Details about John Muellbauer
Access statistics for papers by John Muellbauer.
Last updated 2024-09-03. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pmu109
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Working Papers
2024
- Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model
Papers, arXiv.org
- Housing and Macroprudential Policy
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics
2023
- Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics 
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)  INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford (2023)
- Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (2)
2021
- Excess mortality versus COVID-19 death rates: a spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities and political allegiance across US states
INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford 
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2021) 
See also Journal Article Excess Mortality Versus COVID‐19 Death Rates: A Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Disparities and Political Allegiance Across U.S. States, Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (2022) (2022)
2020
- Consumption and wealth: new evidence from Italy
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area View citations (1)
- Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
- Measuring excess mortality: the case of England during the Covid-19 Pandemic
INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford View citations (5)
- Transatlantic excess mortality comparisons in the pandemic
OSF Preprints, Center for Open Science View citations (3)
Also in INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford (2020) View citations (1)
2019
- A Tale of Two Cities: is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics
See also Chapter A Tale of Two Cities: Is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?, Springer Books, Springer (2019) (2019)
2018
- Housing, Debt and the Economy: a Tale of Two Countries
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (7)
See also Journal Article Housing, Debt and the Economy: A Tale of Two Countries, National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (2018) View citations (8) (2018)
- The Future of Macroeconomics
INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
2017
- Sifting through the ASHE: Job Polarisation and Earnings Inequality in the UK, 1975-2015
INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
- The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (9)
See also Journal Article The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (2018) View citations (45) (2018)
2016
- Macroeconomics and Consumption
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (17)
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2016) View citations (17)
- Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (45)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2016) View citations (45)
See also Journal Article Modelling and forecasting mortgage delinquency and foreclosure in the UK, Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier (2016) View citations (42) (2016)
- The housing market, household portfolios and the German consumer
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (26)
2015
- Credit Conditions and Consumption, House Prices and Debt: What Makes Canada Different?
Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada View citations (11)
- Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (11)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (11)
2013
- Conditional Eurobonds and the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (14)
See also Journal Article Conditional eurobonds and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (2013) View citations (14) (2013)
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data, Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) View citations (17) (2014)
- Tobin LIVES: Integrating evolving credit market architecture into flow of funds based macro-models
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (24)
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2012) View citations (16) Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2013) View citations (9)
2012
- Exchange Rate Passthrough to Import Prices and Monetary Policy in South Africa
Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices, and Monetary Policy in South Africa, Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) View citations (29) (2014)
- Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (5)
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa, Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (2013) View citations (26) (2013)
- When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (44)
See also Chapter When is a Housing Market Overheated Enough to Threaten Stability?, RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia (2012) View citations (38) (2012)
2011
- Credit Conditions and the Real Economy: The Elephant in the Room
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (17)
See also Chapter Credit conditions and the real economy: the elephant in the room, BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements (2012) View citations (2) (2012)
- House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the U.S. Experience
SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (205)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (190) LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2011) View citations (186) Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2011) View citations (154)
See also Journal Article House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2011) View citations (203) (2011)
- Modelling and Forecasting with County Court Data: Regional Mortgage Possession Claims and Orders in England and Wales
SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (7)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2011) View citations (7)
- Shifting Credit Standards and the Boom and Bust in U.S. House Prices
SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (36)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2011) View citations (19) Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2011) View citations (10) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (21)
2010
- Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (46)
Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2010) View citations (9) Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (20)
- Does aggregating forecasts by CPI component improve inflation forecast accuracy in South Africa?
