Details about Tim Robinson

Access statistics for papers by Tim Robinson.

Last updated 2025-03-16. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pro719

Working Papers

2023

1. Recovering Stars in Macroeconomics
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (1)
   Also in Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne (2023)

2020

2. Too Many Shocks Spoil the Interpretation
   Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne View citations (4)
   Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2020) View citations (4)

2019

3. Implications of Partial Information for Applied Macroeconomic Modelling
   Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne View citations (3)
4. Implications of partial information for econometric modeling of macroeconomic systems
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (3)
5. The Consequences of Extending Equitable Property Division Divorce Laws to Cohabitants
   Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics View citations (9)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2019) View citations (8)
   Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne (2019) View citations (7)

2018

6. Critically assessing estimated DSGE models: A case study of a multi-sector model
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (10)
   See also Journal Article Critically Assessing Estimated DSGE Models: A Case Study of a Multi‐sector Model, The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia (2018) View citations (8) (2018)

2016

7. Estimating DSGE models with Zero Interest Rate Policy
   Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2017) View citations (87) (2017)
8. Investigating the Relationship Between DSGE and SVAR Models
   NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research View citations (3)

2014

9. Estimating DSGE models with forward guidance
   Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales View citations (7)
10. Estimating the Expected Duration of the Zero Lower Bound in DSGE Models with Forward Guidance
    Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne View citations (3)
    Also in Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales (2014) View citations (5)
11. Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present
    CEH Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University View citations (10)
    Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2014) View citations (11)
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia (2014) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present, Australian Economic History Review, Economic History Society of Australia and New Zealand (2017) (2017)

2013

12. An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (3)
13. Estimating and Identifying Empirical BVAR-DSGE Models for Small Open Economies
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (3)

2011

14. Assessing Some Models of the Impact of Financial Stress upon Business Cycles
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (1)

2010

15. Reconciling Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Estimates of Price Stickiness
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia
    See also Journal Article Reconciling microeconomic and macroeconomic estimates of price stickiness, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2011) View citations (9) (2011)

2008

16. A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (3)
17. Understanding the Flattening Phillips Curve
    Department of Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics, Williams College
    Also in RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia (2008) View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article Understanding the flattening Phillips curve, The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2010) View citations (78) (2010)

2007

18. Global Imbalances and the Global Saving Glut – A Panel Data Assessment
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (8)

2005

19. Monetary Policy, Asset-Price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
    Also in RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia (2005) View citations (10)
    See also Chapter Monetary Policy, Asset-Price Bubbles, and the Zero Lower Bound, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (6) (2006)

2003

20. The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (17)

2002

21. Output Gaps in Real Time: Are They Reliable Enough to Use for Monetary Policy?
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia View citations (38)

Journal Articles

2025

1. The Australian Economy in 2024–2025: Living and Housing Affordability
   Australian Economic Review, 2025, 58, (1), 5-15

2022

2. Excess shocks can limit the economic interpretation
   European Economic Review, 2022, 145, (C) View citations (5)
3. The Australian Economy in 2021–2022: The Virus Strikes Back
   Australian Economic Review, 2022, 55, (1), 5-24

2021

4. Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2021, 53, (4), 605-634 View citations (12)
5. The Australian Economy in 2020–21: The COVID‐19 Pandemic and Prospects for Economic Recovery
   Australian Economic Review, 2021, 54, (1), 5-18 View citations (2)

2018

6. Critically Assessing Estimated DSGE Models: A Case Study of a Multi‐sector Model
   The Economic Record, 2018, 94, (307), 349-371 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper Critically assessing estimated DSGE models: A case study of a multi-sector model, CAMA Working Papers (2018) View citations (10) (2018)
7. Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models
   Applied Economics, 2018, 50, (3), 251-267 View citations (1)
8. The Australian Economy in 2017–2018: The Importance of Stronger Non†Mining Business Investment Growth
   Australian Economic Review, 2018, 51, (1), 5-20 View citations (1)
9. Why Has Australian Wages Growth Been So Low? A Phillips Curve Perspective
   The Economic Record, 2018, 94, (S1), 11-32 View citations (5)

2017

10. Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2017, 88, (C), 35-49 View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Estimating DSGE models with Zero Interest Rate Policy, Discussion Papers (2016) View citations (1) (2016)
11. Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present
    Australian Economic History Review, 2017, 57, (3), 291-315
    See also Working Paper Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present, CEH Discussion Papers (2014) View citations (10) (2014)
12. The Australian Economy in 2016–17: Looking Beyond the Apartment Construction Boom
    Australian Economic Review, 2017, 50, (1), 5-20 View citations (2)

2016

13. Introduction to the Policy Forum: Macroeconomic Consequences of Macroprudential Policies
    Australian Economic Review, 2016, 49, (1), 77-82 View citations (2)
14. The Australian Economy in 2015–16: Uncertainties and Challenges
    Australian Economic Review, 2016, 49, (1), 5-19

2015

15. The Australian Economy in 2014–15: An Economy in Transition
    Australian Economic Review, 2015, 48, (1), 1-14 View citations (1)

2014

16. Australia after the Terms of Trade Boom
    RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), 2014, 55-62 View citations (3)
17. Methods for assessing the impact of financial effects on business cycles in macroeconometric models
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2014, 41, (C), 94-106 View citations (14)

2013

18. Changes to the RBA Index of Commodity Prices: 2013
    RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), 2013, 23-28 View citations (5)
19. The Relationship between Bulk Commodity and Chinese Steel Prices
    RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), 2013, 13-18 View citations (2)

2011

20. Reconciling microeconomic and macroeconomic estimates of price stickiness
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2011, 33, (1), 102-120 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Reconciling Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Estimates of Price Stickiness, RBA Research Discussion Papers (2010) (2010)

2010

21. Understanding the flattening Phillips curve
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2010, 21, (2), 110-125 View citations (78)
    See also Working Paper Understanding the Flattening Phillips Curve, Department of Economics Working Papers (2008) (2008)

2005

22. Output Gaps In Real Time: How Reliable Are They?
    The Economic Record, 2005, 81, (252), 6-18 View citations (23)

Chapters

2006

1. Monetary Policy, Asset-Price Bubbles, and the Zero Lower Bound
   A chapter in Monetary Policy with Very Low Inflation in the Pacific Rim, 2006, pp 43-84 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, Asset-Price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) View citations (10) (2005)