Details about Mattias Villani
Access statistics for papers by Mattias Villani.
Last updated 2025-03-14. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pvi83
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Working Papers
2022
- Bayesian Optimization of Hyperparameters from Noisy Marginal Likelihood Estimates
Papers, arXiv.org 
See also Journal Article Bayesian optimization of hyperparameters from noisy marginal likelihood estimates, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2023) (2023)
2019
- Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with Energy Conserving Subsampling
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (3)
2017
- Bayesian optimisation for fast approximate inference in state-space models with intractable likelihoods
Papers, arXiv.org
2016
- Block-Wise Pseudo-Marginal Metropolis-Hastings
Working Papers, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics View citations (3)
- Speeding up MCMC by Efficient Data Subsampling
Working Papers, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics 
Also in Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) (2015) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Speeding Up MCMC by Efficient Data Subsampling, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals (2019) View citations (14) (2019)
2015
- SCALABLE MCMC FOR LARGE DATA PROBLEMS USING DATA SUBSAMPLING AND THE DIFFERENCE ESTIMATOR
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)
2013
- Dynamic mixture-of-experts models for longitudinal and discrete-time survival data
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (2)
2011
- Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (13)
See also Journal Article Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press (2014) View citations (14) (2014)
2010
- Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price common Value Auctions
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) 
See also Journal Article Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price Common Value Auctions, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2011) (2011)
- Modeling Conditional Densities Using Finite Smooth Mixtures
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (4)
2009
- Flexible Modeling of Conditional Distributions Using Smooth Mixtures of Asymmetric Student T Densities
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)
- Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series With Locally Adaptive Signal Extraction
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Forecasting macroeconomic time series with locally adaptive signal extraction, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2010) View citations (23) (2010)
2007
- Evaluating An Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (23)
Also in Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) (2007) View citations (22)
See also Journal Article Evaluating an estimated new Keynesian small open economy model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2008) View citations (260) (2008)
- Nonparametric Regression Density Estimation Using Smoothly Varying Normal Mixtures
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (3)
2006
- Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (14)
Also in Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005, Money Macro and Finance Research Group (2005) View citations (11)
- Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (25)
See also Journal Article Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2007) View citations (106) (2007)
2005
- Are Constant Interest Rate Forecasts Modest Interventions? Evidence from an Estimated Open Economy DSGE Model of the Euro Area
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (10)
- Bayesian Estimation of an Open Economy DSGE Model with Incomplete Pass-Through
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (60)
See also Journal Article Bayesian estimation of an open economy DSGE model with incomplete pass-through, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (621) (2007)
- Bayesian Inference of General Linear Restrictions on the Cointegration Space
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)
- Bayesian approaches to cointegratrion
Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute View citations (3)
Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester (2004) View citations (8)
- Inference in Vector Autoregressive Models with an Informative Prior on the Steady State
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (15)
2004
- A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) 
See also Journal Article A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions, Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell (2006) View citations (13) (2006)
- The Multivariate Split Normal Distribution and Asymmetric Principal Components Analysis
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (2)
2003
- Bayes Estimators of the Cointegration Space
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)
- Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Economy using Bayesian Cointegrated Structural VARs
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (31)
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2003) View citations (28)
2000
- Panel Regression with Unobserved Classes
SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics
1999
- Bayesian Prediction with a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Bayesian prediction with cointegrated vector autoregressions, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2001) View citations (29) (2001)
Journal Articles
2024
