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Details about Aidan Meyler

Phone:+49 174 213 7125
Workplace:European Central Bank, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Aidan Meyler.

Last updated 2024-12-16. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pme39


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Working Papers

2024

  1. A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads

2022

  1. Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations: The Role of Uncertainty
    European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022) Downloads View citations (8)

2021

  1. Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (7)
  2. The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (20)

2020

  1. Forecast performance in the ECB SPF: ability or chance?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (5)

2017

  1. EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (46)
    Also in European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2016) Downloads View citations (4)

2015

  1. Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (26)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2015) Downloads View citations (27)

    See also Journal Article Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?, International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press (2018) Downloads View citations (12) (2018)

2012

  1. Euro area labour markets and the crisis
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (11)

2011

  1. Structural features of distributive trades and their impact on prices in the euro area
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads

2010

  1. Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (21)
  2. Energy markets and the euro area macroeconomy
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (2)
  3. The behaviour of consumer gas prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2009

  1. Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (5)

2007

  1. The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (97)

1999

  1. A Statistical Measure Of Core Inflation
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) Downloads View citations (12)
  2. Inflation Analysis: An Overview
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) Downloads View citations (3)
  3. The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) in a Small Open Economy: The Irish Context
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) Downloads View citations (6)

1998

  1. Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (26)
    Also in Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland (1998) Downloads View citations (28)
  2. Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland Downloads View citations (48)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) Downloads View citations (49)
  3. Technology and Foreign Direct Investment in Ireland
    Economics Technical Papers, Trinity College Dublin, Economics Department Downloads View citations (2)

1997

  1. Regional Employment Performance of Irish Industry, 1972-96: A Job Flow Analysis
    Economics Technical Papers, Trinity College Dublin, Economics Department View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2023

  1. What do consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation?
    Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2023, 6 Downloads

2022

  1. A closer look at consumers' inflation expectations – evidence from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey
    Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 7 Downloads
  2. Does the private sector foresee a stagflation episode?
    Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 4 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Does the tail wag the dog? A closer look at recent movements in the distributions of professional forecasters’ inflation expectations
    Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 6 Downloads
  4. Energy price developments in and out of the COVID-19 pandemic – from commodity prices to consumer prices
    Economic Bulletin Articles, 2022, 4 Downloads View citations (11)

2021

  1. Making sense of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations – the role of (un)certainty
    Economic Bulletin Articles, 2021, 2 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Results of a special survey of professional forecasters on the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy
    Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2021, 7 Downloads View citations (6)

2019

  1. Twenty years of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    Economic Bulletin Articles, 2019, 1 Downloads View citations (6)

2018

  1. Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?
    International Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 9, (1), 171-188 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?, MPRA Paper (2015) Downloads View citations (26) (2015)

2013

  1. Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (1), 108-121 Downloads View citations (168)

2010

  1. An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (2), 1-28 Downloads View citations (37)

2009

  1. The pass through of oil prices into euro area consumer liquid fuel prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices
    Energy Economics, 2009, 31, (6), 867-881 Downloads View citations (63)

2000

  1. Job Generation and Regional Industrial Policy in Ireland
    The Economic and Social Review, 2000, 31, (2), 111-128 Downloads View citations (16)
 
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