Details about Paul Ormerod
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Short-id: por16
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Working Papers
2018
- News and narratives in financial systems: exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment
Bank of England working papers, Bank of England View citations (28)
2017
- Predicting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning Algorithms
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (12)
2015
- Measuring Financial Sentiment to Predict Financial Instability: A New Approach based on Text Analysis
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (8)
- The economics of radical uncertainty
Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) 
See also Journal Article The economics of radical uncertainty, Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2015) (2015)
2014
- Big Data, Socio-Psychological Theory, Algorithmic Text Analysis and Predicting the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (6)
2009
- Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve
Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
2008
- Global recessions as a cascade phenomenon with heterogenous, interacting agents
Papers, arXiv.org
- Random Matrix Theory and the Evolution of Business Cycle Synchronisation, 1886-2006
Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (6)
Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2008) View citations (6)
- Shelf space strategy in long-tail markets
Papers, arXiv.org
- The evolution of EU business cycle synchronisation 1981-2007
Papers, arXiv.org
2004
- How much can firms know?
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics
- Information cascades and the distribution of economic recessions in the United States
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (4)
2003
- The US Business Cycle: an agent-based model of heterogenous firms operating under uncertainty
Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics
2002
- An agent-based model of the evolution of competition and market structure
Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics
- Power Law Distribution of the Frequency of Demises of U.S Firms
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Power law distribution of the frequency of demises of US firms, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier (2003) View citations (12) (2003)
1991
- Is There an `EMS' Effect in European Labour Markets?
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (5)
Journal Articles
2018
- Recent origin and evolution of obesity-income correlation across the United States
Palgrave Communications, 2018, 4, (1), 1-14 View citations (2)
- The Tyranny of Metrics by Jerry Z. Muller
Economic Affairs, 2018, 38, (2), 294-295
2017
- Market Structure with Interacting Consumers
Review of Behavioral Economics, 2017, 4, (1), 33-49 View citations (3)
2016
- Corruption and economic resilience: recovery from the financial crisis in western economies
Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (3), 348-355 View citations (2)
- Picking Up the Gauntlet: Richard Thaler's Defence of Behavioural Economics
Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (1), 91-101 View citations (1)
- Science, the State and the City: Britain's Struggle to Succeed in Biotechnology by Geoffrey Owen and Michael M. Hopkins. Oxford University Press (2016), 272 pp. ISBN: 978-0198728009 (hb, £35.00)
Economic Affairs, 2016, 36, (3), 399-401
2015
- A Comment on Gintis and Helbing “Homo Socialis: An Analytical Core for Sociological Theoryâ€
Review of Behavioral Economics, 2015, 2, (1-2), 175-182
- The economics of radical uncertainty
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), 2015, 9, 1-20 
See also Working Paper The economics of radical uncertainty, Economics Discussion Papers (2015) (2015)
2014
- Evolutionary Approaches to Privatisation
Economic Affairs, 2014, 34, (2), 156-168
- The persistence of unemployment at the local area level: evidence from the US and the UK
Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (1), 28-30 View citations (1)
2013
- Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve
Applied Economics, 2013, 45, (12), 1519-1531 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve, Economics Discussion Papers (2009) View citations (2) (2009)
- Notas sobre un plan de estudios de economía del mundo real
Revista de Economía Institucional, 2013, 15, (29), 13-20
2012
- ACCELERATED INNOVATION AND INCREASED SPATIAL DIVERSITY OF US POPULAR CULTURE
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2012, 15, (01n02), 1-13
- The structure of economic connections between industries: non-scaling behaviour
International Journal of Complexity in Leadership and Management, 2012, 2, (1/2), 39-51
2011
- Debate: Time to start picking winners again?