- Spectral Subsampling MCMC for Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Applications to Vector ARTFIMA Processes
Econometrics and Statistics, 2024, 32, (C), 98-121
2023
- Bayesian optimization of hyperparameters from noisy marginal likelihood estimates
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023, 38, (4), 577-595 
See also Working Paper Bayesian Optimization of Hyperparameters from Noisy Marginal Likelihood Estimates, Papers (2022) (2022)
2020
- DOLDA: a regularized supervised topic model for high-dimensional multi-class regression
Computational Statistics, 2020, 35, (1), 175-201
2019
- Speeding Up MCMC by Efficient Data Subsampling
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2019, 114, (526), 831-843 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Speeding up MCMC by Efficient Data Subsampling, Working Papers (2016) (2016)
2018
- Subsampling MCMC - an Introduction for the Survey Statistician
Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, 2018, 80, (1), 33-69 View citations (2)
2014
- Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014, 49, (4), 1071-1099 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios, Working Paper Series (2011) View citations (13) (2011)
2013
- Efficient Bayesian Multivariate Surface Regression
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2013, 40, (4), 706-723 View citations (3)
2012
- Generalized smooth finite mixtures
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 171, (2), 121-133 View citations (13)
2011
- Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price Common Value Auctions
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2011, 29, (3), 382-396 
Also in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2011, 29, (3), 382-396 (2011) 
See also Working Paper Bayesian Inference in Structural Second-Price common Value Auctions, Working Paper Series (2010) (2010)
2010
- Forecasting macroeconomic time series with locally adaptive signal extraction
International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (2), 312-325 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series With Locally Adaptive Signal Extraction, Working Paper Series (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
2009
- Regression density estimation using smooth adaptive Gaussian mixtures
Journal of Econometrics, 2009, 153, (2), 155-173 View citations (31)
- Steady-state priors for vector autoregressions
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2009, 24, (4), 630-650 View citations (161)
2008
- EMPIRICAL PROPERTIES OF CLOSED- AND OPEN-ECONOMY DSGE MODELS OF THE EURO AREA
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2008, 12, (S1), 2-19 View citations (30)
- Evaluating an estimated new Keynesian small open economy model
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, 32, (8), 2690-2721 View citations (260)
See also Working Paper Evaluating An Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model, CEPR Discussion Papers (2007) View citations (23) (2007)
2007
- Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models—Some Comments
Econometric Reviews, 2007, 26, (2-4), 173-185 View citations (2)
- Bayesian estimation of an open economy DSGE model with incomplete pass-through
Journal of International Economics, 2007, 72, (2), 481-511 View citations (621)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Estimation of an Open Economy DSGE Model with Incomplete Pass-Through, Working Paper Series (2005) View citations (60) (2005)
- Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy DSGE Model
Econometric Reviews, 2007, 26, (2-4), 289-328 View citations (123)
- Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks
International Journal of Central Banking, 2007, 3, (4), 111-144 View citations (106)
See also Working Paper Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks, Working Paper Series (2006) View citations (25) (2006)
2006
- A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions
Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2006, 27, (1), 141-156 View citations (13)
See also Working Paper A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Graphical Vector Autoregressions, Working Paper Series (2004) (2004)
- Bayesian point estimation of the cointegration space
Journal of Econometrics, 2006, 134, (2), 645-664 View citations (14)
2005
- An estimated New Keynesian small open economy model
Proceedings, 2005 View citations (24)
- Are Constant Interest Rate Forecasts Modest Policy Interventions? Evidence from a Dynamic Open‐Economy Model
International Finance, 2005, 8, (3), 509-544 View citations (21)
- BAYESIAN REFERENCE ANALYSIS OF COINTEGRATION
Econometric Theory, 2005, 21, (2), 326-357 View citations (34)
- The Role of Sticky Prices in an Open Economy DSGE Model: A Bayesian Investigation
Journal of the European Economic Association, 2005, 3, (2-3), 444-457 View citations (47)
2004
- Bayesian assessment of dimensionality in reduced rank regression
Statistica Neerlandica, 2004, 58, (3), 255-270 View citations (6)
2001
- A distance measure between cointegration spaces
Economics Letters, 2001, 70, (1), 21-27 View citations (6)
- Bayesian prediction with cointegrated vector autoregressions
International Journal of Forecasting, 2001, 17, (4), 585-605 View citations (29)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Prediction with a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression, Working Paper Series (1999) View citations (1) (1999)
- Fractional Bayesian Lag Length Inference in Multivariate Autoregressive Processes
Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2001, 22, (1), 67-86 View citations (3)
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