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Details about Keith Richard Phillips

Workplace:Economic Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, (more information at EDIRC)
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Keith Richard Phillips.

Last updated 2020-04-29. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pph69


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Working Papers

2016

  1. Residual seasonality in U.S. GDP data
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Seasonal adjustment of state and metro ces jobs data
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2013

  1. A closer look at potential distortions in state RGDP: the case of the Texas energy sector
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. Spurious seasonal patterns and excess smoothness in the BLS local area unemployment
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2011

  1. Factors behind the convergence of economic performance across U.S. states
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

2010

  1. An Evaluation of Real-Time Forecasting Performance across 10 Western U.S. States
    Regional and Urban Modeling, EcoMod Downloads

2009

  1. Affordability and education: keys to San Antonio's long-term growth
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. Improving the ACCRA U.S. regional cost of living index
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (5)

2007

  1. Corpus Christi: an economy in transition
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2006

  1. Austin's high-tech industry: played out or just beginning?
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2005

  1. Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Business Frontier (2004)
  2. New business-cycle indexes available for Texas metros
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2004

  1. A new monthly index of the Texas business cycle
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Business cycle coordination along the Texas-Mexico border
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Gauging the impact of the San Antonio Toyota plant
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Steady-as-she-goes? an analysis of the San Antonio business cycle
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

2003

  1. Biotech and the San Antonio economy
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

2000

  1. Can cities control their destiny?
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1999

  1. Border region makes progress in the 1990s
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

1998

  1. Efficient methods to achieve clean air
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. Market solutions to water allocation in Texas
    Vista, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1997

  1. Measuring regional cost of living
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2000)

1995

  1. Building a regional forecasting model utilizing long-term relationships and short-term indicators
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1994

  1. The disappearing January blip and other state employment mysteries
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (2)
  2. The role of tax policy in the boom/bust cycle of the Texas construction sector
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1990

  1. U.S. oil demand and conservation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Contemporary Economic Policy (1991)

1989

  1. An econometric analysis of U.S. oil demand
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads

1988

  1. The development and uses of regional indexes of leading economic indicators
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
  2. Unionization and unemployment rates: a re-examination of Olson's labor cartelization hypothesis
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads
    See also Journal Article in The Review of Regional Studies (1990)

Journal Articles

2021

  1. COVID-19 Slammed into Texas, Leaving Long-Lasting Impacts
    Southwest Economy, 2021, (First Quarter) Downloads

2020

  1. Groundwater Markets Slowly Evolve in Ever-Thirstier Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2020, (First Quarter) Downloads
  2. Months for benchmark dominance: A new accuracy measure for state employment data
    Economics Letters, 2020, 187, (C) Downloads
  3. Snapshot: Texas Employment Estimate Debuts
    Southwest Economy, 2020, (Third Quarter) Downloads

2019

  1. Lower Oil Prices, Tight Labor Markets to Restrain Texas Growth in 2019
    Southwest Economy, 2019, (First Quarter), 10-13 Downloads

2018

  1. Texas Economy Starts 2018 Firing on All Cylinders
    Southwest Economy, 2018, (Q1), 14-17 Downloads

2017

  1. Nowcasting regional job growth using payroll processing company data
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2017, (2), 189-198
  2. Snapshot: Texas Employment Forecast Adjusted Higher
    Southwest Economy, 2017, (Q2), 16-16 Downloads
  3. Texas Economy Shifting into Second Gear in 2017
    Southwest Economy, 2017, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads

2016

  1. Seasonal adjustment of hybrid time series: An application to U.S. regional jobs data
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2016, (2), 191-202
  2. Texas economy remains resilient, but low oil prices loom as future risk
    Southwest Economy, 2016, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads

2015

  1. ADP payroll processing data can provide early look at Texas job growth
    Southwest Economy, 2015, (Q2), 10-13 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Slow Growth in Texas After Energy and Trade Ebb
    Annual Report, 2015 Downloads
  3. Texas facing economic headwinds in 2015
    Southwest Economy, 2015, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads

2014

  1. A closer look at potential distortions in state real gross domestic product: The case of the Texas energy sector
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2014, (1-2), 105-119
  2. A note on spurious seasonal patterns and other distortions in the BLS local area unemployment statistics
    Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2014, (3), 145-152
  3. Texas to remain a top state for job growth in 2014
    Southwest Economy, 2014, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads

2013

  1. Texas likely to continue to lead nation's recovery
    Southwest Economy, 2013, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads
  2. Water scarcity a potential drain on the Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2013, (Q4), 3-7 Downloads View citations (1)

2012

  1. Oil boom in Eagle Ford Shale brings new wealth to South Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q2), 3-7 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Spotlight: Dollar-sensitive Mexican shoppers boost Texas border retail activity
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q4), 15 Downloads
  3. Texas economy moves from recovery to expansion
    Southwest Economy, 2012, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads
  4. The efficiency of the benchmark revisions to the current employment statistics (CES) data
    Economics Letters, 2012, 115, (3), 431-434 Downloads View citations (2)

2011

  1. Sizing up nanoelectronics: gauging the potential for new productivity wave
    Southwest Economy, 2011, (Q2), 16-19 Downloads
  2. Texas economy to ride higher in the saddle in 2011
    Southwest Economy, 2011, (Q1), 3-7 Downloads

