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Details about Gerhard Rünstler

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Workplace:European Central Bank, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Gerhard Rünstler.

Last updated 2017-04-20. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

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Working Papers

2016

  1. Business, housing and credit cycles
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Network Dependence in the Euro Area Money Market
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads
  3. On the design of data sets for forecasting with dynamic factor models
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads
    Also in WIFO Working Papers, WIFO (2010) Downloads

2011

  1. Report No. 42: Pension Systems in the EU – Contingent Liabilities and Assets in the Public and Private Sector
    IZA Research Reports, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) Downloads View citations (6)

2008

  1. Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise
    Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania Downloads View citations (34)
    Also in Working papers, Banque de France (2008) Downloads View citations (54)
  2. Short-Term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth
    Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles Downloads View citations (35)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (48)

    See also Journal Article in Econometrics Journal (2011)

2002

  1. Are real-time estimates of the output gap reliable?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics View citations (1)
  2. The information content of real-time output gap estimates, an application to the euro area
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (27)

1998

  1. Unemployment Dynamics: An Unobserved Components Approach
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads

1997

  1. Measuring Stylized Business Cycles Facts Using Stochastic Cycles
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads

1996

  1. Potential Output, the Natural Rate of Unemployment, and the Phillips Curve in a Multivariate Structural Time Series Framework
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads

1995

  1. Arbitrage in Commodity Markets: A Full Systems Cointegration Analysis
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads View citations (1)

Undated

  1. Shirking, Endogenous Lay-off Rates and the A-cyclicality of the Real Wage
    WIFO Working Papers, WIFO Downloads

Journal Articles

2016

  1. How distinct are financial cycles from business cycles?
    Research Bulletin, 2016, 26 Downloads

2011

  1. A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (2), 333-346 Downloads View citations (54)
    Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (2), 333-346 (2011) Downloads View citations (54)
  2. Global Economy is Slowing
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2011, 84, (9), 571-579 Downloads
  3. Global Growth is Slowing. Business Cycle Report of September 2011
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2011, 16, (3), 177-184 Downloads
  4. Growth Slowing Moderately from High Levels
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2011, 84, (6), 399-407 Downloads
  5. Growth Slowing Moderately from High Levels. Business Cycle Report of June 2011
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2011, 16, (2), 111-118 Downloads
  6. Introduction
    Empirica, 2011, 38, (1), 1-2 Downloads
  7. Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth
    Econometrics Journal, 2011, 14, (1), C25-C44 Downloads View citations (53)
    Also in Econometrics Journal, 2011, 14, C25-C44 (2011) Downloads View citations (32)

    See also Working Paper (2008)
  8. Tensions Mounting in World Economy
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2011, 84, (8), 523-531 Downloads
  9. Tensions Mounting in World Economy. Business Cycle Report of August 2011
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2011, 16, (3), 144-152 Downloads
  10. Upswing Continues
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2011, 84, (2), 103-111 Downloads
  11. Upswing Continues. Business Cycle Report of February 2011
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2011, 16, (1), 13-20 Downloads

2010

  1. Cautious Economic Revival Continuing
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2010, 83, (3), 195-204 Downloads
  2. Cautious Economic Revival Continuing. Business Cycle Report of March 2010
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2010, 15, (1), 47-55 Downloads
  3. Cyclical Upswing, but Lasting Uncertainty. Economic Outlook for 2010 and 2011
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2010, 83, (10), 787-800 Downloads
    Also in Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2010, 15, (4), 300-311 (2010) Downloads
  4. Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (1), 1-22 Downloads View citations (22)
  5. Euro Area Economy Drawing Lagged Benefits from Currency Depreciation and Buoyant Global Trade. Economic Outlook for 2010 and 2011
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2010, 15, (3), 245-258 Downloads
    Also in WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2010, 83, (7), 555-569 (2010) Downloads

2009

  1. Economic Recovery in Third Quarter 2009
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2009, 82, (11), 807-815 Downloads
  2. Economic Recovery in Third Quarter 2009. Business Cycle Report of November 2009
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2009, 14, (4), 233-241 Downloads
  3. First-Quarter GDP Contracting
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2009, 82, (5), 323-332 Downloads
    Also in Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2009, 14, (2), 105-113 (2009) Downloads
  4. Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
    Journal of Forecasting, 2009, 28, (7), 595-611 Downloads View citations (53)
  5. Stabilisation of Global Economy in Sight
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 2009, 82, (8), 559-568 Downloads
  6. Stabilisation of Global Economy in Sight. Business Cycle Report of August 2009
    Austrian Economic Quarterly, 2009, 14, (3), 135-143 Downloads

2004

  1. Modelling phase shifts among stochastic cycles
    Econometrics Journal, 2004, 7, (1), 232-248 Downloads View citations (17)

2000

  1. The dynamic effects of aggregate supply and demand disturbances: further evidence
    Applied Economics Letters, 2000, 7, (1), 25-28 Downloads

1999

  1. Interest rate differentials, market integration, and the efficiency of commodity futures markets
    Applied Financial Economics, 1999, 9, (1), 101-108 Downloads View citations (8)

1996

  1. The Measurement of Potential Output for Austria
    WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), 1996, 69, (3), 223-234 Downloads
 
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