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Details about Paul Ormerod

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Homepage:http://www.paulormerod.com
Workplace:Volterra Consulting

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Last updated 2019-01-18. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: por16


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Working Papers

2018

  1. News and narratives in financial systems: exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment
    Bank of England working papers, Bank of England Downloads View citations (1)

2017

  1. Predicting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning Algorithms
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Measuring Financial Sentiment to Predict Financial Instability: A New Approach based on Text Analysis
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (2)
  2. The economics of radical uncertainty
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2015)
  3. Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda
    PSE - Labex "OSE-Ouvrir la Science Economique", HAL View citations (2)

2014

  1. Big Data, Socio-Psychological Theory, Algorithmic Text Analysis and Predicting the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads

2009

  1. Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2013)

2008

  1. Global recessions as a cascade phenomenon with heterogenous, interacting agents
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads
  2. Random Matrix Theory and the Evolution of Business Cycle Synchronisation, 1886-2006
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2008) Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Shelf space strategy in long-tail markets
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads
  4. The evolution of EU business cycle synchronisation 1981-2007
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads

2004

  1. How much can firms know?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics Downloads
  2. Information cascades and the distribution of economic recessions in the United States
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. The US Business Cycle: an agent-based model of heterogenous firms operating under uncertainty
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics Downloads

2002

  1. An agent-based model of the evolution of competition and market structure
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics Downloads
  2. Power Law Distribution of the Frequency of Demises of U.S Firms
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications (2003)

1991

  1. Is There an `EMS' Effect in European Labour Markets?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (8)

Journal Articles

2018

  1. Recent origin and evolution of obesity-income correlation across the United States
    Palgrave Communications, 2018, 4, (1), 1-14 Downloads
  2. The Tyranny of Metrics by Jerry Z. Muller
    Economic Affairs, 2018, 38, (2), 294-295 Downloads

2017

  1. Market Structure with Interacting Consumers
    Review of Behavioral Economics, 2017, 4, (1), 33-49 Downloads View citations (2)

2016

  1. Corruption and economic resilience: recovery from the financial crisis in western economies
    Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (3), 348-355 Downloads
  2. Picking Up the Gauntlet: Richard Thaler's Defence of Behavioural Economics
    Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (1), 91-101 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Science, the State and the City: Britain's Struggle to Succeed in Biotechnology by Geoffrey Owen and Michael M. Hopkins. Oxford University Press (2016), 272 pp. ISBN: 978-0198728009 (hb, £35.00)
    Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (3), 399-401 Downloads

2015

  1. A Comment on Gintis and Helbing “Homo Socialis: An Analytical Core for Sociological Theoryâ€
    Review of Behavioral Economics, 2015, 2, (1-2), 175-182 Downloads
  2. The economics of radical uncertainty
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2015, 9, 1-20 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2015)

2014

  1. Evolutionary Approaches to Privatisation
    Economic Affairs, 2014, 34, (2), 156-168 Downloads
  2. The persistence of unemployment at the local area level: evidence from the US and the UK
    Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (1), 28-30 Downloads

2013

  1. Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve
    Applied Economics, 2013, 45, (12), 1519-1531 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. Notas sobre un plan de estudios de economía del mundo real
    Revista de Economía Institucional, 2013, 15, (29), 13-20 Downloads

2012

  1. ACCELERATED INNOVATION AND INCREASED SPATIAL DIVERSITY OF US POPULAR CULTURE
    Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2012, 15, (01n02), 1-13 Downloads
  2. The structure of economic connections between industries: non-scaling behaviour
    International Journal of Complexity in Leadership and Management, 2012, 2, (1/2), 39-51 Downloads

2011

  1. Debate: Time to start picking winners again?
    Public Policy Review, 2011, 17, (4), 183-188
  2. Quality versus mere popularity: a conceptual map for understanding human behavior
    Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, 2011, 10, (2), 181-191 Downloads View citations (5)

2010

  1. A rapid method for assessing social versus independent interest in health issues: A case study of 'bird flu' and 'swine flu'
    Social Science & Medicine, 2010, 71, (3), 482-485 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. CHALLENGING THE EMPIRICAL EMPIRE
    Economic Affairs, 2010, 30, (1), 92-94 Downloads
  3. La crisis actual y la culpabilidad de la teoría macroeconómica
    Revista de Economía Institucional, 2010, 12, (22), 111-128 Downloads
  4. Resilience after localeconomic shocks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2010, 17, (5), 503-507 Downloads View citations (7)

2009

  1. Global recessions as a cascade phenomenon with interacting agents
    Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 2009, 4, (1), 15-26 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Innovation, diffusion and agglomeration
    Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 2009, 18, (7), 695-706 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Physical space and long-tail markets
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2009, 388, (5), 691-696 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. TRADITION AND FASHION IN CONSUMER CHOICE: BAGGING THE SCOTTISH MUNROS
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2009, 56, (3), 371-381 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. ‘Binge’ drinking in the UK: a social network phenomenon
    Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, 2009, 8, (2), 135-152 Downloads View citations (6)

