CryptoPulse: Short-Term Cryptocurrency Forecasting with Dual-Prediction and Cross-Correlated Market Indicators

Amit Kumar and Taoran Ji

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on historical patterns. However, these methods often overlook three critical factors influencing market dynamics: 1) the macro investing environment, reflected in major cryptocurrency fluctuations affecting collaborative investor behaviors; 2) overall market sentiment, heavily influenced by news impacting investor strategies; and 3) technical indicators, offering insights into overbought or oversold conditions, momentum, and market trends, which are crucial for short-term price movements. This paper proposes a dual prediction mechanism that forecasts the next day's closing price by incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes. Additionally, a novel refinement mechanism enhances predictions through market sentiment-based rescaling and fusion. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance, consistently outperforming ten comparison methods.

Date: 2025-02, Revised 2025-02
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