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
- Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (2)
- Household decisions, credit markets and the macroeconomy: implications for the design of central bank models
BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (26)
- Housing Markets and the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the Future
SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (117)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2010) View citations (88)
See also Journal Article Housing markets and the financial crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the future, Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier (2010) View citations (109) (2010)
- Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (20)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2010) View citations (18) SERC Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE (2010) View citations (19) Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (20)
- New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
See also Journal Article New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2013) View citations (17) (2013)
2009
- Consumption, Land Prices and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (6)
- Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2009)
2008
- Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (35)
See also Journal Article Housing, credit and consumer expenditure, Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2007) View citations (22) (2007)
- Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2008) View citations (1)
See also Chapter Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
- Multi-sector inflation forecasting - quarterly models for South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (3)
- New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (6)
2007
- Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africas Household Sector from 1975 to 2005
Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank View citations (3)
- Housing Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption
ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES) View citations (9)
Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2006) View citations (41) CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2006) View citations (42)
- Housing and Personal Wealth in a Global Context
WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) View citations (6)
- Inflation Dynamics and Trade Openness
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (15)
- Inflation dynamics and trade openness: with an application to South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (12)
2006
- Consumer credit conditions in the United Kingdom
Bank of England working papers, Bank of England View citations (46)
- Estimating the Balance Sheet of the Personal Sector in an Emerging Market Country: South Africa 1975-2003
WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) View citations (5)
- Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (19)
- Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994, Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (2007) View citations (42) (2007)
- Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa: 1994-2004
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
- Towards Official Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africa’s Household Sector
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford
- WAS THERE A BRITISH HOUSE PRICE BUBBLE? EVIDENCE FROM A REGIONAL PANEL
ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES) View citations (82)
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (78) CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (83)
2005
- Booms, Busts and Ripples in British Regional Housing Markets
Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
2004
- A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price
Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (6)
- A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price Index: application to South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (3)
- A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (14)
Also in Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany (2004) View citations (12)
- Construction of CPIX Data for Forecasting and Modelling in South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (14)
Also in Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany (2004) View citations (14)
See also Journal Article CONSTRUCTION OF CPIX DATA FOR FORECASTING AND MODELLING IN SOUTH AFRICA*, South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa (2004) View citations (14) (2004)
- Consumer credit conditions in the UK
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group View citations (6)
- Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (4)
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (1999) View citations (9)
- Estimating Equivalence Scales for Tax and Benefits Systems
Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford View citations (13)
- Forecasting (and Explaining) US Business Cycles
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
- Revised Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa
Development and Comp Systems, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2004) View citations (2)
2002
- Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (46)
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2002) View citations (40)
See also Journal Article Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (2002) View citations (44) (2002)
2001
- A STUDY IN STRUCTURAL CHANGE: RELATIVE EARNINGS IN WALES SINCE THE 1970S
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2001) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article A Study in Structural Change: Relative Earnings in Wales Since the 1970s, Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2002) View citations (2) (2002)
- Credit, the Stock Market and Oil: Forecasting US GDP
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (10)
- Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (4)
Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2000) View citations (10)
See also Chapter Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2002) View citations (13) (2002)
2000
- Earnings, Unemployment, And Housing: Evidence From A Panel Of British Regions
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (8)
Also in Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society (2000) View citations (8) Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford (1999) View citations (2)
- Financial liberalisation, consumption and debt in South Africa
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (19)
- Inflation and output forecasts for South Africa: monetary transmission implications
CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford View citations (14)
- Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (39)
Also in CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2000) View citations (36)
See also Journal Article Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa, The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank (2000) View citations (38) (2000)
1999
- Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and EMU
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (18)
See also Journal Article Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and EMU, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1998) View citations (106) (1998)
1998
- The Housing Market and Regional Commuting and Migration Choices
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (120)
See also Journal Article The Housing Market and Regional Commuting and Migration Choices, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (1998) View citations (104) (1998)
1997
- Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (281)
Also in Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford (1996) View citations (33)
See also Journal Article Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1997) View citations (274) (1997)
- Income Persistence and Macro-Policy Feedbacks in the United States
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (1)
1994
- Explaining regional consumption in the UK
Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin View citations (4)
- Explaining regional house prices in the UK
Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin View citations (24)
1988
- Housing, Wages and UK Labour Markets
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (16)
See also Journal Article Housing, Wages and UK Labour Markets, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (1989) View citations (60) (1989)
1986
- Habits, Rationality and Myopia in the Life-Cycle Consumption Function
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (24)
See also Journal Article Habits, Rationality and Myopia in the Life Cycle Consumption Function, Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES (1988) View citations (101) (1988)
1984
- Aggregate Production Functions and Productivity Measurement: A New Look
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (12)
- British Manufacturing Productivity 1955-1983: Measurement Problems, Oil Shocks and Thatcher Effects
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
1971
- TESTING THE 'CAGAN-HALL' AND THE 'HEDONIC' HYPOTHESES
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1971) View citations (1)
- THE 'PURE THEORY OF THE NATIONAL OUTPUT DEFLATOR' REVISITED
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics 
Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1971)
- THE 'PURE THEORY OF THE TRUE COST-OF-LIVING INDEX' REVISITED
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics
- THE THEORY OF 'TRUE' INPUT PRICE INDICES
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics 
Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1971)
- The 'Pure Theory of the Cost-of-Living Index' Revisited
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Journal Articles
2022
- Excess Mortality Versus COVID‐19 Death Rates: A Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Disparities and Political Allegiance Across U.S. States
Review of Income and Wealth, 2022, 68, (2), 348-392 
See also Working Paper Excess mortality versus COVID-19 death rates: a spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities and political allegiance across US states, INET Oxford Working Papers (2021) (2021)
2021
- What Drives House Price Cycles? International Experience and Policy Issues
Journal of Economic Literature, 2021, 59, (3), 773-864 View citations (36)
2020
- Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2020, 36, (3), 510-555 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages, Economics Series Working Papers (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
2018
- Consumption, household portfolios and the housing market in France
Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, 2018, (500-501-502), 157-178 View citations (26)
- Housing, Debt and the Economy: A Tale of Two Countries
National Institute Economic Review, 2018, 245, (1), R20-R33 View citations (8)
Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2018, 245, R20-R33 (2018) View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Housing, Debt and the Economy: a Tale of Two Countries, Economics Series Working Papers (2018) View citations (7) (2018)
- The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2018, 34, (1-2), 287-328 View citations (45)
See also Working Paper The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England, Economics Series Working Papers (2017) View citations (9) (2017)
2016
- How Mortgage Finance Reform Could Affect Housing
American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (5), 620-24 View citations (18)
- Modelling and forecasting mortgage delinquency and foreclosure in the UK
Journal of Urban Economics, 2016, 94, (C), 32-53 View citations (42)
See also Working Paper Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK, Economics Series Working Papers (2016) View citations (45) (2016)
2015
- Housing and the Macroeconomy: Inflation and the Financial Accelerator
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2015, 47, (S1), 51-58 View citations (7)
2014
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings
Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 101-143 View citations (69)
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data
Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 165-185 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
- Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices, and Monetary Policy in South Africa
Journal of Development Studies, 2014, 50, (1), 144-164 View citations (29)
See also Working Paper Exchange Rate Passthrough to Import Prices and Monetary Policy in South Africa, Working Papers (2012) View citations (5) (2012)
2013
- Conditional eurobonds and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2013, 29, (3), 610-645 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Conditional Eurobonds and the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis, Economics Series Working Papers (2013) View citations (14) (2013)
- New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2013, 75, (5), 637-661 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US, CEPR Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (4) (2010)
- Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa
Review of Income and Wealth, 2013, 59, S161-S196 View citations (26)
See also Working Paper Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa, CEPR Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (5) (2012)
2012
- CREDIT, HOUSING COLLATERAL, AND CONSUMPTION: EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN, THE U.K., AND THE U.S
