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Details about Ellis W. Tallman

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.ellistallman.net/
Phone:2165793130
Postal address:Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland PO Box 6387 Cleveland, OH 44101-1387
Workplace:Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Ellis W. Tallman.

Last updated 2019-11-05. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pta94


Jump to Journal Articles Books Chapters

Working Papers

2018

  1. Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads
  2. Outside Lending in the New York City Call Loan Market
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2016

  1. How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2016) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2016)

2015

  1. Forecasting Inflation: Phillips Curve Effects on Services Price Measures
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2017)
  2. The Federal Reserve System and World War I: Designing Policies without Precedent
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads

2014

  1. Liquidity provision during the crisis of 1914: private and public sources
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Financial Stability (2015)
  2. Outside Lending in the NYC Call Loan Market
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads
  3. The Transmission of the Financial Crisis in 1907: An Empirical Investigation
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Cliometrica (2018)

2013

  1. Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2013) Downloads View citations (2)
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2012) Downloads View citations (2)
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1994)

    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2015)
    Journal Article in The Journal of Economic History (2000)
  2. Close but not a central bank: The New York Clearing House and issues of clearing house loan certificates
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (6)

2012

  1. The Panic of 1907
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (7)
  2. The reluctant Central Bankers
    Working Papers, Economic History Society Downloads

2010

  1. Banking and financial crises in United States history: what guidance can history offer policymakers?
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2009) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Liquidity creation without a lender of last resort: clearing house loan certificates in the Banking Panic of 1907
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2007) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Financial Stability (2012)

2005

  1. INFORMATION IN DATA REVISION PROCESSES: PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT AND REAL-TIME MEASUREMENT OF EMPLOYMENT
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics

2003

  1. New York and the politics of central banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The call loan market in the U.S. financial system prior to the Federal Reserve System
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (2)

2002

  1. Forecasting using relative entropy
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2005)
  2. Nominal and real disturbances and money demand in the Chinese hyperinflation
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Inquiry (2003)

2001

  1. Anticipated Inflation, Real Disturbances and Money Demand: The Case of Chinese Hyperinflation, 1946-49
    Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Downloads

1999

  1. Improving forecasts of the federal funds rate in a policy model
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2001)
  2. Prior parameter uncertainty: Some implications for forecasting and policy analysis with VAR models
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Why didn't the United States establish a central bank until after the panic of 1907?
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (3)

1997

  1. Financial Aggregates as Conditioning Information for Australian Output and Inflation
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1997) Downloads View citations (6)
  2. The impact of a dealer's failure on OTC derivatives market liquidity during volatile periods
    Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1996) Downloads View citations (3)

1996

  1. The Information Content of Financial Aggregates in Australia
    RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1996) Downloads View citations (6)

1995

  1. Clearinghouse access and bank runs: comparing New York and Chicago during the Panic of 1907
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads

1993

  1. Educational achievement and economic growth: evidence from Taiwan
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (1)
  2. Liquidity shocks and financial crises during the national banking era
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (1998)
  3. Money Demand and Relative Prices During Episodes of Hyperinflation
    Working Papers, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1991)
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (1992) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (1993) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1995)

1992

  1. Human Capital Investment and Economic Growth: New Routes in Theory and Address Old Questions
    Working Papers, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics View citations (6)

1991

  1. Fiscal policy and trade adjustment: are the deficits really twins?
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Inquiry (1993)

1990

  1. Human capital and endogenous growth: evidence from Taiwan
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1994)

1989

  1. Macroeconomic factors and asset excess returns
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Journal Articles

2019

  1. Outside lending in the New York City call loan market: evidence from the Panic of 1907
    Financial History Review, 2019, 26, (1), 43-62 Downloads

2018

  1. The transmission of the financial crisis in 1907: an empirical investigation
    Cliometrica, 2018, 12, (2), 277-312 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2017

  1. Forecasting inflation: Phillips curve effects on services price measures
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, 33, (2), 442-457 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2015)

2016

  1. Quels enseignements de la panique de 1907 pour l’analyse de la crise de 2008 ?
    Revue d'économie financière, 2016, n° 123, (3), 317-324 Downloads
  2. The Likelihood of 2 Percent Inflation in the Next Three Years
    Economic Commentary, 2016, (November) Downloads
  3. Too Big to Fail before the Fed
    American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (5), 528-32 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2015

  1. BUSINESS CYCLES AND FINANCIAL CRISES: THE ROLES OF CREDIT SUPPLY AND DEMAND SHOCKS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2015, 19, (4), 836-882 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. Liquidity provision during the crisis of 1914: Private and public sources
    Journal of Financial Stability, 2015, 17, (C), 22-34 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2012

