Modeling of the Impact of Customs and Tariff Policies to the Markets of Selected Agricultural Products

M. G. Prokopyev ()

Economics of Contemporary Russia, issue 1

Abstract: The paper considers the problem of quantitative estimation of the tariff policy impact on the markets of certain types of agricultural products. The appropriate model of imperfect substitution between import and domestic production is proposed. Based on it, the percentage changes can be determined in: 1) the price of domestic products; 2) the supply of domestic products in the domestic market; 3) the demand for imports, including partner countries (groups of countries) based on small changes in import tariffs. Despite rather stringent assumptions and limitations, the present model can be a useful tool for analyzing the scenario calculations of the impact of tariff and customs policy on the food and agricultural raw markets markets.

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