2008

  1. Random Matrix Theory and Macro-Economic Time-Series: An Illustration Using the Evolution of Business Cycle Synchronisation, 1886-2006
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2008, 2, 1-10 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Social network markets: a new definition of the creative industries
    Journal of Cultural Economics, 2008, 32, (3), 167-185 Downloads View citations (40)

2007

  1. Extracting deep information from limited observations on an evolved social network
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2007, 378, (1), 48-52 Downloads View citations (2)

2006

  1. Cascades of Failure and Extinction in Evolving Complex Systems
    Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2006, 9, (4), 9 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Economic modelling with low-cognition agents
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2006, 370, (1), 60-63 Downloads
  3. Financial market complexity Neil F. Johnson, Paul Jeffries and Pak Ming Hui, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2003; 254 pp, ISBN 0-19-852665-2
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2006, 11, (4), 384-384 Downloads
  4. HAYEK, 'THE INTELLECTUALS AND SOCIALISM', AND WEIGHTED SCALE-FREE NETWORKS
    Economic Affairs, 2006, 26, (1), 41-47 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Worrying trends in econophysics
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2006, 370, (1), 1-6 Downloads View citations (49)

2004

  1. Information cascades and the distribution of economic recessions in capitalist economies
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 341, (C), 556-568 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Scaling invariant distributions of firms’ exit in OECD countries
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 334, (1), 267-273 Downloads View citations (18)
  3. Social Networks: Their Role in Access to Financial Services in Britain
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 189, (1), 99-109 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. The Medieval inquisition: scale-free networks and the suppression of heresy
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 339, (3), 645-652 Downloads View citations (8)
  5. The impossibility of accurate macro-economic forecasting
    Journal of Financial Transformation, 2004, 11, 10-13

2003

  1. Power law distribution of the frequency of demises of US firms
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2003, 324, (1), 207-212 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  2. Turning the Tide: Bringing Economics Teaching into the Twenty First Century
    International Review of Economic Education, 2003, 1, (1), 71-79 Downloads View citations (4)

2002

  1. The US business cycle: power law scaling for interacting units with complex internal structure
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2002, 314, (1), 774-785 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. The convergence of European business cycles 1978–2000
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2002, 307, (3), 494-504 Downloads View citations (3)

2001

  1. IMF Programmes: Is there a conditionality Laffer Curve?
    World Economics, 2001, 2, (2), 29-49 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. Power law distribution of the duration and magnitude of recessions in capitalist economies: breakdown of scaling
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2001, 293, (3), 573-582 Downloads View citations (22)
  3. Revisiting The Death of Economics
    World Economics, 2001, 2, (2), 163-176 Downloads

2000

  1. Random matrix theory and the failure of macro-economic forecasts
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2000, 280, (3), 497-504 Downloads View citations (3)

1998

  1. Richard Goodwin: A Short Appreciation
    Economic Journal, 1998, 108, (450), 1431-35 Downloads View citations (1)

1997

  1. Stopping crime spreading
    New Economy, 1997, 4, (2), 83-88 Downloads View citations (1)

1984

  1. The Forward Rate for the U.S. Dollar and the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, 1978-1983
    The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1984, 52, (3), 292-99

1982

  1. Unemployment in Interwar Britain [Searching for an Explanation of Unemployment in Interwar Britain]
    Journal of Political Economy, 1982, 90, (2), 400-409 Downloads

1980

  1. Manufactured Export Prices in the United Kingdom and the "Law of One Price."
    The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1980, 48, (3), 265-83
  2. The forward exchange rate for sterling and the efficiency of expectations
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 1980, 116, (2), 205-224 Downloads View citations (1)

1978

  1. Incomes Policy and Wage Inflation: Empirical Evidence for the Uk 1961-1977
    National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 85, (1), 31-39 Downloads
  2. Properties of Macroeconomic Models of the Uk Economy: A Comparative Study
    National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 83, (1), 52-72 Downloads
  3. St. Louis Models of the Uk Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 84, (1), 65-69 Downloads
  4. The Effects of Revisions to Central Statistical Office Data for the U.K. Economy
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1978, 40, (2), 165-71

1977

  1. Formal and Informal Aspects of Forecasting With an Econometric Model
    National Institute Economic Review, 1977, 81, (1), 67-71 Downloads

Chapters

2011

  1. Network Models of Innovation Process and Policy Implications
    Chapter 19 in Handbook on the Economic Complexity of Technological Change, 2011 Downloads

2004

  1. On the Methodology of Assessing Agent-Based Evolutionary Models in the Social Sciences
    Chapter 2 in Evolution and Economic Complexity, 2004 Downloads

2002

  1. Post-orthodox econometrics
    Chapter 9 in Keynes, Uncertainty and the Global Economy, 2002 Downloads
 
Page updated 2019-10-19