Details about Keith Richard Phillips

Access statistics for papers by Keith Richard Phillips.

Last updated 2023-06-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pph69

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Working Papers

2016

1. Residual seasonality in U.S. GDP data
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (2)

2015

2. Seasonal adjustment of state and metro ces jobs data
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2013

3. A closer look at potential distortions in state RGDP: the case of the Texas energy sector
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
4. Spurious seasonal patterns and excess smoothness in the BLS local area unemployment
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

2011

5. Factors behind the convergence of economic performance across U.S. states
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

2010

6. An Evaluation of Real-Time Forecasting Performance across 10 Western U.S. States
   Regional and Urban Modeling, EcoMod

2009

7. Affordability and education: keys to San Antonio's long-term growth
   Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
8. Improving the ACCRA U.S. regional cost of living index
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (5)

2007

9. Corpus Christi: an economy in transition
   Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2006

10. Austin's high-tech industry: played out or just beginning?
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2005

11. Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    See also Journal Article Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy, Business Frontier, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2004) (2004)
12. New business-cycle indexes available for Texas metros
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2004

13. A new monthly index of the Texas business cycle
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (7)
14. Business cycle coordination along the Texas-Mexico border
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (9)
15. Gauging the impact of the San Antonio Toyota plant
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
16. Steady-as-she-goes? an analysis of the San Antonio business cycle
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

2003

17. Biotech and the San Antonio economy
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2000

18. Can cities control their destiny?
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1999

19. Border region makes progress in the 1990s
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

1998

20. Efficient methods to achieve clean air
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
21. Market solutions to water allocation in Texas
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1997

22. Measuring regional cost of living
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Measuring Regional Cost of Living, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2000) View citations (44) (2000)

1995

23. Building a regional forecasting model utilizing long-term relationships and short-term indicators
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1994

24. The disappearing January blip and other state employment mysteries
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (2)
25. The role of tax policy in the boom/bust cycle of the Texas construction sector
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1990

26. U.S. oil demand and conservation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article U.S. OIL DEMAND AND CONSERVATION, Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International (1991) View citations (2) (1991)

1989

27. An econometric analysis of U.S. oil demand
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

1988

28. The development and uses of regional indexes of leading economic indicators
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
29. Unionization and unemployment rates: a re-examination of Olson's labor cartelization hypothesis
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    See also Journal Article Unionization and Unemployment Rates: A Re-Examination Of Olson'S Labor Cartelization Hypothesis, The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association (1990) View citations (1) (1990)

Journal Articles

2021

1. COVID-19 Slammed into Texas, Leaving Long-Lasting Impacts
   Southwest Economy, 2021, (First Quarter)
2. Once-Oil-Dependent Texas Economy to Keep Growing as Renewable Energy Expands
   Southwest Economy, 2021, (Third Quarter)

2020

3. Groundwater Markets Slowly Evolve in Ever-Thirstier Texas
   Southwest Economy, 2020, (First Quarter)
4. Months for benchmark dominance: A new accuracy measure for state employment data
   Economics Letters, 2020, 187, (C) View citations (1)
5. Snapshot: Texas Employment Estimate Debuts
   Southwest Economy, 2020, (Third Quarter)

2019

6. Lower Oil Prices, Tight Labor Markets to Restrain Texas Growth in 2019
   Southwest Economy, 2019, (First Quarter), 10-13

2018

7. Texas Economy Starts 2018 Firing on All Cylinders
   Southwest Economy, 2018, (Q1), 14-17

2017

8. Nowcasting regional job growth using payroll processing company data
   Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2017, (2), 189-198
9. Snapshot: Texas Employment Forecast Adjusted Higher
   Southwest Economy, 2017, (Q2), 16-16
10. Texas Economy Shifting into Second Gear in 2017
    Southwest Economy, 2017, (Q1), 3-7

2016

11. Seasonal adjustment of hybrid time series: An application to U.S. regional jobs data
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2016, (2), 191-202
12. Texas economy remains resilient, but low oil prices loom as future risk
    Southwest Economy, 2016, (Q1), 3-7

2015

13. ADP payroll processing data can provide early look at Texas job growth
    Southwest Economy, 2015, (Q2), 10-13 View citations (4)
14. Slow Growth in Texas After Energy and Trade Ebb
    Annual Report, 2015
15. Texas facing economic headwinds in 2015
    Southwest Economy, 2015, (Q1), 3-7

2014

16. A closer look at potential distortions in state real gross domestic product: The case of the Texas energy sector
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2014, (1-2), 105-119
17. A note on spurious seasonal patterns and other distortions in the BLS local area unemployment statistics
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2014, (3), 145-152
18. Texas to remain a top state for job growth in 2014
    Southwest Economy, 2014, (Q1), 3-7

2013

19. Texas likely to continue to lead nation's recovery
    Southwest Economy, 2013, (Q1), 3-7
20. Water scarcity a potential drain on the Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2013, (Q4), 3-7 View citations (2)

2012

21. Oil boom in Eagle Ford Shale brings new wealth to South Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q2), 3-7 View citations (1)
22. Spotlight: Dollar-sensitive Mexican shoppers boost Texas border retail activity
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q4), 15 View citations (1)
23. Texas economy moves from recovery to expansion
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q1), 3-7
24. The efficiency of the benchmark revisions to the current employment statistics (CES) data
    Economics Letters, 2012, 115, (3), 431-434 View citations (4)

