The New Quant: A Survey of Large Language Models in Financial Prediction and Trading

Weilong Fu

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Large language models are reshaping quantitative investing by turning unstructured financial information into evidence-grounded signals and executable decisions. This survey synthesizes research with a focus on equity return prediction and trading, consolidating insights from domain surveys and more than fifty primary studies. We propose a task-centered taxonomy that spans sentiment and event extraction, numerical and economic reasoning, multimodal understanding, retrieval-augmented generation, time series prompting, and agentic systems that coordinate tools for research, backtesting, and execution. We review empirical evidence for predictability, highlight design patterns that improve faithfulness such as retrieval first prompting and tool-verified numerics, and explain how signals feed portfolio construction under exposure, turnover, and capacity controls. We assess benchmarks and datasets for prediction and trading and outline desiderata-for time safe and economically meaningful evaluation that reports costs, latency, and capacity. We analyze challenges that matter in production, including temporal leakage, hallucination, data coverage and structure, deployment economics, interpretability, governance, and safety. The survey closes with recommendations for standardizing evaluation, building auditable pipelines, and advancing multilingual and cross-market research so that language-driven systems deliver robust and risk-controlled performance in practice.

Date: 2025-10
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