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Details about Carlos A. Medel

E-mail:
Phone:+56 2 23882172
Postal address:Agustinas 1180, Office 12/Second Floor, Santiago 8340454, CHILE
Workplace:Banco Central de Chile (Central Bank of Chile), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Carlos A. Medel.

Last updated 2019-05-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pme357


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Working Papers

2018

  1. Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
  2. Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads

2017

  1. Determinantes de la Inflación de Servicios en Chile
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (2)
  2. FinTech and the Future of Central Banking
    Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
  3. Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2016) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2017)
  4. Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) Downloads

2016

  1. An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2017)
  2. Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (2018)
  3. Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2016)

2015

  1. A Critical Review of Posch, J. and F. Rumler (2015), 'Semi-Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve,' Journal of Forecasting 34(2): 145-62
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Fuelling Future Prices: Oil Price and Global Inflation
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Monetaria (2015)
  4. Producers, Politicians, Warriors, and Forecasters: Who's Who in the Oil Market?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  5. The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2016)

2014

  1. A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business Cycle Research (2018)
  2. Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas
    (Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with Chilean Macroeconomic Series)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2014) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2015)
  3. The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2016)
  4. The Typical Spectral Shape of An Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2014) Downloads

2012

  1. Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) Downloads
  2. Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (4)
  4. How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía (2013)
  5. ¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para Predecir el PIB Chileno?
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) Downloads

2011

  1. Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur
    Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú Downloads
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2011)
  2. Short-Term GDP Forecasting Using Bridge Models: a Case for Chile
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (2)
  3. The Effects of Global Warming on Fisheries
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)

2010

  1. Proyección Agregada y Desagregada del PIB Chileno con Procedimientos Automatizados de Series de Tiempo
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Efectos del Calentamiento Global sobre la Industria Pesquera
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads

2007

  1. Guía de Ejercicios: Introducción a la Macroeconomía
    (Exercises Guide: Principles of Macroeconomics)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

Journal Articles

2018

  1. A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA
    Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2018, 14, (1), 47-87 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  2. Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach
    International Economic Journal, 2018, 32, (3), 331-371 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2017

  1. An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies*
    Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 2017, 32, (2), 131-153 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  2. Fintech y la banca central en la encrucijada
    Estudios Públicos, 2017, (148), 39-78 Downloads
  3. Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy
    Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2017, 20, (3), 004-050 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2017)

2016

  1. Forecasting with a Random Walk
    Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), 2016, 66, (6), 539-564 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation
    International Finance, 2016, 19, (2), 120-146 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  3. The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (2), 126-131 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  4. Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global
    Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2016, 19, (2), 128-153 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2015

  1. Dinámica inflacionaria y la curva de Phillips híbrida neokeynesiana: el caso de Chile
    Monetaria, 2015, XXXVII, (1), 27-78 Downloads
  2. Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries
    Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), 2015, 65, (1), 2-29 Downloads View citations (10)
  3. Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile
    Monetaria, 2015, III, (1), 25-69 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  4. Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas
    Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 2015, 30, (1), 57-72 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2014

  1. The typical spectral shape of an economic variable: a visual guide
    Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (14), 1017-1024 Downloads

2013

  1. Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?
    Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, 2013, 28, (1), 47-64 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP
    Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, 2013, 50, (1), 133-161 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2011

  1. Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena
    Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2011, 14, (3), 75-82 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. ¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál utilizar para predecir el PIB chileno?
    Monetaria, 2011, XXXIV, (4), 591-615 Downloads

2010

  1. Incertidumbre en las Series Desestacionalizadas de Actividad y Demanda en Chile
    Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2010, 13, (1), 63-72 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Una Estimación del Impacto del Efecto Calendario en Series Desestacionalizadas Chilenas de Actividad y Demanda
    Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2010, 13, (3), 95-103 Downloads View citations (3)
 
Page updated 2019-05-21