Review of Income and Wealth, 2012, 58, (3), 397-423 View citations (101)
- Improving forecasting in an emerging economy, South Africa: Changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation
International Journal of Forecasting, 2012, 28, (2), 456-476 View citations (21)
2011
- House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience
Economic Journal, 2011, 121, (552), 533-551 View citations (203)
See also Working Paper House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the U.S. Experience, SERC Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (205) (2011)
2010
- Housing markets and the financial crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the future
Journal of Financial Stability, 2010, 6, (4), 203-217 View citations (109)
See also Working Paper Housing Markets and the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the Future, SERC Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (117) (2010)
2009
- A STOCHASTIC ESTIMATION FRAMEWORK FOR COMPONENTS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
South African Journal of Economics, 2009, 77, (2), 282-313 View citations (3)
2008
- Housing markets and the economy: the assessment
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2008, 24, (1), 1-33 View citations (102)
- The Next Collapse: U.S. Price Inflation
The Economists' Voice, 2008, 5, (6), 4
2007
- Housing, credit and consumer expenditure
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2007, 267- 334 View citations (22)
See also Working Paper Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure, CEPR Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (35) (2008)
- Housing, housing finance, and monetary policy: a symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 30 - September 1, 2007
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2007
- Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994
Journal of African Economies, 2007, 16, (5), 705-744 View citations (42)
See also Working Paper Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994, CSAE Working Paper Series (2006) View citations (9) (2006)
2006
- ESTIMATES OF HOUSEHOLD SECTOR WEALTH FOR SOUTH AFRICA, 1970–2003
Review of Income and Wealth, 2006, 52, (2), 285-307 View citations (16)
2005
- Monetary Policy, Macro-stability and Growth
World Economics, 2005, 6, (4), 123-147 View citations (7)
- Paradoxes in Biodiversity Conservation
World Economics, 2005, 6, (3), 57-69 View citations (8)
- Property Taxation and the Economy after the Barker Review
Economic Journal, 2005, 115, (502), C99-C117 View citations (22)
2004
- CONSTRUCTION OF CPIX DATA FOR FORECASTING AND MODELLING IN SOUTH AFRICA*
South African Journal of Economics, 2004, 72, (5), 884-912 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Construction of CPIX Data for Forecasting and Modelling in South Africa, CSAE Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (14) (2004)
2002
- A Study in Structural Change: Relative Earnings in Wales Since the 1970s
Regional Studies, 2002, 36, (1), 1-11 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper A STUDY IN STRUCTURAL CHANGE: RELATIVE EARNINGS IN WALES SINCE THE 1970S, Economics Series Working Papers (2001) View citations (1) (2001)
- Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa
IMF Staff Papers, 2002, 49, (Special issue), 185-213 View citations (44)
See also Working Paper Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa, CEPR Discussion Papers (2002) View citations (46) (2002)
2001
- Earnings, unemployment, and housing in Britain
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2001, 16, (3), 203-220 View citations (36)
2000
- Earnings Biases in the United Kingdom Regional Accounts: Some Economic Policy and Research Implications
Economic Journal, 2000, 110, (464), F412-29 View citations (34)
- Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa
The World Bank Economic Review, 2000, 14, (3), 509-544 View citations (38)
See also Working Paper Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa, CEPR Discussion Papers (2000) View citations (39) (2000)
1998
- Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and EMU
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1998, 14, (3), 54-80 View citations (106)
See also Working Paper Asymmetries in Housing and Financial Market Institutions and EMU, CEPR Discussion Papers (1999) View citations (18) (1999)
- The Housing Market and Regional Commuting and Migration Choices
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 1998, 45, (4), 420-446 View citations (104)
See also Working Paper The Housing Market and Regional Commuting and Migration Choices, CEPR Discussion Papers (1998) View citations (120) (1998)
1997
- Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market
Economic Journal, 1997, 107, (445), 1701-27 View citations (274)
See also Working Paper Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market, CEPR Discussion Papers (1997) View citations (281) (1997)
- The Assessment: Business Cycles
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1997, 13, (3), 1-18 View citations (4)
1996
- Income Persistence and Macro-Policy Feedbacks in the U.S
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1996, 58, (4), 703-33 View citations (12)
1994
- Anglo-German differences in housing market fluctuations: The role of institutions and macroeconomic policy
Economic Modelling, 1994, 11, (2), 238-249 View citations (2)
- The Assessment: Consumer Expenditure
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1994, 10, (2), 1-41 View citations (71)
1992
- Anglo-German differences in housing market dynamics: The role of institutions and macro economic policy
European Economic Review, 1992, 36, (2-3), 539-548 View citations (14)
1991
- Productivity and Competitiveness
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1991, 7, (3), 99-117 View citations (14)
1989
- Housing, Wages and UK Labour Markets
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1989, 51, (2), 97-136 View citations (60)
See also Working Paper Housing, Wages and UK Labour Markets, CEPR Discussion Papers (1988) View citations (16) (1988)
1988
- Habits, Rationality and Myopia in the Life Cycle Consumption Function
Annals of Economics and Statistics, 1988, (9), 47-70 View citations (101)
See also Working Paper Habits, Rationality and Myopia in the Life-Cycle Consumption Function, CEPR Discussion Papers (1986) View citations (24) (1986)
1986
- On Measuring Child Costs: With Applications to Poor Countries
Journal of Political Economy, 1986, 94, (4), 720-44 View citations (203)
- The Assessment: Productivity and Competitiveness in British Manufacturing
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1986, 2, (3), i-xxv View citations (3)
1983
- Surprises in the Consumption Function
Economic Journal, 1983, 93, (369a), 34-50 View citations (32)
1981
- Are employment decisions based on rational expectations?
