Details about Douglas Laxton
Access statistics for papers by Douglas Laxton.
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Short-id: pla306
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Working Papers
2019
- Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
Also in Working Papers, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia (2019) View citations (6)
- Solving non-linear dynamic models (more) efficiently: application to a simple monetary policy model
NBG Working Papers, National Bank of Georgia View citations (2)
- Strengthening the Monetary Policy Framework in Korea
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
2018
- A New Strategy for Korea’s Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
- An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
- Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
- Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (8)
2017
- Czech Magic: Implementing Inflation-Forecast Targeting at the CNB
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
- Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India: An Outline of the Analytical Framework
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
- Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (19)
- Oil Prices and the Global Economy
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (27)
- Quarterly Projection Model for India: Key Elements and Properties
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
2016
- How to Improve Inflation Targeting in Canada
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
- Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy
IMF Staff Discussion Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)
- Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles: Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
See also Chapter (2018)
- Reflating Japan: Time to Get Unconventional?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (7)
2015
- A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (49)
- Avoiding Dark Corners: A Robust Monetary Policy Framework for the United States
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
- Banks in The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (7)
- Frontiers of Monetary Policymaking: Adding the Exchange Rate as a Tool to Combat Deflationary Risks in the Czech Republic
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (17)
- Inflation-Forecast Targeting: Applying the Principle of Transparency
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (15)
- Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (14)
- Short Term Forecasting System of Private Demand Components in Armenia
Working Papers, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia View citations (5)
- The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (30)
2014
- Financial Crises in DSGE Models: A Prototype Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (51)
- Financial Crises in DSGE Models: Selected Applications of MAPMOD
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (34)
2013
- Adding China to the Global Projection Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
- GPM6: The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (39)
- Getting to Know GIMF: The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (60)
- The Benefits of International Policy Coordination Revisited
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
2012
- The Future of Oil: Geology Versus Technology
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (24)
See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2015)
2010
- A Model for Full-Fledged Inflation Targeting and Application to Ghana
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
- Budget Consolidation: Short-Term Pain and Long-Term Gain
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
- Chile’s Structural Fiscal Surplus Rule: a Model – Based Evaluation
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile View citations (9)
Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2009) View citations (11)
See also Journal Article in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2010)
- Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (111)
See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (2012)
- Structural Models in Real Time
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
- The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) – Theoretical Structure
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (159)
- To Starve or Not to Starve the Beast?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2014)
2009
- Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (16)
- Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)
- Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT)
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (11)
- Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (23)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2013)
- Fiscal Stimulus to the Rescue? Short-Run Benefits and Potential Long-Run Costs of Fiscal Deficits
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (40)
- Gauging Risks for Deflation
IMF Staff Position Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (11)
- Inflation Targeting Pillars - Transparency and Accountability
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (11)
- It Framework Design Parameters
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
- Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (30)
- The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus
IMF Staff Position Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (49)
- Why Inflation Targeting?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (47)
2008
- A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (38)
- A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (27)
- A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (36)
- Monetary Transmission in an Emerging Targeter: The Case of Brazil
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (24)
- Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (40)
Also in Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada (2007) View citations (12) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (33)
See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (2008)
- Why is Canada’s Price Level So Predictable?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2013)
2007
- A Party without a Hangover? On the Effects of U.S. Government Deficits
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (45)
Also in 2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2007) View citations (15)
- DSGE Modeling at the Fund: Applications and Further Developments
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (17)
- Endogenous Monetary Policy Credibility in a Small Macro Model of Israel
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (34)
2006
- A New-Open-Economy Macro Model for Fiscal Policy Evaluation
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (38)
- A Practical Model-Based Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis—Overview
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (61)
- Deflationary Shocks and Monetary Rules: An Open-Economy Scenario Analysis
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (6)
Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2006) View citations (5) NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2006)
- Inflation Targeting Versus Joining a Monetary Union: An Assessment of the Potential Benefits and Costs Using a DSGE Model
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics
- Measures of Potential Output from an Estimated DSGE Model of the United States
Working Papers, Czech National Bank View citations (10)
- Practical Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis: A How-To Guide
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (51)
- Under What Conditions Can Inflation Targeting Be Adopted? The Experience of Emerging Markets
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile View citations (43)
See also Chapter (2007)
- Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (7)
Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2006) View citations (10) NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (8)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2008)
2005
- A Rational Expectations Model of Optimal Inflation Inertia
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics View citations (2)
- On the Benefits of Exchange Rate Flexibility under Endogenous Tradedness of Goods
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics View citations (4)
- Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (58)
See also Journal Article in Proceedings (2005) Chapter (2007)
2004
- Benefits and Spillovers of Greater Competition in Europe: A Macroeconomic Assesment
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (50)
Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2004) View citations (123) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2004) View citations (188) International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2004) View citations (111) Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2004) View citations (193)
- GEM: A New International Macroeconomic Model
IMF Occasional Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (31)
2003
- IS THERE A ROLE FOR ASSET PRICES IN MONETARY RULES? SOME WELFARE ANALYSIS BASED ON PERTURBATION METHODS
Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics
- Monetary Rules for Small, Open, Emerging Economies
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (295)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2003)
- Some Simulation Properties of the Major Euro Area Economies in Multimod
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2004)
2002
- How Well Do Alternative Time-Varying Parameter Models of the NAIRU Help Policymakers Forecast Unemployment and Inflation in the OECD Countries?
Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics View citations (9)
- Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff: Some Evidence From 17 Industrial Countries
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (22)
- Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff: Some Evidence from Seventeen OECD Countries
Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics View citations (11)
2001
- Inflation Targeting with NAIRU Uncertainty and Endogenous Policy Credibility
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (22)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2001)
- The Macroeconomic Effects of Higher Oil Prices
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (36)
See also Journal Article in National Institute Economic Review (2002)
- The Zero Interest Rate Floor (ZIF) and its Implications for Monetary Policy in Japan
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (14)
See also Journal Article in National Institute Economic Review (2004)
2000
- International Spillovers of Macroeconomic Shocks: A Quantitative Exploration
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
- Life-Cycles, Dynasties, Savings: Implications for Closed and Small, Open Economies
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (20)
1999
- An Analysis of the Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Simple Models of the Output-Inflation Process
Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics
- Real Interest Rates and Real Exchange Rates: Evidence from Indexed Bonds
Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics View citations (2)
See also Journal Article in Manchester School (2003)
- Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty
Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics View citations (37)
Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (1999) View citations (162)
See also Journal Article in International Tax and Public Finance (1999)
1998
- Liberating Supply-Fiscal Policy and Technological innovation in a Multicountry Model
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 
Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998)
- Multimod Mark III: The Core Dynamic and Steady State Model
IMF Occasional Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (12)
1997
- Phillips Curves
CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (41)
- Phillips Curves, Phillips Lines and the Unemplyment Costs of Overheating
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (28)
- Possible Effects of European Monetary Union on Switzerland: A Case Study of Policy Dilemmas Caused by Low Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate Floor
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (11)
1996
- A Robust and Efficient Method for Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
- Government Debt, Life-Cycle Income and Liquidity Constrains: Beyond Approximate Ricardian Equivalence
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (16)
See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (1997)
- Is the Phillips Curve Really a Curve? Some Evidence for Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (55)
See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (1997)
1995
- Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus: Issues and Evidence
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (29)
- Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism: Forward-Looking Versus Myopic Policy Rules
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (27)
- World Public Debt and Real Interest Rates
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (21)
See also Journal Article in Oxford Review of Economic Policy (1999)
1994
- Asymmetric Effects of Economic Activityon Inflation: Evidence and Policy Implications
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (22)
See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (1995)
Undated
- Should the Fed Base Policy Decisions on a Linear Phillips Curve?
Computing in Economics and Finance 1997, Society for Computational Economics
Journal Articles
2015
- The future of oil: Geology versus technology
International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 207-221 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper (2012)
2014
- To starve or not to starve the beast?
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2014, 39, (PA), 1-23 
See also Working Paper (2010)
2013
- Fiscal deficits and current account deficits
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (10), 2062-2082 View citations (20)
See also Working Paper (2009)
- Simple fiscal policy rules for small open economies
Journal of International Economics, 2013, 91, (1), 113-127 View citations (22)
- Why Is Canada's Price Level So Predictable?
