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Causality Elicitation from Large Language Models

Takashi Kameyama, Masahiro Kato, Yasuko Hio, Yasushi Takano and Naoto Minakawa

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are trained on enormous amounts of data and encode knowledge in their parameters. We propose a pipeline to elicit causal relationships from LLMs. Specifically, (i) we sample many documents from LLMs on a given topic, (ii) we extract an event list from from each document, (iii) we group events that appear across documents into canonical events, (iv) we construct a binary indicator vector for each document over canonical events, and (v) we estimate candidate causal graphs using causal discovery methods. Our approach does not guarantee real-world causality. Rather, it provides a framework for presenting the set of causal hypotheses that LLMs can plausibly assume, as an inspectable set of variables and candidate graphs.

Date: 2026-03
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