Public Policy Review, 2011, 17, (4), 183-188 View citations (1)
- Quality versus mere popularity: a conceptual map for understanding human behavior
Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, 2011, 10, (2), 181-191 View citations (5)
2010
- A rapid method for assessing social versus independent interest in health issues: A case study of 'bird flu' and 'swine flu'
Social Science & Medicine, 2010, 71, (3), 482-485 View citations (5)
- CHALLENGING THE EMPIRICAL EMPIRE
Economic Affairs, 2010, 30, (1), 92-94
- La crisis actual y la culpabilidad de la teoría macroeconómica
Revista de Economía Institucional, 2010, 12, (22), 111-128
- Resilience after localeconomic shocks
Applied Economics Letters, 2010, 17, (5), 503-507 View citations (9)
2009
- Global recessions as a cascade phenomenon with interacting agents
Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 2009, 4, (1), 15-26
- Innovation, diffusion and agglomeration
Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 2009, 18, (7), 695-706 View citations (1)
- Physical space and long-tail markets
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2009, 388, (5), 691-696 View citations (1)
- TRADITION AND FASHION IN CONSUMER CHOICE: BAGGING THE SCOTTISH MUNROS
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2009, 56, (3), 371-381 View citations (3)
- ‘Binge’ drinking in the UK: a social network phenomenon
Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, 2009, 8, (2), 135-152 View citations (6)
2008
- Random Matrix Theory and Macro-Economic Time-Series: An Illustration Using the Evolution of Business Cycle Synchronisation, 1886-2006
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), 2008, 2, 1-10 View citations (3)
- Social network markets: a new definition of the creative industries
Journal of Cultural Economics, 2008, 32, (3), 167-185 View citations (65)
2007
- Extracting deep information from limited observations on an evolved social network
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2007, 378, (1), 48-52 View citations (2)
2006
- Cascades of Failure and Extinction in Evolving Complex Systems
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2006, 9, (4), 9 View citations (7)
- Economic modelling with low-cognition agents
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2006, 370, (1), 60-63
- Financial market complexity Neil F. Johnson, Paul Jeffries and Pak Ming Hui, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2003; 254 pp, ISBN 0-19-852665-2
International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2006, 11, (4), 384-384
- HAYEK, ‘THE INTELLECTUALS AND SOCIALISM’, AND WEIGHTED SCALE‐FREE NETWORKS
Economic Affairs, 2006, 26, (1), 41-47 View citations (1)
- Worrying trends in econophysics
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2006, 370, (1), 1-6 View citations (66)
2004
- Information cascades and the distribution of economic recessions in capitalist economies
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 341, (C), 556-568 View citations (4)
- Scaling invariant distributions of firms’ exit in OECD countries
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 334, (1), 267-273 View citations (19)
- Social Networks: Their Role in Access to Financial Services in Britain
National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 189, (1), 99-109 View citations (3)
- The Medieval inquisition: scale-free networks and the suppression of heresy
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 339, (3), 645-652 View citations (11)
- The impossibility of accurate macro-economic forecasting
Journal of Financial Transformation, 2004, 11, 10-13
2003
- Power law distribution of the frequency of demises of US firms
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2003, 324, (1), 207-212 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper Power Law Distribution of the Frequency of Demises of U.S Firms, Papers (2002) View citations (5) (2002)
- Turning the Tide: Bringing Economics Teaching into the Twenty First Century
International Review of Economic Education, 2003, 1, (1), 71-79 View citations (4)
2002
- The US business cycle: power law scaling for interacting units with complex internal structure
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2002, 314, (1), 774-785 View citations (10)
- The convergence of European business cycles 1978–2000
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2002, 307, (3), 494-504 View citations (4)
2001
- IMF Programmes: Is there a conditionality Laffer Curve?
World Economics, 2001, 2, (2), 29-49 View citations (19)
- Power law distribution of the duration and magnitude of recessions in capitalist economies: breakdown of scaling
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2001, 293, (3), 573-582 View citations (24)
- Revisiting The Death of Economics
World Economics, 2001, 2, (2), 163-176
2000
- Random matrix theory and the failure of macro-economic forecasts
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2000, 280, (3), 497-504 View citations (5)
1998
- Richard Goodwin: A Short Appreciation
Economic Journal, 1998, 108, (450), 1431-35 View citations (2)
1997
- Stopping crime spreading
New Economy, 1997, 4, (2), 83-88 View citations (1)
1984
- The Forward Rate for the U.S. Dollar and the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, 1978-1983
The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1984, 52, (3), 292-99
1982
- Unemployment in Interwar Britain [Searching for an Explanation of Unemployment in Interwar Britain]
Journal of Political Economy, 1982, 90, (2), 400-409 View citations (2)
1980
- Manufactured Export Prices in the United Kingdom and the "Law of One Price."
The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1980, 48, (3), 265-83
- The forward exchange rate for sterling and the efficiency of expectations
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 1980, 116, (2), 205-224 View citations (1)
1978
- Incomes Policy and Wage Inflation: Empirical Evidence for the Uk 1961-1977
National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 85, (1), 31-39 View citations (2)
- Properties of Macroeconomic Models of the Uk Economy: A Comparative Study
National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 83, (1), 52-72 View citations (1)
- St. Louis Models of the Uk Economy
National Institute Economic Review, 1978, 84, (1), 65-69
- The Effects of Revisions to Central Statistical Office Data for the U.K. Economy
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1978, 40, (2), 165-71
1977
- Formal and Informal Aspects of Forecasting With an Econometric Model
National Institute Economic Review, 1977, 81, (1), 67-71
Chapters
2011
- Network Models of Innovation Process and Policy Implications
Chapter 19 in Handbook on the Economic Complexity of Technological Change, 2011
2004
- On the Methodology of Assessing Agent-Based Evolutionary Models in the Social Sciences
Chapter 2 in Evolution and Economic Complexity, 2004
2002
- Post-orthodox econometrics
Chapter 9 in Keynes, Uncertainty and the Global Economy, 2002
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