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Concentration and Markups in International Trade

Alviarez Vanessa, Michele Fioretti, Ken Kikkawa and Morlacco Monica

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Abstract: This paper derives a closed-form expression linking aggregate markups on imported inputs to concentration in a model of firm-to-firm trade with two-sided market power. Our theory extends standard oligopoly insights in two dimensions. First, it reveals that markups increase with exporter concentration and decrease with importer concentration, reflecting the balance of oligopoly and oligopsony forces. Second, it adapts conventional market definitions to reflect rigid trading relationships, yielding new concentration measures that capture competition in firm-to-firm trade. Analysis of Colombian transaction-level import data shows these differences are key to understanding markup dynamics in international trade.

Date: 2025-08
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http://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.00345 Latest version (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Concentration and Markups in International Trade (2025) Downloads
Working Paper: Concentration and Markups in International Trade (2025) Downloads
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