A Prediction Model of Peasants’ Income in China Based on BP Neural Network

Qing-chun Guo, Zhen-fang He, Li Li, Ling-jun Kong, Xiao-yong Zhang and Li-qun Kou

Asian Agricultural Research, 2011, vol. 03, issue 04, 4

Abstract: According to the related data affecting the peasants’ income in China in the years 1978-2008, a total of 13 indices are selected, such as agricultural population, output value of primary industry, and rural employees. According to standardized method and BP neural network method, the peasants’ income and the artificial neural network model are established and analyzed. Results show that the simulation value agrees well with the real value; the neural network model with improved BP algorithm has high prediction accuracy, rapid convergence rate and good generalization ability. Finally, suggestions are put forward to increase the peasants’ income, such as promoting the process of urbanization, developing small and medium-sized enterprises in rural areas, encouraging intensive operation, and strengthening the rural infrastructure and agricultural science and technology input.

Keywords: Agribusiness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:asagre:113491

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.113491

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