Details about Aidan Meyler

Access statistics for papers by Aidan Meyler.

Last updated 2025-04-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pme39

Working Papers

2024

1. A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank

2022

2. Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations: The Role of Uncertainty
   European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission View citations (5)
   Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022) View citations (9)

2021

3. Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (7)
4. The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (21)

2020

5. Forecast performance in the ECB SPF: ability or chance?
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (5)

2017

6. EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (46)
   Also in European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2016) View citations (4)

2015

7. Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (27)
   Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2015) View citations (26)
   See also Journal Article Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?, International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press (2018) View citations (12) (2018)

2012

8. Euro area labour markets and the crisis
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (11)

2011

9. Structural features of distributive trades and their impact on prices in the euro area
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank

2010

10. Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (21)
11. Energy markets and the euro area macroeconomy
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
12. The behaviour of consumer gas prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

2009

13. Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (5)

2007

14. The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (97)

1999

15. A Statistical Measure Of Core Inflation
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (15)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (12)
16. Inflation Analysis: An Overview
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (2)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (3)
17. The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) in a Small Open Economy: The Irish Context
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (6)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (6)

1998

18. Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (26)
    Also in Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland (1998) View citations (28)
19. Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
    Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland View citations (48)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) View citations (49)
20. Technology and Foreign Direct Investment in Ireland
    Economics Technical Papers, Trinity College Dublin, Economics Department View citations (2)

1997

21. Regional Employment Performance of Irish Industry, 1972-96: A Job Flow Analysis
    Economics Technical Papers, Trinity College Dublin, Economics Department View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2023

1. What do consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation?
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2023, 6

2022

2. A closer look at consumers' inflation expectations – evidence from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 7
3. Does the private sector foresee a stagflation episode?
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 4 View citations (1)
4. Does the tail wag the dog? A closer look at recent movements in the distributions of professional forecasters’ inflation expectations
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, 6
5. Energy price developments in and out of the COVID-19 pandemic – from commodity prices to consumer prices
   Economic Bulletin Articles, 2022, 4 View citations (13)

2021

6. Making sense of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations – the role of (un)certainty
   Economic Bulletin Articles, 2021, 2 View citations (11)
7. Results of a special survey of professional forecasters on the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2021, 7 View citations (7)

2019

8. Twenty years of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
   Economic Bulletin Articles, 2019, 1 View citations (8)

2018

9. Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?
   International Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 9, (1), 171-188 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?, Working Paper Series (2015) View citations (27) (2015)

2013

10. Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 29, (1), 108-121 View citations (169)

2010

11. An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (2), 1-28 View citations (37)

2009

12. The pass through of oil prices into euro area consumer liquid fuel prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices
    Energy Economics, 2009, 31, (6), 867-881 View citations (69)

2000

13. Job Generation and Regional Industrial Policy in Ireland
    The Economic and Social Review, 2000, 31, (2), 111-128 View citations (16)