2010

  1. New tool gauges impact of exchange rates on states
    Southwest Economy, 2010, (Q4), 3-7 Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. On the record: a conversation on the Texas recession: taking the economy's pulse at midyear
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q3), 8-9 Downloads
  2. Recession arrives in Texas: a rougher ride in 2009
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q1), 3-6 Downloads
  3. Spotlight: Farm real estate values: Texas holds steady in 2008, bucking U.S. trend
    Southwest Economy, 2009, (Q4), 10 Downloads

2008

  1. New Dallas Fed indicator tracks Texas retail sales
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Sep), 3-4, 16 Downloads
  2. Regional business cycle integration along the US–Mexico border
    The Annals of Regional Science, 2008, 42, (1), 153-168 Downloads View citations (12)
  3. Regional update: U.S. slowdown reaches Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Nov), 15 Downloads
  4. Spotlight: border health care: booming industry creates jobs faster than state
    Southwest Economy, 2008, (Jan), 10 Downloads

2007

  1. Banking industry evolution along the Texas-Mexico border
    Southwest Economy, 2007, (Jul), 11-13 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Revising the Texas index of leading indicators
    Southwest Economy, 2007, (Nov), 3-7 Downloads

2006

  1. Border benefits from Mexican shoppers
    Southwest Economy, 2006, (May), 11-13 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Full steam ahead for Texas ports
    Southwest Economy, 2006, (Nov), 3-6 Downloads

2005

  1. A new barometer for the Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 14-16 Downloads
  2. Dallas Fed introduces business-cycle indexes for Texas metros
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (May), 1-3 Downloads
  3. The national economic outlook: continued growth likely
    Southwest Economy, 2005, (Nov), 1, 9-13 Downloads View citations (1)

2004

  1. Framing the future: tomorrow's border economy
    Business Frontier, 2004, -8 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Regional update: revising Texas economic history
    Southwest Economy, 2004, (Jul), 19 Downloads

2003

  1. A new index of coincident economic activity for Houston
    Houston Business, 2003, (Apr) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Composite index: a new measure of El Paso's economy
    Business Frontier, 2003 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Tide turns Texas toward recovery
    Houston Business, 2003, (Oct) Downloads

2001

  1. Beating border barriers in U.S.-Mexico trade
    Southwest Economy, 2001, (Sep), 1-8 Downloads View citations (2)

2000

  1. Measuring Regional Cost of Living
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2000, 18, (1), 127-36 View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  2. The unsinkable Texas economy
    Southwest Economy, 2000, (Jan), 1-5 Downloads

1998

  1. Beyond the border: Border bottlenecks hamper trade
    Southwest Economy, 1998, (Sep), 9-11 Downloads

1997

  1. What's in store for Texas cities
    Southwest Economy, 1997, (Jan), 5, 9 Downloads

1996

  1. New business cycle indexes for Mexico point to economic expansion
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Mar), 10 Downloads
  2. New tools for analyzing the Mexican economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1996, (Q II) Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Southwest expansion to continue in 1996
    Southwest Economy, 1996, (Jan), 1-4 Downloads View citations (1)

1995

  1. A new quarterly output measure for Texas
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1995, (Q III), 16-23 Downloads View citations (4)

1994

  1. Solving the mystery of the disappearing January blip in state employment data
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1994, (Q II), 53-62 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Southwest expansion to continue in 1995
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Dec), 5-8 Downloads
  3. Southwest outlook brighter in 1994
    Southwest Economy, 1994, (Jan), 6-7 Downloads
  4. The Texas construction sector: the tail that wagged the dog
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1994, (Q II), 23-33 Downloads View citations (3)

1993

  1. Blue-collar outlook not so blue in Texas
    Southwest Economy, 1993, (Jan), 6-8 Downloads
  2. Reassessing Texas employment growth
    Southwest Economy, 1993, (Jul), 1-3 Downloads View citations (4)

1992

  1. Regional wage divergence and national wage inequality
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1992, (Q IV), 31-44 View citations (4)
  2. The Texas economy: beyond the boom and bust
    Southwest Economy, 1992, (Jan), 7-8 Downloads View citations (1)

1991

  1. The effect of the growing service sector on wages in Texas
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1991, (Nov), 15-28
  2. U.S. OIL DEMAND AND CONSERVATION
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 1991, 9, (1), 67-72 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1990)

1990

  1. The Texas index of leading economic indicators: a revision and further evaluation
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1990, (Jul), 17-25 View citations (1)
  2. Unionization and Unemployment Rates: A Re-Examination Of Olson'S Labor Cartelization Hypothesis
    The Review of Regional Studies, 1990, 20, (1), 1-9 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1988)

1989

  1. Diversifying Texas: recent history and prospects
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Jul), 1-12 View citations (6)
  2. Oil demand and prices in the 1990s
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1989, (Jan), 1-8 View citations (3)

1988

  1. New tools for analyzing the Texas economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1988, (Jul), 1-13 View citations (5)

1986

  1. Exchange rates and world oil prices
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1986, (Mar), 1-10 View citations (14)
  2. Understanding the Texas unemployment rate
    Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1986, (Nov), 17-30 View citations (1)

Books

2005

  1. Texas border benefits from retail sales to Mexican nationals
    Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (1)

2001

  1. Transportation infrastructure and the border economy
    Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (3)
 
Page updated 2021-05-12