Say, Echo, Do: Strategic Narratives and Revealed Positioning in Financial Markets
Ali Atiah Alzahrani
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
Machine-learning signals built from financial text treat what institutions say, and what the media repeat, as evidence about value. But whoever shapes a narrative may be trading against it. We study markets with three observable voices: institutional statements (Say), media repetition (Echo) and revealed positioning (Do). We ask when words should be followed and when they should be faded. In a linear-quadratic model of an informed institution that speaks and trades before a partly credulous crowd, talking an asset down while buying it is optimal exactly when $\varphi^2
Date: 2026-09
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