2011

25. Sizing up nanoelectronics: gauging the potential for new productivity wave
    Southwest Economy, 2011, (Q2), 16-19
26. Texas economy to ride higher in the saddle in 2011
    Southwest Economy, 2011, (Q1), 3-7

2010

27. New tool gauges impact of exchange rates on states
    Southwest Economy, 2010, (Q4), 3-7 View citations (1)

2009

28. On the record: a conversation on the Texas recession: taking the economy's pulse at midyear
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q3), 8-9
29. Recession arrives in Texas: a rougher ride in 2009
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q1), 3-6
30. Spotlight: Farm real estate values: Texas holds steady in 2008, bucking U.S. trend
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q4), 10

2008

31. New Dallas Fed indicator tracks Texas retail sales
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Sep), 3-4, 16
32. Regional business cycle integration along the US–Mexico border
    The Annals of Regional Science, 2008, 42, (1), 153-168 View citations (15)
33. Regional update: U.S. slowdown reaches Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Nov), 15
34. Spotlight: border health care: booming industry creates jobs faster than state
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Jan), 10

2007

35. Banking industry evolution along the Texas-Mexico border
    Southwest Economy, 2007, (Jul), 11-13 View citations (1)
36. Revising the Texas index of leading indicators
    Southwest Economy, 2007, (Nov), 3-7

2006

37. Border benefits from Mexican shoppers
    Southwest Economy, 2006, (May), 11-13 View citations (3)
38. Full steam ahead for Texas ports
    Southwest Economy, 2006, (Nov), 3-6

2005

39. A new barometer for the Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 14-16
40. Dallas Fed introduces business-cycle indexes for Texas metros
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (May), 1-3
41. The national economic outlook: continued growth likely
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 1, 9-13 View citations (1)

2004

42. Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy
    Business Frontier, 2004, -8
    See also Working Paper Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy, Vista (2005) (2005)
43. Regional update: revising Texas economic history
    Southwest Economy, 2004, (Jul), 19

2003

44. A new index of coincident economic activity for Houston
    Houston Business, 2003, (Apr) View citations (1)
45. Composite index: a new measure of El Paso's economy
    Business Frontier, 2003 View citations (1)
46. Tide turns Texas toward recovery
    Houston Business, 2003, (Oct)

2001

47. Beating border barriers in U.S.-Mexico trade
    Southwest Economy, 2001, (Sep), 1-8 View citations (2)

2000

48. Measuring Regional Cost of Living
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2000, 18, (1), 127-36 View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper Measuring regional cost of living, Working Papers (1997) View citations (2) (1997)
49. The unsinkable Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Jan), 1-5

1998

50. Beyond the border: Border bottlenecks hamper trade
    Southwest Economy, 1998, (Sep), 9-11

1997

51. What's in store for Texas cities
    Southwest Economy, 1997, (Jan), 5, 9

1996

52. New business cycle indexes for Mexico point to economic expansion
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Mar), 10
53. New tools for analyzing the Mexican economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q II) View citations (3)
54. Southwest expansion to continue in 1996
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jan), 1-4 View citations (1)

1995

55. A new quarterly output measure for Texas
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1995, (Q III), 16-23 View citations (4)

1994

56. Solving the mystery of the disappearing January blip in state employment data
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1994, (Q II), 53-62 View citations (6)
57. Southwest expansion to continue in 1995
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Dec), 5-8
58. Southwest outlook brighter in 1994
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Jan), 6-7
59. The Texas construction sector: the tail that wagged the dog
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1994, (Q II), 23-33 View citations (3)

1993

60. Blue-collar outlook not so blue in Texas
    Southwest Economy, 1993, (Jan), 6-8
61. Reassessing Texas employment growth
    Southwest Economy, 1993, (Jul), 1-3 View citations (5)

1992

62. Regional wage divergence and national wage inequality
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1992, (Q IV), 31-44 View citations (4)
63. The Texas economy: beyond the boom and bust
    Southwest Economy, 1992, (Jan), 7-8 View citations (1)

1991

64. The effect of the growing service sector on wages in Texas
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1991, (Nov), 15-28
65. U.S. OIL DEMAND AND CONSERVATION
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 1991, 9, (1), 67-72 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper U.S. oil demand and conservation, Working Papers (1990) View citations (2) (1990)

1990

66. The Texas index of leading economic indicators: a revision and further evaluation
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1990, (Jul), 17-25 View citations (1)
67. Unionization and Unemployment Rates: A Re-Examination Of Olson'S Labor Cartelization Hypothesis
    The Review of Regional Studies, 1990, 20, (1), 1-9 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Unionization and unemployment rates: a re-examination of Olson's labor cartelization hypothesis, Working Papers (1988) (1988)

1989

68. Diversifying Texas: recent history and prospects
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Jul), 1-12 View citations (6)
69. Oil demand and prices in the 1990s
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Jan), 1-8 View citations (3)

1988

70. New tools for analyzing the Texas economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1988, (Jul), 1-13 View citations (7)

1986

71. Exchange rates and world oil prices
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1986, (Mar), 1-10 View citations (15)
72. Understanding the Texas unemployment rate
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1986, (Nov), 17-30 View citations (1)

Books

2005

1. Texas border benefits from retail sales to Mexican nationals
   Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)

2001

2. Transportation infrastructure and the border economy
   Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (3)