  1. Liquidity creation without a central bank: Clearing house loan certificates in the banking panic of 1907
    Journal of Financial Stability, 2012, 8, (4), 277-291 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Where would the federal funds rate be, if it could be negative?
    Economic Commentary, 2012, (Oct) Downloads View citations (2)

2009

  1. Commentary on Trends in the aggregate labor force
    Review, 2009, (Jul), 311-316 Downloads

2008

  1. Errata to "Gold shocks, liquidity, and the United States Economy during the National Banking Era" [Explor. Econ. Hist. 35 (1998) 381-404]
    Explorations in Economic History, 2008, 45, (1), 100-105 Downloads

2007

  1. A look ahead: housing, energy squeezed in '08
    EconSouth, 2007 Downloads

2005

  1. Forecasting Using Relative Entropy
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2005, 37, (3), 383-401 View citations (41)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  2. Ill winds can’t blow U.S. economy off course
    EconSouth, 2005, (Q4) Downloads
  3. Payroll employment data: measuring the effects of annual benchmark revisions
    Economic Review, 2005, (Q 2), 1-23 Downloads View citations (5)

2004

  1. Monetary explanations of the Great Depression: a selective survey of empirical evidence
    Economic Review, 2004, (Q 3), 1-23 Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Monetary policy and learning: Some implications for policy and research
    Economic Review, 2003, (Q3), 1-9 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Nominal and Real Disturbances and Money Demand in Chinese Hyperinflation
    Economic Inquiry, 2003, 41, (2), 234-249 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  3. Permanent income and transitory variation in investment and output
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2003, 25, (2), 149-168 Downloads View citations (5)

2002

  1. Fiscal policy: What a difference a recession makes
    EconSouth, 2002, (Q4), 1 Downloads
  2. Outlook mixed for Southeast and nation in 2003
    EconSouth, 2002, (Q4), 2-7 Downloads

2001

  1. Improving Federal-Funds Rate Forecasts in VAR Models Used for Policy Analysis
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2001, 19, (3), 324-30 View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  2. The burden of debt
    EconSouth, 2001, (Q2), 1 Downloads View citations (1)

2000

  1. Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907
    The Journal of Economic History, 2000, 60, (1), 145-163 Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. Credit crunch or what? Australian banks during the 1986–93 credit cycle
    Economic Review, 2000, (Q3), 13-34 Downloads View citations (5)

1999

  1. Vector autoregressions: forecasting and reality
    Economic Review, 1999, (Q1), 4-18 Downloads View citations (104)

1998

  1. Data vintages and measuring forecast model performance
    Economic Review, 1998, (Q 4), 4-20 Downloads View citations (30)
  2. Gold Shocks, Liquidity, and the United States Economy during the National Banking Era
    Explorations in Economic History, 1998, 35, (4), 381-404 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1995

  1. Inflation and inflation forecasting: an introduction
    Economic Review, 1995, (Jan), 13-27 View citations (1)
  2. Money demand and the relative price of capital goods in hyperinflations
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1995, 36, (2), 375-404 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
  3. Private sector responses to the Panic of 1907: a comparison of New York and Chicago
    Economic Review, 1995, (Mar), 1-9 View citations (4)

1994

  1. Human capital and endogenous growth evidence from Taiwan
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1994, 34, (1), 101-124 Downloads View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper (1990)

1993

  1. Fiscal Policy and Trade Adjustment: Are the Deficits Really Twins?
    Economic Inquiry, 1993, 31, (4), 580-94 View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper (1991)
  2. Inflation: how long has this been going on?
    Economic Review, 1993, (Nov), 1-12

1992

  1. Human capital investment and economic growth: new routes in theory address old questions
    Economic Review, 1992, (Sep), 1-12 View citations (4)
  2. The Bank Panic of 1907: The Role of Trust Companies
    The Journal of Economic History, 1992, 52, (3), 611-630 Downloads View citations (43)

1991

  1. Investigating U.S. government and trade deficits
    Economic Review, 1991, (May), 1-11 View citations (2)
  2. Review essay on The House of Morgan: an American Banking Dynasty and the Rise of Modern Finance(1990) by Ron Chernow
    Economic Review, 1991, (Sep), 28-32

1990

  1. Lessons from the panic of 1907
    Economic Review, 1990, (May), 2-13 Downloads View citations (21)

1989

  1. Financial asset pricing theory: a review of recent developments
    Economic Review, 1989, (Nov), 26-41

1988

  1. Some unanswered questions about bank panics
    Economic Review, 1988, (Nov), 2-21 View citations (3)

Books

2018

  1. Fighting Financial Crises
    University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press

Chapters

2018

  1. Monetary Policy with a Large Balance Sheet: Lessons from the Financial History of the United States
    Chapter 2 in Innovative Federal Reserve Policies During the Great Financial Crisis, 2018, pp 37-62 Downloads
 
Page updated 2019-12-02