tool adoption
    Agricultural Finance Review, 2012, 72, (1), 104-116 View citations (9)

2011

82. Measuring Local Aggregate House Prices
    International Real Estate Review, 2011, 14, (1), 118-129 View citations (1)
83. Regional Housing Price Cycles: A Spatio-temporal Analysis Using US State-level Data
    Regional Studies, 2011, 45, (5), 563-574 View citations (58)
    See also Working Paper REGIONAL HOUSING PRICE CYCLES: A SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS USING US STATE LEVEL DATA, Working papers (2009) View citations (6) (2009)
84. THE INFLUENCE OF URBAN AREAS ON FARMLAND VALUES
    Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2011, 26, (2), 7 View citations (12)

2010

85. Returns to Stardom: Evidence From U.S. Major League Soccer
    Journal of Sports Economics, 2010, 11, (5), 567-579 View citations (15)

2009

86. Testing for Bias and Manipulation in the National Basketball Association Playoffs
    Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2009, 5, (3), 13 View citations (7)

2008

87. Major Conference Bias and the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament
    Economics Bulletin, 2008, 12, (17), 1-6 View citations (4)

2007

88. Consumer Willingness-to-Pay for Fresh Pork Attributes
    Journal of Agribusiness, 2007, 25, (2), 17 View citations (2)