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Trade fragmentation, inflationary pressures and monetary policy

Silvana Tenreyro, Ludovica Ambrosino and Jenny Chan

No 1225, BIS Working Papers from Bank for International Settlements

Abstract: How does trade fragmentation affect inflationary pressures? What is the response of monetary policy needed to sustain inflation at target? To answer these questions, we develop a heterogeneous agent, open-economy model featuring imperfect international risk-sharing. The model captures both the demand and supply side effects of fragmentation. It illustrates how the impact of fragmentation on inflationary pressures and the appropriate policy response depends not only on the direct effect of higher import prices on supply but, crucially, on how aggregate demand adjusts in response to lower real incomes and productivity stemming from fragmentation.

Keywords: monetary policy; trade fragmentation; open economies; inflation; heterogeneity; globalisation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F12 F15 F41 F62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-int, nep-mon and nep-opm
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