Details about Stephen Angus MacDonald

Phone:	202 720-9808
Postal address:	U.S. Department of Agriculture World Agricultural Outlook Board 1400 Independence Ave., SW Mail Stop 3812 Washington, DC 20250-3812
Workplace:	Office of the Chief Economist, Department of Agriculture, Government of the United States, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Stephen Angus MacDonald.

Last updated 2023-02-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pma1246

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Jump to Journal Articles

Working Papers

2022

1. Cotton Outlook for 2022
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2022, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2021

2. Cotton Outlook for 2021
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2021, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
3. The World and U.S. Cotton Outlook for 2021/22
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2021, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2020

4. Cotton Outlook for 2020
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2020, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2019

5. Cotton Outlook for 2019
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2019, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum, USDA Office of the Chief Economist
6. Impacts of the Trade War on the U.S. Cotton Sector
   Extension Reports, University of Tennessee, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics View citations (1)

2018

7. Long Run Trends and Fluctuations In Cotton Prices
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)

2017

8. THE WORLD AND UNITED STATES COTTON OUTLOOK
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2017, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
   Also in Agricultural Outlook Forum 2012, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2012) View citations (1)
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2013, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2013) View citations (1)
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2014, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2014) View citations (1)
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2016, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2016) View citations (2)
   Agricultural Outlook Forum 2014, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2014) View citations (1)
9. The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2016

10. Detecting the Sources of Information Rigidity: Analyzing Forecast Bias and Smoothing in USDA’s Soybean Forecasts
    2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)

2015

11. Cotton Policy in China
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (9)
12. World Cotton Consumption: Transition and Competition
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2014

13. China's Cotton Policy: New Directions in 2014
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2014, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
    Also in Agricultural Outlook Forum 2014, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2014)

2013

14. Cotton and Hydropower in Central Asia: How Resource Competition Affects Trade
    Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service
15. Untangling China's Cotton Policy (Power Point)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2013, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum View citations (1)

2012

16. Chinese Domestic Textile Demand: Where They Buy Does Matter
    2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil, International Association of Agricultural Economists
    See also Journal Article Chinese domestic textile demand: where they buy does matter, China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2013) View citations (3) (2013)
17. Economic Policy and Cotton in Uzbekistan
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (8)
18. Information Rigidity and Correcting Inefficiency in USDA’s Commodity Forecasts
    2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

2011

19. Toward a Consumer Economy in China: Implications of Changing Wage Policies for U.S. Cotton Exports
    2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
    See also Journal Article Toward a consumer economy in China: implications of changing wage policies for U.S. cotton exports, Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists (2014) View citations (1) (2014)
20. What Can we Learn from our Mistakes? Evaluating the Benefits of Correcting Inefficiencies in USDA Cotton Forecasts
    2011 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2011, Corpus Christi, Texas, Southern Agricultural Economics Association View citations (1)

2010

21. Markets, Institutions, and the Quality of Agricultural Products: Cotton Quality in India
    2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
22. WATER, ENERGY, AND AGRICULTURAL POLICY LINKAGES: THE CASE OF COTTON IN CENTRAL ASIA
    2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium

2009

23. Futures Basis for Cotton: Impact of Globalization and Structural Change
    2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
24. Trends in U.S. Cotton Basis Since 2001
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
25. U.S. Cotton Prices and the World Cotton Market: Forecasting and Structural Change
    2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (5)
    Also in Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (2009) View citations (4)

2008

26. The United States and World Cotton Outlook
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2008, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
    Also in Agricultural Outlook Forum 2005, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2005) View citations (1)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2004, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2004)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2007, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2007)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2002, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2002) View citations (3)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2003, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2003) View citations (1)

2007

27. Nominal and Real Exchange Rate Change by China: Global Impacts on Agricultural Prices
    2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
28. Progress and Problems Estimating China's Cotton Supply and Demand
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2007, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

2006

29. Cotton Price Forecasting and Structural Change
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)

2005

30. A Comparison of USDA's Agricultural Export Forecasts with ARIMA-based Forecasts
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