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2013, 45, (1), 71-85 View citations (1)
Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2013, 45, (1), 71-85 (2013) View citations (14)
See also Working Paper (2008)
2012
- Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2012, 4, (1), 22-68 View citations (499)
See also Working Paper (2010)
2011
- Deficit reduction: Short-term pain for long-term gain
European Economic Review, 2011, 55, (1), 118-139 View citations (29)
2010
- Chile’s Structural Fiscal Surplus Rule: a Model-Based Evaluation
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2010, 13, (3), 5-32 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper (2010)
- Global effects of fiscal stimulus during the crisis
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2010, 57, (5), 506-526 View citations (43)
- International deflation risks under alternative macroeconomic policies
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2010, 24, (2), 140-177 View citations (6)
See also Chapter (2010)
- Policies to Rebalance the Global Economy After the Financial Crisis
International Journal of Central Banking, 2010, 6, (1), 215-252 View citations (2)
2008
- Getting to Know the Global Economy Model and Its Philosophy
IMF Staff Papers, 2008, 55, (2), 213-242 View citations (32)
- Les modèles DSGE au FMI: applications et développements récents
Économie et Prévision, 2008, 183, (2), 175-198 View citations (1)
Also in Economie & Prévision, 2008, n° 183-184, (2), 175-198 (2008) View citations (1)
- Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
IMF Staff Papers, 2008, 55, (2), 297-311 View citations (33)
See also Working Paper (2008)
- Optimal price setting and inflation inertia in a rational expectations model
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, 32, (8), 2584-2621 View citations (18)
- The Macroeconomic Costs and Benefits of Adopting the Euro
IMF Staff Papers, 2008, 55, (2), 339-355 View citations (7)
- Would protectionism defuse global imbalances and spur economic activity? A scenario analysis
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, 32, (8), 2651-2689 View citations (16)
See also Working Paper (2006)
2006
- Deflationary shocks and monetary rules: An open-economy scenario analysis
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2006, 20, (4), 665-698 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper (2006)
2005
- Smooth landing or crash? model based scenarios of global current account rebalancing
Proceedings, 2005 View citations (35)
See also Chapter (2007) Working Paper (2005)
2004
- Some simulation properties of the major euro area economies in MULTIMOD
Economic Modelling, 2004, 21, (5), 759-783 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper (2003)
- The Zero Interest Rate Floor (ZIF) and its Implications for Monetary Policy in Japan
National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 187, 76-92 
Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 187, (1), 76-92 (2004) View citations (4)
See also Working Paper (2001)
2003
- Monetary rules for small, open, emerging economies
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (5), 1109-1146 View citations (296)
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Real Interest Rates And Real Exchange Rates: Evidence From Indexed Bonds
Manchester School, 2003, 71, (1), 65-77 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper (1999)
- When leaner isn't meaner: measuring the benefits and spillovers of greater competition in Europe
Proceedings, 2003 View citations (1)
2002
- The Macroeconomic Effects of Higher Oil Prices
National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 179, 87-103 View citations (1)
Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 179, (1), 87-103 (2002) View citations (15)
See also Working Paper (2001)
2001
- An Evaluation of Alternative Monetary Policy Rules in a Model with Capacity Constraints
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2001, 33, (1), 42-64 View citations (34)
- Inflation targeting with NAIRU uncertainty and endogenous policy credibility
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2001, 25, (1-2), 115-148 View citations (28)
See also Working Paper (2001)
- Possible effects of European Monetary Union on Switzerland
Journal of Policy Modeling, 2001, 23, (5), 531-551 View citations (2)
1999
- Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty
International Tax and Public Finance, 1999, 6, (4), 537-577 View citations (38)
See also Working Paper (1999)
- The U.S. Phillips curve: The case for asymmetry
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1999, 23, (9-10), 1459-1485 View citations (87)
- World Public Debt and Real Interest Rates
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1999, 15, (2), 77-94 View citations (44)
See also Working Paper (1995)
1998
- A robust method for simulating forward-looking models
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1998, 22, (4), 489-501 View citations (33)
- An algorithm competition: First-order iterations versus Newton-based techniques
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1998, 22, (8-9), 1291-1318 View citations (70)
1997
- Government Debt, Life-Cycle Income, and Liquidity Constraints: Beyond Approximate Ricardian Equivalence
IMF Staff Papers, 1997, 44, (3), 374-382 View citations (25)
See also Working Paper (1996)
- Is the Phillips Curve Really a Curve? Some Evidence for Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States
IMF Staff Papers, 1997, 44, (2), 249-282 View citations (91)
See also Working Paper (1996)
1996
- Asymmetry in the U.S. Output-Inflation Nexus
IMF Staff Papers, 1996, 43, (1), 216-251 View citations (39)
1995
- Asymmetric Effects of Economic Activity on Inflation: Evidence and Policy Implications
IMF Staff Papers, 1995, 42, (2), 344-374 View citations (71)
See also Working Paper (1994)
Chapters
2018
- Mitigating the deadly embrace in financial cycles: Countercyclical buffers and loan-to-value limits
Chapter 5 in Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, 2018, pp 90-111 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper (2016)
2011
- Sovereign Wealth Funds and Global Capital Flows: A Macroeconomic Perspective
Chapter 3 in Sovereign Wealth The Role of State Capital in the New Financial Order, 2011, pp 21-42
2010
- International Deflation Risks under Alternative Macroeconomic Policies
A chapter in Sticky Prices and Inflation Dynamics (NBER-TCER-CEPR), 2010, pp 140-177 View citations (2)
See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2010)
2007
- Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing
A chapter in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, 2007, pp 377-456 View citations (69)
See also Working Paper (2005) Journal Article in Proceedings (2005)
- Under What Conditions Can Inflation Targeting Be Adopted? The Experience of Emerging Markets
Chapter 12 in Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, 2007, vol. 11, pp 467-506 View citations (103)
See also Working Paper (2006)
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