Currency Substitution and the Hysteresis Effect: An Empirical Application for Argentina
Patricio Temperley
Ensayos Económicos, 2022, vol. 1, issue 79, 40-65
Abstract:
In economies with large exchange rate fluctuations and macroeconomic instability, currency substitution is a highly important phenomenon. The Argentine case is studied through the inclusion of a ratchet variable, which accounts for the hysteresis effect —irreversibility in the currency substitution process—, for 2003-2019. To that end, an ARDL (Autorregresive Distributed Lag) model was used, where it was found that the hysteresis effect is persistent in the long run. This has implications to conduct monetary policy and regarding the stability of the demand for money.
Keywords: balance of payments; dollarization; dollar liquidity; emerging markets; money supply; currency substitution; demand for money; hysteresis effect; ratchet variable (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E41 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bcr:ensayo:v:1:y:2022:i:79:p:40-65
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