2004

31. CHINA'S ROLE IN WORLD COTTON AND TEXTILE MARKETS
    2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (10)
    Also in Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project (2004)

2003

32. PERSPECTIVES ON COTTON GLOBAL TRADE REFORMS
    2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
    Also in Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project (2003)
33. Transgenic Cotton and Crop Productivity: A General Equilibrium Analysis for West and Central Africa
    Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

2001

34. USDA PERSPECTIVE ON THE OUTLOOK FOR COTTON
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2001, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
    Also in Agricultural Outlook Forum 1999, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (1999)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum Archive 1923 - 1997, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (1995)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum Archive 1923 - 1997, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (1996)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 1998, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (1998)
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2000, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum (2000)

2000

35. The New Agricultural Trade Negotiations: Background and Issues for the U.S. Cotton Sec
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)

1997

36. Global End-Use Demand for Cotton: A Time-Varying Parameter Model
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

1995

37. Cotton: Background for 1995 Farm Legislation
    Agricultural Economic Reports, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (7)

1994

38. Outlook for cotton
    Agricultural Outlook Forum Archive 1923 - 1997, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

1992

39. The Accuracy of USDA's Export Forecasts
    Staff Reports, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1992) View citations (2)

Undated

40. Cotton Outlook
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2018, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
41. The World and U.S. Cotton Outlook for 2018/19: Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee
    Agricultural Outlook Forum 2018, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum

Journal Articles

2022

1. Publisher Correction: Elucidating mechanisms of genetic cross-disease associations at the PROCR vascular disease locus
   Nature Communications, 2022, 13, (1), 1-2

2019

2. How Has the Trade Dispute Affected the U.S. Cotton Sector?
   Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2019, 34, (4) View citations (7)

2014

3. Toward a consumer economy in China: implications of changing wage policies for U.S. cotton exports
   Agricultural Economics, 2014, 45, (4), 513-524 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Toward a Consumer Economy in China: Implications of Changing Wage Policies for U.S. Cotton Exports, 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (2011) (2011)

2013

4. Chinese domestic textile demand: where they buy does matter
   China Agricultural Economic Review, 2013, 5, (3), 312-327 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Chinese Domestic Textile Demand: Where They Buy Does Matter, 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil (2012) (2012)

2012

5. A Comprehensive Evaluation of USDA Cotton Forecasts
   Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2012, 37, (01), 16 View citations (5)
6. The World Bids Farewell to the Multifiber Arrangement
   Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2012, 6

2010

7. China's role in world cotton and textile markets: a joint computable general equilibrium/partial equilibrium approach
   Applied Economics, 2010, 42, (7), 875-885 View citations (2)

2009

8. China's Cotton Use Trimmed by Growing Efficiency and Slowing Economy
   Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2009, 1

2007

9. A New World for U.S. Cotton Producers
   Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2007, 1

2006

10. Textile Trade Liberalization Brings Difficulties to Some Rural Communities
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2006, 1

2005

11. Many Forces Reshaping Global Textile and Cotton Markets
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2005, 2

2004

12. Estimating the Impact of Transgenic Bt Cotton on West and Central Africa: A General Equilibrium Approach
    World Development, 2004, 32, (12), 2049-2064 View citations (20)
13. The Changing World Network of Trade in Textiles and Apparel
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2004, 2

2003

14. Liberalizing World Trade in Textiles and Apparel
    Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2003, 2

1992

15. High-value Exports Surpassed Traditional Bulk Products
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1992, 15, (2) View citations (1)

1991

16. U.S. Agricultural Trade
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1991, 14, (3) View citations (6)

1990

17. International Trade
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1990, 13, (3) View citations (40)
    Also in Food Review/ National Food Review, 1989, 12, (2) (1989)
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1988, 11, (2) (1988) View citations (1)

1987

18. Exporting U.S. Farm Products: Growth and Development in Major Markets
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1987, NFR 38, (01)

1985

19. Major U.S. Farm Export Markets Shift
    Food Review/ National Food Review, 1985, NFR 30, (01)