Journal of Econometrics, 1981, 16, (1), 156-156 View citations (1)
- Linear Aggregation in Neoclassical Labour Supply
The Review of Economic Studies, 1981, 48, (1), 21-36 View citations (10)
1980
- An Almost Ideal Demand System
American Economic Review, 1980, 70, (3), 312-26 View citations (2262)
- Reply to Irvine and McCarthy [Aggregation, Income Distribution and Consumer Demand]
Economic Journal, 1980, 90, (363), 912-13
- The Estimation of the Prais-Houthakker Model of Equivalence Scales
Econometrica, 1980, 48, (1), 153-76 View citations (27)
- Unemployment, employment and exports in British manufacturing: A non-clearing markets approach
European Economic Review, 1980, 13, (3), 383-409 View citations (7)
See also Chapter Unemployment, Employment and Exports in British Manufacturing: A Non-clearing Markets Approach, NBER Chapters, 1981, 383-409 (1981) View citations (1) (1981)
1979
- McClements on equivalence scales for children
Journal of Public Economics, 1979, 12, (2), 221-231 View citations (11)
- Reply to McClements
Journal of Public Economics, 1979, 12, (2), 243-243 View citations (1)
1978
- Macroeconomic Models with Quantity Rationing
Economic Journal, 1978, 88, (352), 788-821 View citations (71)
1977
- Testing the Barten Model of Household Composition Effects and the Cost of Children
Economic Journal, 1977, 87, (347), 460-87 View citations (74)
1976
- A comment on limited independence between income responses and household composition
European Economic Review, 1976, 8, (1), 91-95
- Community Preferences and the Representative Consumer
Econometrica, 1976, 44, (5), 979-99 View citations (159)
1975
- Aggregation, Income Distribution and Consumer Demand
The Review of Economic Studies, 1975, 42, (4), 525-543 View citations (187)
- Identification and Consumer Unit Scales
Econometrica, 1975, 43, (4), 807-09 View citations (3)
- The cost of living and taste and quality change
Journal of Economic Theory, 1975, 10, (3), 269-283 View citations (11)
1974
- Household Production Theory, Quality, and the "Hedonic Technique."
American Economic Review, 1974, 64, (6), 977-94 View citations (59)
- Household composition, Engel curves and welfare comparisons between households: A duality approach
European Economic Review, 1974, 5, (2), 103-122 View citations (48)
- Inequality Measures, Prices and Household Composition
The Review of Economic Studies, 1974, 41, (4), 493-504 View citations (18)
- Prices and Inequality: The United Kingdom Experience
Economic Journal, 1974, 84, (333), 32-55 View citations (39)
Books
1980
- Economics and Consumer Behavior
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1466)
Chapters
2019
- A Tale of Two Cities: Is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?
Springer
See also Working Paper A Tale of Two Cities: is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2019) (2019)
2012
- Credit conditions and the real economy: the elephant in the room
A chapter in Property markets and financial stability, 2012, vol. 64, pp 95-101 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Credit Conditions and the Real Economy: The Elephant in the Room, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (17) (2011)
- Credit standards and the bubble in US house prices: new econometric evidence
A chapter in Property markets and financial stability, 2012, vol. 64, pp 83-89 View citations (5)
- When is a Housing Market Overheated Enough to Threaten Stability?
A chapter in Property Markets and Financial Stability, 2012 View citations (38)
See also Working Paper When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2012) View citations (44) (2012)
2009
- Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa
Chapter 15 in Monetary Policy Frameworks for Emerging Markets, 2009 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (3) (2008)
2002
- Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa
Chapter 15 in Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, 2002, vol. 4, pp 427-476 View citations (13)
See also Working Paper Estimating monetary policy rules for South Africa, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford (2001) View citations (4) (2001)
1981
- Unemployment, Employment and Exports in British Manufacturing: A Non-clearing Markets Approach
A chapter in International Seminar on Macroeconomics 1979, 1981, pp 383-409 View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Unemployment, employment and exports in British manufacturing: A non-clearing markets approach, Elsevier (1980) View citations (7) (1980)
1978
- Distributional Aspects of Price Comparisons
Palgrave Macmillan
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